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Quiet Chris 09-12-2008 02:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
Brown is a rockstar. Monmouth park will put on a show and there will be a good sized crowd.
Maybe even play some Springsteen.

Highly unlikely that there will be a good sized crowd. Monmouth is not going to ever get a big crowd once the summer is over. 10,000 is probably what you will get although they will come up with something a little higher for pr reasons.

RollerDoc 09-12-2008 03:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Quiet Chris
Highly unlikely that there will be a good sized crowd. Monmouth is not going to ever get a big crowd once the summer is over. 10,000 is probably what you will get although they will come up with something a little higher for pr reasons.

Look for a much larger crowd than what you are saying.

hoovesupsideyourhead 09-12-2008 03:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
Brown is a rockstar. Monmouth park will put on a show and there will be a good sized crowd.
Maybe even play some Springsteen.

I GOT 100 BUCKS SAYS HE DOES NOT WIN ON THE TURF PM ME IF YOU WANT SOME...

RollerDoc 09-12-2008 03:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
I GOT 100 BUCKS SAYS HE DOES NOT WIN ON THE TURF PM ME IF YOU WANT SOME...

I'm your huckleberry!

Quiet Chris 09-12-2008 03:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
Look for a much larger crowd than what you are saying.

NO WAY. The weather and the fact that nobody really cares about the race might keep it below 7500. Last weekend they got 2500, I wouldn't expect anything more than 10K. Nobody cares about Big Brown running against a bunch of grade 2 grass horses.

Now if he showed up for the JCGC, Belmont probably would get 25K for the Curlin-BB matchup.

RollerDoc 09-12-2008 03:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Quiet Chris
NO WAY. The weather and the fact that nobody really cares about the race might keep it below 7500. Last weekend they got 2500, I wouldn't expect anything more than 10K. Nobody cares about Big Brown running against a bunch of grade 2 grass horses.

Now if he showed up for the JCGC, Belmont probably would get 25K for the Curlin-BB matchup.

Will you give me 8-1 odds that it is north of 10,000?

Quiet Chris 09-12-2008 04:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
Will you give me 8-1 odds that it is north of 10,000?

It is impossible because the announced attendance and the real attendance won't be the same thing. If Curlin can only get 10K at Belmont, BB is going to basically do the same, but weather might even drive it lower.

Samarta 09-13-2008 06:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
While most on here agree that this year's crop of three year olds haven't been that teriffic, that still does not stop me from starting yet another Big Brown thread.

Because while this is still 2008, he has been the best horse for horse racing this year. Curlin may be faster, but we don't know that. We do know that Curlin cannot draw a crowd or have near the fan base that Big Brown does. So Big Brown was much needed for this sport. At least for this year.

Despite his contraversial connections, the Belmont/Triple Crown disappointment, or the slight win over the out of gas apprentice Coal Play in the Haskell, the popularity of Big Brown has not really lost his luster. Afterall the $200K Monmouth Stakes on Saturday is $500K only because the infamous Big Brown is entered. The Haskell saw their best attendance in years because race fans wanted to see Big Brown.

Arguably only Barbaro and maybe Smarty Jones have garnered more fan attention than Big Brown in the past so many years. With the exception of his past two races, the rest were all WINS and have been extremely impressive. Winning from the posts he had at FL DERBY and KY Derby is worth a salute to this horse.

So while I have an affection for Big Brown, I am also sad as his racing career is nearing the end. Most likely he has two races to go including the BCC. Of course I hope he wins them both.

I guess I was wondering your thoughts on how Big Brown left his mark on the 2008 season? Was he good for horse racing?

There's a lot to debate on this one. Let's talk about the popularity. While Barbaro's story became very gripping and appealed to everyone, his popularity as a race horse didn't really happen until after the breakdown. At the derby he was one of those horses that had a shot to win. As far as Smarty Jones is concerned Big Brown nor any horse in a long long time doesn't come close to being as popular as Smarty Jones. The numbers alone prove that point. Big Brown was popular because of the antics of his ridiculous connections. He's a nice horse, but to rate him in popularity in the same league as SJ or Barbaro is ridiculous.

