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freddymo 07-22-2008 10:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
The horse never raced past June of his 3 year old year and this is good? I find it hilarious that Afleet Alex is the best example of a sucessful "tough" training program. The horse broke down. He did not have a long career. What exactly am I missing here? We arent talking about his sucess we are talking about the durability of the modern day horse and horses that make 5 or 6 starts at 3 and break down are poor examples, arent they?

Your missing 25 million dollars other then that you are spot on. The horse was retired because to stop with him for 6 months was fiscally impossible. The horse could have made it back to the races and most likely would have been ok. You never know if they come 100% back but it was certainly possible. BUT 150 mares where in line on the farm. AND the trainer must be applauded and rewarded for his outstanding efforts. You win 6 graded stakes and get a horse syndicated for huge money and I wonder if you will be happy and feel good about the job. i know one person who will be thrilled...Your Bank Manager

Sightseek 07-22-2008 10:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
I also have never understood the great amount of praise that was heaped on Ritchey for his methods when they didn't produce anything different than what we see from plenty of others and that's a 3yo champion that doesn't complete his season. Whether the injury was a result of his training or whether it was totally a fluke thing is irrelevant at this point. The horse still only raced 12 times and was done by June. People always talk about guys like Lukas, Baffert, and Zito but their horses usually last longer than that.

In my opinion, these horses today are different. They can't be trained the same way that horses of yesteryear were. They can't be raced the same way either. But at the same time, they probably don't need to be babied to the extent that they are. I think that's the challenge; finding that middle ground. Knowing when to push the throttle and when to back off. I think that if more horses had their throttles pushed earlier and more often as 2yo's, they would be better off for it as 3yo's and 4yo's. But I think it's silly to make obvious changes to the breed and still ask them to do the same things that the past horses did. Would it make sense to start breeding 5'7" guys for the NBA and still expect them to dunk like Michael Jordan and Vince Carter on a 10' basket?

LOL, if Lukas had a horse win the Sanford that impressively he wouldn't have stuck around long enough to win the Belmont.

King Glorious 07-22-2008 10:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
LOL, if Lukas had a horse win the Sanford that impressively he wouldn't have stuck around long enough to win the Belmont.

Yeah cause Lukas certainly sucks at winning 2yo races and classic races. My mistake.

Cannon Shell 07-22-2008 10:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
Chuck my thoughts are pretty simple. Concolour has produced a few gals which have been or will be bred. I just want to know what breed are these going to be the old TB's or the new TB's? Moreover should we or should the future trainer/s expect to get fragile offspring to train or hardy stock that you can expect to run often and stay relatively sound? Looking forward to this answer..lol

If we could answer that beforehand without a crystal ball we would be in very good shape

Cannon Shell 07-22-2008 10:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
So you don't buy into the theory that it was the stumble in the Preakness that started the injury?

I suppose it is possible. However with these types of injuries it is rarely clear exactly when they started because they dont show up until the horse shows lameness

Cannon Shell 07-22-2008 10:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
Your missing 25 million dollars other then that you are spot on. The horse was retired because to stop with him for 6 months was fiscally impossible. The horse could have made it back to the races and most likely would have been ok. You never know if they come 100% back but it was certainly possible. BUT 150 mares where in line on the farm. AND the trainer must be applauded and rewarded for his outstanding efforts. You win 6 graded stakes and get a horse syndicated for huge money and I wonder if you will be happy and feel good about the job. i know one person who will be thrilled...Your Bank Manager

All that is fine but we are talking about durability and training methods and AA is not a good example because we have no idea what he would have become afterwards. he may have become the next Funny Cide...

Cannon Shell 07-22-2008 10:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
Yeah cause Lukas certainly sucks at winning 2yo races and classic races. My mistake.

Interestingly enough, Lukas who trains horses very hard by modern standards (rarely backs off) is demonized because of this. Yet we are quite often told that we are too easy on our horses.

Sightseek 07-22-2008 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
All that is fine but we are talking about durability and training methods and AA is not a good example because we have no idea what he would have become afterwards. he may have become the next Funny Cide...

