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-   -   Kent's Ride: Stride-by-stride (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23195)

stonegossard 06-11-2008 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Now this is funny. Justin, take notes.

Unfortuneatly I didnt write this.......it came from Justindouchenozzle. Just a reprint.

SentToStud 06-11-2008 12:48 PM

The Royal Rumble of threads.

All I know is if you are riding "the best horse you've ever ridden" and if you are so confident that all your horse has to do " is get in the starting gate" and you put the kind of ride on the steed like Desormeaux did, you are, at least in part, responsible.

justindew 06-11-2008 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stonegossard
Unfortuneatly I didnt write this.......it came from Justindouchenozzle. Just a reprint.

Just admit you have a crush on me. You spend way, WAY too much time thinking about/remembering/commenting on things I say.

Travis Stone 06-11-2008 12:48 PM

The risk/reward of quarter horsing up the rail is significant:

- Garcia could drift in just enough to prevent it.
- Da' Tara could hook-up with Big Brown, both going too fast to last.
- Big Brown could resist.

If he does get through, suddenly he's run a quarter in the low 23 range to make up the lengths and get the lead, which is quite fast for 12 furlongs, given all his other question marks.

Travis Stone 06-11-2008 12:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud
All I know is if you are riding "the best horse you've ever ridden" and if you are so confident that all your horse has to do " is get in the starting gate" and you put the kind of ride on the steed like Desormeaux did, you are, at least in part, responsible.

I look at it this way -- he didn't cause the loss by any stretch of the imagination. At the same time, he didn't do the horse any favors. But given the chain of events, I'm not sure very many jockeys would have.

The Bid 06-11-2008 12:51 PM

Travis

We are talking about a horse who was being compared to Secretariat and Seattle Slew. Do you think Slew or Secretariat could have endured an opening quarter with Da Tara, eyeball to eyeball? Its lunacy to think that the best move was taking this horse back, he should have been sent up the rail and given an opportunity to run. Maybe he doesnt get the distance, maybe he comes up short, whatever. The betting public deserved an opportunity, and so did the horse.

johnny pinwheel 06-11-2008 12:52 PM

that horse would not of won unless it was pegasus and sprouted wings. blaming the jock is easy but what race did these folks see? i was there, the horse was uncomfortable from the start. something was definetly wrong , i don't care what they say. by the time he settled he was used up, he could not even keep up with d'tara and tale of ekati. is that the same horse we saw a few weeks ago ? it would be one thing if he lost but he did not even finish the race. and if he can't take a couple bumps or being inside horses, well he does not deserve a triple crown, its part of the game. i was suspect of this horse from day 1. yet the countless "experts" on here touted him as secretariat. whenever i hear someone say a horse can't lose, i know they don't know much, this includes dutrow. that horse went out there sore or with an empty tank, Christ could of had the mount, BB was not winning at 1 1/2 miles that day!

SentToStud 06-11-2008 12:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone
I look at it this way -- he didn't cause the loss by any stretch of the imagination. At the same time, he didn't do the horse any favors. But given the chain of events, I'm not sure very many jockeys would have.

Travis,
My only point is that Kent didn't know the horse was going to be empty. And he certainly didn't ride as if he had the far best horse. But I doubt he had a contingency for breaking bad and out.

Coach Pants 06-11-2008 12:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel
that horse would not of won unless it was pegasus and sprouted wings. blaming the jock is easy but what race did these folks see? i was there, the horse was uncomfortable from the start. something was definetly wrong , i don't care what they say. by the time he settled he was used up, he could not even keep up with d'tara and tale of ekati. is that the same horse we saw a few weeks ago ? it would be one thing if he lost but he did not even finish the race. and if he can't take a couple bumps or being inside horses, well he does not deserve a triple crown, its part of the game. i was suspect of this horse from day 1. yet the countless "experts" on here touted him as secretariat. whenever i hear someone say a horse can't lose, i know they don't know much, this includes dutrow. that horse went out there sore or with an empty tank, Christ could of had the mount, BB was not winning at 1 1/2 miles that day!

Who on here compared this horse to Secretariat?

Oh yeah...