I'm not real sure about the crowd thing, the Haskell always draws as many people as they can put in that place regardless of who is running.

Depending on where Curlin races after the Jockey Club will determine HOY, but right now there is a filly on the West Coast that if she wins out, will win HOY in my opinion, because I don't think BB wins today or in the BCC.

GPK 09-13-2008 07:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmorioles
Anyone betting Big Brown in that field at the price he will be needs to rethink their paramutuel involvement in the game.


I don't know about you, but I prefer that kind of money in the pools.

Danzig 09-13-2008 07:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Samarta
There's a lot to debate on this one. Let's talk about the popularity. While Barbaro's story became very gripping and appealed to everyone, his popularity as a race horse didn't really happen until after the breakdown. At the derby he was one of those horses that had a shot to win. As far as Smarty Jones is concerned Big Brown nor any horse in a long long time doesn't come close to being as popular as Smarty Jones. The numbers alone prove that point. Big Brown was popular because of the antics of his ridiculous connections. He's a nice horse, but to rate him in popularity in the same league as SJ or Barbaro is ridiculous.

I'm not real sure about the crowd thing, the Haskell always draws as many people as they can put in that place regardless of who is running.

Depending on where Curlin races after the Jockey Club will determine HOY, but right now there is a filly on the West Coast that if she wins out, will win HOY in my opinion, because I don't BB wins today or in the BCC.

i would think curlin is still #1 in everyones book for HOY. zenyatta would have to take on and beat the boys in the bcc to win the award. and if curlin misses, i don't know that she'd catch him then. i think everyone understands why curlin won't go west, and i don't think anyone will hold it against him for not going.

Hickory Hill Hoff 09-13-2008 08:17 AM

Once again, I'm tosssing "BB" ;) facing older with a yielding to soft turf...no way! Going with Drum Major & Silver Tree,
plus using Get Serious, Kiss the Kid & Hotstufanthensome underneath in the exotics. 7/11 - 7/11 - 2/5/8 -2/5/8

Samarta 09-13-2008 08:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
i would think curlin is still #1 in everyones book for HOY. zenyatta would have to take on and beat the boys in the bcc to win the award. and if curlin misses, i don't know that she'd catch him then. i think everyone understands why curlin won't go west, and i don't think anyone will hold it against him for not going.

Well but you don't win HOY on potential. I understand why they probably aren't sending him to the BCC but if Zenyatta wins her next race then the Distaff, BB doesn't win the BCC Zenyatta wins HOY. I think Curlin is the best horse out there, but if he skips the classic I think the only way he wins HOY is for BB and Zenyatta to lose.

RollerDoc 09-13-2008 10:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
i would think curlin is still #1 in everyones book for HOY. zenyatta would have to take on and beat the boys in the bcc to win the award. and if curlin misses, i don't know that she'd catch him then. i think everyone understands why curlin won't go west, and i don't think anyone will hold it against him for not going.

If Big Brown wins today and BCC, is he HOY? If so, who would win Eclipse?

Danzig 09-13-2008 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Samarta
Well but you don't win HOY on potential. I understand why they probably aren't sending him to the BCC but if Zenyatta wins her next race then the Distaff, BB doesn't win the BCC Zenyatta wins HOY. I think Curlin is the best horse out there, but if he skips the classic I think the only way he wins HOY is for BB and Zenyatta to lose.

i disagree. mineshaft still got hoy after skipping the bcc on the west coast. zenyatta beating the distaffers won't be enough to knock off curlin.
the only way it gets interesting is if big brown wins the classic.

i suppose you saw that now iavarone is claiming he's considering runnning big brown next year? seemed tho to be news to paul pompa and three chimneys.

Danzig 09-13-2008 10:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
If Big Brown wins today and BCC, is he HOY? If so, who would win Eclipse?

not necessarily.
well...then again, yeah he probably would when you consider who does most of the voting for the eclipse-many voters only pay attention twice a year, and big brown won the derby, so if he was to win the bcc, yeah he probably would get it.

i just don't see zenyatta getting it if big brown loses-not unless she contests the classic. the distaff is on friday now, not much coverage-most eclipse voters probably haven't heard of her, but have heard of curlin.

and that's the #1 problem with eclipse awards-the way they go about awarding them.