I thought Phalaris brought up some really good points in this thread last year:

http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/sho...=year+training

freddymo 07-22-2008 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
All that is fine but we are talking about durability and training methods and AA is not a good example because we have no idea what he would have become afterwards. he may have become the next Funny Cide...

You mean Barclay Tagg's pony in the morning?

Storm Cadet 07-22-2008 10:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Dont you think that of the thousands of "modern" trainers that one of them would have tested your theory? I always find it amusing what we "modern trainers" are doing wrong. My barn is open to anyone who wants to actually see what it is to train horses as opposed to those who just theorize what we should do.


I'll be there this Saturday AM to EXAMINE your methods!:D

freddymo 07-22-2008 10:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
All that is fine but we are talking about durability and training methods and AA is not a good example because we have no idea what he would have become afterwards. he may have become the next Funny Cide...

Up until the colt got injured the regiment was succeeding. I guess you could argue that the training method could have been the reason he got injured. I would suggest that would be impossible to prove either way. The horse made 12 starts before halfway thru his 3 year old year. 6 graded wins and the TC campaign. By today's standard he was a war horse.
Now throw in the untimely injury and the likilihood that he would not have made mor then 3 more starts and I think he was fairly durable.

As far as Concolours grand foals I would assume they have to be the old TB stock as surely the old TB stock doesn't give way in one generation.

King Glorious 07-22-2008 11:06 AM

Because it's impossible to prove either way, I think that's the exact reason using him as an example of one that succeeded under "old school" methods is a bad example.

freddymo 07-22-2008 11:14 AM

Yeah 4 Grade 1's 2 grade 2's in 12 starts hardly successful in one calender year campaign .. the colt was a flash in the pan 1 hit wonder. Bellamy Road 2 the sequel.. Ran a big fig on a hot track and got hurt.. OMG colt could have tripped in the paddock while being turned out and never raced again now low and behold his trainer is to blame for him not running in the Travers and Breeders cup before being retired anyway.. Yeah Ritchie knowing that the horse had maybe 2 or 3 starts left in his career should have backed off.. Who needs 25 mil anyway when you can run in the 2 or 3 more times and get the same 25 mil. Talk about crystal ballz

King Glorious 07-22-2008 11:29 AM

How can someone miss their own point? See above.

miraja2 07-22-2008 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
As far as Concolours grand foals I would assume they have to be the old TB stock as surely the old TB stock doesn't give way in one generation.

I'm not so sure about that. One of her female offspring is by Grindstone.
Should we really expect that one to be a bastion of soundness?

The Indomitable DrugS 07-22-2008 02:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin
How do you look up the workouts for a horse that ran in 1946?!? :zz:

I read through a copy of Hall of Fame trainer Preston Burch's 55 year old book 'Training Thoroughbred Horses'

If released today - I believe the title would now be called 'How to kill thoroughbred horses with old fashioned methods from pre medication days'

Danzig 07-22-2008 03:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
So you don't buy into the theory that it was the stumble in the Preakness that started the injury?

but he trained for three weeks after, and then ran in the belmont, and then trained more. that's a long time for an injury to percolate before lameness set in, isn't it?

Cannon Shell 07-22-2008 04:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
Up until the colt got injured the regiment was succeeding. I guess you could argue that the training method could have been the reason he got injured. I would suggest that would be impossible to prove either way. The horse made 12 starts before halfway thru his 3 year old year. 6 graded wins and the TC campaign. By today's standard he was a war horse.
Now throw in the untimely injury and the likilihood that he would not have made mor then 3 more starts and I think he was fairly durable.

As far as Concolours grand foals I would assume they have to be the old TB stock as surely the old TB stock doesn't give way in one generation.

Up until they get injured every type of training works depending on the horse. I thought we were talking about the theory that harder training prevented injuries like this? Of course that theory is wrong but at least it gives us fodder to talk about other than mud at Saratoga tomorrow.

pgardn 07-22-2008 04:31 PM

Take a look at Exterminator if you go further back.
Lightly raced as a two year old.

