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8/30 (SAR): Forego; Woodward (Gr. I's)
9th (5:13) Forego S. (G1)
7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $250,000 2 First Defence Hill C 119 L 1 Forefathers Prado E S 117 L 3 Eternal Star Velazquez J R 117 L 4 Bold Start Albarado R J 117 L 1A Ferocious Fires Velasquez C 117 L 5 Premium Wine Leparoux J R 117 L 6 Real Estate Coa E M 117 L 7 Lucky Island (ARG) Garcia Alan 121 L 8 Greeley's Conquest Chavez J F 117 L 9 Tasteyville Luzzi M J 117 L A-Coupled: Forefathers and Premium Wine 10th (5:45) Woodward S. (G1) 1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $500,000 1 A. P. Arrow Velasquez C 126 Blk-Off L 2 Loose Leaf Coa E M 126 L 3 Past the Point Prado E S 126 L 4 Divine Park Garcia Alan 126 L 5 Curlin Albarado R J 126 L 6 Dr. D. F. C. Arboleda A 126 L 7 Out of Control (BRZ) Velazquez J R 126 L 8 Wanderin Boy Leparoux J R 126 L |
Over/Under on how many lengths Dr. D.F.C. loses by?
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wanderin boy is the play, IMO..... his last race makes him at least competitive with curlin and if he is on a uncontested lead, he can steal this
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Dr Dfc Will Destroy This Field!!! Curlin Better Be Scared!
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Divine Park is in the tricky position of possibly having to sacrifice whatever minimal chance he has of being competitive here by attacking Wanderin Boy too early.
I haven't finished the work on the race, but it seems logical that the only way to make money in this race is to pitch Divine Park completely. |
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I agree with ArlJim too that Divine Park seems to have as much speed, if not more than Wanderin Boy. But I don't think they'd go to the front with him because of how he's won his last two. If he found himself on the lead, ok, but I don't think they'd push to try to be there and would readily concede it to Wanderin Boy. I don't anticipate a pace nearly as fast though as Divine Park has gotten in his last couple though. That, coupled with the fact that he'll probably be up closer early, will make his seemingly brilliant late run seem a little less brilliant. At what point does he go after WB? Will he have enough to hold off Curlin? He's got too many questions to answer for me and I'm going to believe he can't answer them all. If he does, hats off to him. But I'm going against him completely here. Curlin Out of Control Wanderin Boy Out of Control has two races on the dirt on his record with one win. Both were around two turns and both produced figures in the 90's. Being that they weren't overly horrible and considering that this is Frankel not ducking for an easy spot, you've got to give him a little longer look than normal. I'm taking a shot here with him to run second. |
the "woodward " should be renamed since the distance AND track has changed........how about the "saratoga classic ":confused:
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It's been 1 1/8 for quite a while. The name should not be changed. |
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and now at ALL 3 major new york tracks.......i guess i always think of the bid, slew, affirmed ect going 10f at belmont. |
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It was 12 Furlongs in the mid 70s. |
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Then again, I thought NYRA was a sure thing to lose the contract. So what do I know? I would be interested in something though. If you don't mind sharing, what goes into your "work on the race"? |
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i stand corrected, i remember when alysheba set a then track record when he
battled forty niner down the stretch at belmont and just figured the race was always 10f:rolleyes: |
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Was there a jockey change to Prado that I'm not aware of? |
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Anyone catch Beyer today on DRF this morning? Anyway I am now including Wanderin Boy in the Pick 4. Either he or Divine Park will set the pace today which is the most likely way to beat Curlin.
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I'd rate Wandering boy as the best shot to steal the win for the reasons mentioned. He should be out front by himself, but unless they lose touch of him and walk through a turf paced half mile, it's hard to figure how he or others make up open lengths on a fit Curlin.
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Pass the Point went to the lead with Wanderin Boy tracking right in second. Curlin broke well but was floated out wide by Divine Park and in the process, took Out of Control out a little further. The ran in 22.89, 46.20, 1:09.61, 1:35.33. Curlin started making his move going into the far turn from about five back, Divine Park said "What the hell, we have to go around ANOTHER turn?" and packed it in. Pass the Point led into the lane, Wanderin Boy still second, Curlin making a nice move to move up along side but needing some encouragement to do so. The stretch run could have been timed with a sundial. Curlin, under serious urging finally made it past a stubborn Pass the Point and pulled clear to win by around a length of just under. The finished in 1:49.34 so Curlin ran his final 8th in around 14 seconds, proving yet again that while he's the best of this year's older horses, he's far from a great horse. This struggling victory was even less impressive than Big Brown's Haskell if you ask me and you'd have to think that Big Brown would have had an excellent chance to have beaten Curlin had he been there today. Wanderin Boy finished third.
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Curlin is amazing!!!
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Pass the Point is a nice dirt horse if you ignore his synthetic and turf efforts.
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If this race was a handicap not a weight for age we may have had a totally different finish.
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