RollerDoc 09-13-2008 10:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
not necessarily.
well...then again, yeah he probably would when you consider who does most of the voting for the eclipse-many voters only pay attention twice a year, and big brown won the derby, so if he was to win the bcc, yeah he probably would get it.

i just don't see zenyatta getting it if big brown loses-not unless she contests the classic. the distaff is on friday now, not much coverage-most eclipse voters probably haven't heard of her, but have heard of curlin.

and that's the #1 problem with eclipse awards-the way they go about awarding them.

OK let's forget about HOY for a moment. Is Big Brown a lock for Eclipse even if he doesn't win today or BCC. Please tell me he is a lock. Four Grade 1 Stakes wins including KD and Preakness.

My argument here is Afleet Alex (one of my top 3 All Time favorites) won the Eclipse. Hasn't Big Brown at least equaled that resume?

Danzig 09-13-2008 10:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
OK let's forget about HOY for a moment. Is Big Brown a lock for Eclipse even if he doesn't win today or BCC. Please tell me he is a lock. Four Grade 1 Stakes wins including KD and Preakness.

My argument here is Afleet Alex (one of my top 3 All Time favorites) won the Eclipse. Hasn't Big Brown at least equaled that resume?

he'll most likely get the eclipse for three year old. but keep in mind a horse wins that every year, it doesn't mean they are deserving of special praise. certainly afleet alex deserved it that year. doesn't mean he was anything particularly special-same with big brown.

RollerDoc 09-13-2008 10:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
he'll most likely get the eclipse for three year old. but keep in mind a horse wins that every year, it doesn't mean they are deserving of special praise. certainly afleet alex deserved it that year. doesn't mean he was anything particularly special-same with big brown.

Now I'm going to shift gears yet again. Nobody will convince me to not bet on Big Brown to win today. So since I am so stubborn, (based on only liking him) if money weren't an object, do you think my best bet in that scenario is to key him at the top of a trifecta with every other horse in the race? I think I would win more than betting him across the Board (provided he does indeed win).

Danzig 09-13-2008 01:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
Now I'm going to shift gears yet again. Nobody will convince me to not bet on Big Brown to win today. So since I am so stubborn, (based on only liking him) if money weren't an object, do you think my best bet in that scenario is to key him at the top of a trifecta with every other horse in the race? I think I would win more than betting him across the Board (provided he does indeed win).

so why ask?
some people do across the board bets, others don't care for them. if you're that convinced he'd win, like dahoss said, build a multi-race bet around him as your lone single-altho if there was a day to look to bet against, today is it. he's in deeper today than ever, and his last few to many eyes is nothing like what he ran early in the spring. so if he's on a downhill cycle, or a flat one, he's really up against it today.

as for your tri, i'd imagine anyone who is infatuated with big brown would do the same bb/all/all as you, so i don't see it really paying off for you.

Danzig 09-13-2008 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Who cares who wins the eclipse? As a fan of the horse do you get something special if he wins?

If you are determined to bet him, use him in multirace plays. Pick3 or pick 4 if it's offered. Single him and try and catch a price, it's the only way to make any money on him IMO. But, I would suggest just watching the race. You seem to have elevated him to some kind of iconic status in your mind. So, if he wins, I'm sure you're going to be happier than Sumitas at the breeding shed. And if he loses, at least you haven't pissed away your money on a bad favorite.

i don't know why people get so involved with it-a discussion is one thing, repeated posts stating a position on it is another. getting hot under the collar about it is another.

Samarta 09-13-2008 02:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
i disagree. mineshaft still got hoy after skipping the bcc on the west coast. zenyatta beating the distaffers won't be enough to knock off curlin.
the only way it gets interesting is if big brown wins the classic.

i suppose you saw that now iavarone is claiming he's considering runnning big brown next year? seemed tho to be news to paul pompa and three chimneys.