100 starts and 41 stake victories... is this a flippn mistake?
Incredible.
And the horse carried very large weight assignments.
Lived till 30 back when horses were not babied into old age...

Too bad he was gelded.
Gimme some of those genes.

freddymo 07-22-2008 04:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Up until they get injured every type of training works depending on the horse. I thought we were talking about the theory that harder training prevented injuries like this? Of course that theory is wrong but at least it gives us fodder to talk about other than mud at Saratoga tomorrow.


No Chuck winning 4 G1's and 2 G2's is not working it's excelling.. Paying a trainer to work a horse and having them start a few times and picking up a few checks isnt winning on the highest level. Here I am applauding the trainer and his methods only for you to be suggesting any training with any training techinques would have had equal success. Frankly I give the Ritchie a lot more credit! BTW I never liked Afleet Alex and hate Lemonade unless gin is in it.lol

Cannon Shell 07-22-2008 05:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
No Chuck winning 4 G1's and 2 G2's is not working it's excelling.. Paying a trainer to work a horse and having them start a few times and picking up a few checks isnt winning on the highest level. Here I am applauding the trainer and his methods only for you to be suggesting any training with any training techinques would have had equal success. Frankly I give the Ritchie a lot more credit! BTW I never liked Afleet Alex and hate Lemonade unless gin is in it.lol

He isnt the most accomplished horse in history or anything. There have been horses in recent times that have been trained in far different, and less stressful manners that have accomplished more. So what training methodology is correct? None, it may depend on the horse. Which gets me back to my initial thought which was the theory that the reason that "modern" horses are not as durable and able to stand up to incredible work loads has little to do with modern training techniques and lots to do with modern horses. You can absolutely give credit to Ritchey for accomplishing a lot with this horse but his methods of training do not produce more durable horses and AA is the prime example. I just find it hard to believe that if Pletcher or Lukas had trained this horse they wouldnt be subject to scorn for him breaking down yet Ritchey is praised for the same thing.

dalakhani 07-22-2008 05:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
No Chuck winning 4 G1's and 2 G2's is not working it's excelling.. Paying a trainer to work a horse and having them start a few times and picking up a few checks isnt winning on the highest level. Here I am applauding the trainer and his methods only for you to be suggesting any training with any training techinques would have had equal success. Frankly I give the Ritchie a lot more credit! BTW I never liked Afleet Alex and hate Lemonade unless gin is in it.lol

FreddyMo-

I know this question is purely speculative but...what do you think this particular horse would have accomplished if given to Frankel? Mott? Zito?

Do you think he still wins those classics and graded stakes? Do you think he has a longer career?

freddymo 07-22-2008 06:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dalakhani
FreddyMo-

I know this question is purely speculative but...what do you think this particular horse would have accomplished if given to Frankel? Mott? Zito?

Do you think he still wins those classics and graded stakes? Do you think he has a longer career?

Pure spectulation but..............Frankel would have passed on the derby and won Preakness then it would be back to the bench for a solid second in the Travers and a BCClassic win.. Mott would have had him ready for the Jim Dandy and or the Secretriat at Arlington.. Mr Z would have had triple crown champ second in the Travers and a late closing third in the BCC.. All three would have him booked to 150 mares with Zito's fee being 100k Mott's 12500 and Frankel 25k book full and closed..lol

freddymo 07-22-2008 06:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
He isnt the most accomplished horse in history or anything. There have been horses in recent times that have been trained in far different, and less stressful manners that have accomplished more. So what training methodology is correct? None, it may depend on the horse. Which gets me back to my initial thought which was the theory that the reason that "modern" horses are not as durable and able to stand up to incredible work loads has little to do with modern training techniques and lots to do with modern horses. You can absolutely give credit to Ritchey for accomplishing a lot with this horse but his methods of training do not produce more durable horses and AA is the prime example. I just find it hard to believe that if Pletcher or Lukas had trained this horse they wouldnt be subject to scorn for him breaking down yet Ritchey is praised for the same thing.