If Big Brown wins the Classic that takes all the suspense out of it. I disagree about Zenyatta. I'll say it again, if Curlin skips the class, Big Brown loses the classic and Zenyatta finishes the year undefeated with a win in the distaff, she is HOY.

Danzig 09-13-2008 03:52 PM

you can say it as many times as you like, i would still disagree. azeri is the only mare to ever win hoy without facing males, but that was a year with no clear cut top male horse. this year is nothing like that. if big brown loses, curlin will get hoy, regardless of what zenyatta does. curlin may well get it even if big brown wins the classic-if big brown should lose today.

dalakhani 09-13-2008 04:02 PM

I put the 2 to get a minor piece and underneath on the exacta

Samarta 09-13-2008 04:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
you can say it as many times as you like, i would still disagree. azeri is the only mare to ever win hoy without facing males, but that was a year with no clear cut top male horse. this year is nothing like that. if big brown loses, curlin will get hoy, regardless of what zenyatta does. curlin may well get it even if big brown wins the classic-if big brown should lose today.

You really believe that Curlin could still win HOY if Big Brown wins the classic?

Danzig 09-13-2008 06:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Samarta
You really believe that Curlin could still win HOY if Big Brown wins the classic?

i thought i put that curlin would win if big brown lost the classic... i don't think he would win if big brown won the classic, but curlin still has more racing to do-and unlike big brown, curlin hasn't got an unexplained last place finish-and curlin is ranked the #1 horse in the world....
i'm not giving up all hope at this point for a curlin/big brown showdown. would certainly take care of the debate.
but after today, even before todays finish, i felt zenyattas only chance at hoy is to try the classic--and i really like her too. just don't think she'd get the votes over the other two.

Samarta 09-13-2008 08:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
i thought i put that curlin would win if big brown lost the classic... i don't think he would win if big brown won the classic, but curlin still has more racing to do-and unlike big brown, curlin hasn't got an unexplained last place finish-and curlin is ranked the #1 horse in the world....
i'm not giving up all hope at this point for a curlin/big brown showdown. would certainly take care of the debate.
but after today, even before todays finish, i felt zenyattas only chance at hoy is to try the classic--and i really like her too. just don't think she'd get the votes over the other two.

Oh I think she would get the votes if neither BB or Curlin win the classic and she wins the distaff. Hell the field in the Distaff will probably be stronger than in the Classic

Danzig 09-13-2008 09:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Samarta
Oh I think she would get the votes if neither BB or Curlin win the classic and she wins the distaff. Hell the field in the Distaff will probably be stronger than in the Classic

true, altho proud spell won't be there. wonder if ginger punch makes the trip, i don't recall if she's ever run on an AWT.
but how much attention from most voters will the distaff draw?

RollerDoc 09-13-2008 11:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
Curlin, Heatseeker, Zenyatta, Proud Spell, Commentator, Indian Blessing, maybe Ginger Punch.

And Big Brown still doesn't make your list of Top 5 horses this year?

RollerDoc 09-13-2008 11:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
I GOT 100 BUCKS SAYS HE DOES NOT WIN ON THE TURF PM ME IF YOU WANT SOME...

I tried to take you up on your offer when you posted.

RollerDoc 09-13-2008 11:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Quiet Chris
NO WAY. The weather and the fact that nobody really cares about the race might keep it below 7500. Last weekend they got 2500, I wouldn't expect anything more than 10K. Nobody cares about Big Brown running against a bunch of grade 2 grass horses.

Now if he showed up for the JCGC, Belmont probably would get 25K for the Curlin-BB matchup.


Nobody cares about Big Brown? Really? They got 17,000 plus. I told you they'd have north of 10,000. Why do you think the fans came out, just like they have in all of Big Brown's races? He is a very popular horse.

King Glorious 09-14-2008 12:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
And Big Brown still doesn't make your list of Top 5 horses this year?

Did he beat one of the horses that I have ahead of him and I missed it? I'm much more impressed with him now than I was earlier in the day. He finally faced and beat some real horses. But I still don't think he's better than those I have listed. Just a matter of opinion. Perhaps he pushes Indian Blessing and Ginger Punch off but I still don't have him over Curlin, Heatseeker, Commentator, Zenyatta, and Proud Spell.