If he was the most accomplished horse in history you would have nothing to say other then congrats. Pletcher killed more horses then Hitler killed people.. D Wayne is legend unfortunately once his go south they head to Chile with no return flight. Not sure how a solid medicator like Ritchie is even mentioned inn the same Breath but he does deserve all the credit for winning a lot of money for his owners and himself.. Whatever the f he did for whatever reason it worked!!

Danzig 07-22-2008 06:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
Pure spectulation but..............Frankel would have passed on the derby and won Preakness then it would be back to the bench for a solid second in the Travers and a BCClassic win.. Mott would have had him ready for the Jim Dandy and or the Secretriat at Arlington.. Mr Z would have had triple crown champ second in the Travers and a late closing third in the BCC.. All three would have him booked to 150 mares with Zito's fee being 100k Mott's 12500 and Frankel 25k book full and closed..lol

why would frankel have passed on the derby? reason why i ask is that he ran empire maker there on a bum foot, so he obviously is not immune to derby fever.

Danzig 07-22-2008 06:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
If he was the most accomplished horse in history you would have nothing to say other then congrats. Pletcher killed more horses then Hitler killed people.. D Wayne is legend unfortunately once his go south they head to Chile with no return flight. Not sure how a solid medicator like Ritchie is even mentioned inn the same Breath but he does deserve all the credit for winning a lot of money for his owners and himself.. Whatever the f he did for whatever reason it worked!!

wow
hitting the hyperbole bottle today?

freddymo 07-22-2008 06:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
why would frankel have passed on the derby? reason why i ask is that he ran empire maker there on a bum foot, so he obviously is not immune to derby fever.

I am assuming Afleet Alex wasn't a Juddemonte

Danzig 07-22-2008 06:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
I am assuming Afleet Alex wasn't a Juddemonte

so you think it was juddmonte who pushed the issue with empire maker?
but why would frankel have passed on the derby? alex came damn close to winning the thing.

freddymo 07-22-2008 06:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
so you think it was juddmonte who pushed the issue with empire maker?
but why would frankel have passed on the derby? alex came damn close to winning the thing.

I think when the owners of some of the best stock in the world have a request you have to pay attention.

Danzig 07-22-2008 06:49 PM

true, true. but i think that frankel has earned a right of refusal as well-what point having a trainer if you feel he should have no say, or isn't worth listening to? i think he felt that empire maker was much better than the rest, bum foot notwithstanding. and he was almost right.

Pedigree Ann 07-23-2008 05:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Interestingly enough, Lukas who trains horses very hard by modern standards (rarely backs off) is demonized because of this. Yet we are quite often told that we are too easy on our horses.

Trains but doesn't condition. The long slow gallops are the conditioning; the speed work is the training. Lukas depended on the natural talents of his runners (and he could pick out real athletes) to carry them over a distance.

miraja2 07-23-2008 08:33 AM

This debate has become tiresome.
I want to hear DrugS discuss whether or not he thinks Assault just won the Derby because of his rail-skimming, Street Sense/Calvin Borrel-type trip.

Sightseek 07-23-2008 08:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
This debate has become tiresome.
I want to hear DrugS discuss whether or not he thinks Assault just won the Derby because of his rail-skimming, Street Sense/Calvin Borrel-type trip.

:tro:

RolloTomasi 07-23-2008 07:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I read through a copy of Hall of Fame trainer Preston Burch's 55 year old book 'Training Thoroughbred Horses'

If released today - I believe the title would now be called 'How to kill thoroughbred horses with old fashioned methods from pre medication days'

Ironically enough, it was Assault's full brother, Air Lift, who broke down in his career debut at 2 (trainer was Max Hirsch) that led to that famous editorial someone posted a month or two ago entitled "Death of a Racehorse".

Of course, being a full brother is in truth more like being a "half brother", genetically speaking that is, so technically its not that ironic.

But poetically it is...


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