RollerDoc 09-14-2008 12:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
Did he beat one of the horses that I have ahead of him and I missed it? I'm much more impressed with him now than I was earlier in the day. He finally faced and beat some real horses. But I still don't think he's better than those I have listed. Just a matter of opinion. Perhaps he pushes Indian Blessing and Ginger Punch off but I still don't have him over Curlin, Heatseeker, Commentator, Zenyatta, and Proud Spell.

None of then have beat or match the record of this year's FL Derby, KY Derby, Preakness, or Haskell = all Grade 1 Stakes.

Proud Spell was not better than the late Eight Bells. That's she wasn't entered in the Derby. Big Brown beat Eight Bells by five at the wire,

Danzig 09-14-2008 12:48 AM

roller doc, you're taking a lot of people to task who have a lot more knowledge and have followed this sport a hell of a lot longer than you have. you're pretty presumptuous to think you can tell most of the people on this board anything-i can't believe that someone with your admitted lack of experience feels that you have the wherewithal to dress down some of the people here. it's absurd. i'd say most here have seen horses with big browns talent before, as well as plenty of horses over the years' with far more talent than him. it seems to be the general consensus on this board that big brown is indeed the top 3 yo male this year. maybe you could live with that, and get over it already.

westcoastinvader 09-14-2008 12:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
Nobody cares about Big Brown? Really? They got 17,000 plus. I told you they'd have north of 10,000. Why do you think the fans came out, just like they have in all of Big Brown's races? He is a very popular horse.


RollerDoc
, sincere kudos to you on your Big Brown passion here.

You've faced board adversity, and today you were absolutely frickin' right.


Not only did Big Brown just win today, he looked of class, strength and regalism from the paddock to the Winner's Circle.

Coach Pants 09-14-2008 12:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
roller doc, you're taking a lot of people to task who have a lot more knowledge and have followed this sport a hell of a lot longer than you have. you're pretty presumptuous to think you can tell most of the people on this board anything-i can't believe that someone with your admitted lack of experience feels that you have the wherewithal to dress down some of the people here. it's absurd. i'd say most here have seen horses with big browns talent before, as well as plenty of horses over the years' with far more talent than him. it seems to be the general consensus on this board that big brown is indeed the top 3 yo male this year. maybe you could live with that, and get over it already.

That's like telling ESPN to remove mention of Big Brown's win from the ticker tonight. Not gonna happen. Shouldn't happen.

Danzig 09-14-2008 12:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
That's like telling ESPN to remove mention of Big Brown's win from the ticker tonight. Not gonna happen. Shouldn't happen.

hey, i'm glad they put it up there-it's horse racing news. now if they start putting up results from cheerleading competition...well, that's another story.

this guys like a dog with a freaking bone, who here hasn't given that damn horse props? i don't think RD would be content unless big browns statue got put up in place of man o wars at the kentucky horse park.

Coach Pants 09-14-2008 01:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
hey, i'm glad they put it up there-it's horse racing news. now if they start putting up results from cheerleading competition...well, that's another story.

this guys like a dog with a freaking bone, who here hasn't given that damn horse props? i don't think RD would be content unless big browns statue got put up in place of man o wars at the kentucky horse park.

He's picked a horse as his favorite and is having fun in the process. Not every racing fan sets out to be a historian of the game and/or the greatest handicapper evar!

RollerDoc 09-14-2008 01:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
hey, i'm glad they put it up there-it's horse racing news. now if they start putting up results from cheerleading competition...well, that's another story.

this guys like a dog with a freaking bone, who here hasn't given that damn horse props? i don't think RD would be content unless big browns statue got put up in place of man o wars at the kentucky horse park.

There you go again with your old school attitude. Just because you attended the Man O War ribbon cutting ceremony, you are offended by a good horse that I support in 2008.

I'm taking nobody to task. I'm just addressing all of the posts from earlier that are opposite of mine. Because of my brief time here, doesn't preclude me from voicing an opinion with any poster I have regardless of who it is. When did this Board become a Country Club. If it is and I have misunderstood, then kick me out if it makes you feel good.


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