RABBLE RABBLE RABBLE!!

johnny pinwheel 06-11-2008 12:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel
that horse would not of won unless it was pegasus and sprouted wings. blaming the jock is easy but what race did these folks see? i was there, the horse was uncomfortable from the start. something was definetly wrong , i don't care what they say. by the time he settled he was used up, he could not even keep up with d'tara and tale of ekati. is that the same horse we saw a few weeks ago ? it would be one thing if he lost but he did not even finish the race. and if he can't take a couple bumps or being inside horses, well he does not deserve a triple crown, its part of the game. i was suspect of this horse from day 1. yet the countless "experts" on here touted him as secretariat. whenever i hear someone say a horse can't lose, i know they don't know much, this includes dutrow. that horse went out there sore or with an empty tank, Christ could of had the mount, BB was not winning at 1 1/2 miles that day!

the truth. you know what i'm saying . these kids and others taking bets on if he'll win by 10. the race is a forgone conclusion and all the rest of the bs on here. which is why i had the pic 3

ArlJim78 06-11-2008 01:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone
I look at it this way -- he didn't cause the loss by any stretch of the imagination. At the same time, he didn't do the horse any favors. But given the chain of events, I'm not sure very many jockeys would have.

exactly right on. well put.

Coach Pants 06-11-2008 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel
the truth. you know what i'm saying . these kids and others taking bets on if he'll win by 10. the race is a forgone conclusion and all the rest of the bs on here. which is why i had the pic 3

You did? I didn't see it posted in the selections thread. All I saw was the work of a professional redboarder. You picked the winners of the first two legs but absolutely no mention of Da' Tara. And really you didn't have any opinion of Big Brown until after the race.

Pretty weak stuff.

SentToStud 06-11-2008 01:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
This is strictly an opinion kind of question. Do you personally think that Dutrow, Desormeaux or anyone form IEAH was that confident? How could they be, with the foot issue?

I'd say Dutrow and IEAH thought:

1/3 chance they believed he was unbeatable no matter what.
1/3 chance they thought the foot was no problem, leaving all the other kinds of reasons that led to the last 10 Derby-Preakness winners losing the race.
1/3 chance they thought they were in big trouble for reasons known and unknown to others.

Thing is, I doubt they'd have shared anything negative with the jockey. I just thought Desormeaux didn't ride like he thought he was on the far best horse.

the_fat_man 06-11-2008 01:10 PM

There are some 'big names in the industry' posting here? Not as big as some of the experts that do the pre-race commentary, right?

Kasept 06-11-2008 02:16 PM

OK.. :wf Had enough... Had to edit this thread a piece... Stay to topic and away from the personality profiling/analysis please. Those that dislike each know who they are and should be able to avoid each other.

Coach Pants 06-11-2008 02:20 PM

:mad:

Kasept 06-11-2008 02:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
:mad:



:rolleyes:




Coming next? :L:

Coach Pants 06-11-2008 02:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
:rolleyes:




Coming next? :L:

Oh no!! There aren't enough threads about Big Brown!! Don't do it, boss!!!

Kasept 06-11-2008 02:56 PM

'Stride' debate: The starter on track & photo stand
 
Did starter on track and photo stand add to Big Brown's early agitation?



jcs11204 06-11-2008 02:57 PM

i tend to agree with dick on this one.... and i am a kent lover. but i said before the race, why risk getting in any trouble ? why not go straight to the top, and he did not, and he got in trouble.

MaTH716 06-11-2008 03:07 PM

and the witch hunt continues....... What's next, he was distracted by Quantas 747 landing at JFK?

Kasept 06-11-2008 03:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716
and the witch hunt continues....... What's next, he was distracted by Quantas 747 landing at JFK?

This is old news actually. Ed Fontaine of the Post had the photo Sunday in the paper and there was early speculation that the starter in white pants on the track and the 15' camera stand both contributed to the colt's early edginess.

ateamstupid 06-11-2008 03:26 PM

Yeah, why does that dude need to be there?

GBBob 06-11-2008 03:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Yeah, why does that dude need to be there?

If I was that dude, I wouldn't want to be there

Antitrust32 06-11-2008 03:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Yeah, why does that dude need to be there?


yeah man he looks like he's right in Browns path... doesnt make sense to me at all.

Kasept 06-11-2008 03:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Maybe I'm wrong, but this isn't the first time the starter has stood close to the horses. It happens all the time. Granted, this starter seems further down past the gate then normal, but are the connections serious with the excuses?

Reaction to the photo didn't come from connections. It came from press when they saw it. And the starter is usually on the other side of the rail and closer up. It's not just him either. The tower of photographers is right there too and it's been suggested that it caught his eye too.

slotdirt 06-11-2008 03:59 PM

If you look really closely, I'm in the middle right portion of the crowd in that picture. Can you see me?

NoLuvForPletch 06-11-2008 03:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Did starter on track and photo stand add to Big Brown's early agitation?



Looks like a nice ad for West Point TB...

Cannon Shell 06-11-2008 04:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Reaction to the photo didn't come from connections. It came from press when they saw it. And the starter is usually on the other side of the rail and closer up. It's not just him either. The tower of photographers is right there too and it's been suggested that it caught his eye too.

The starter at NYRA is always on the track not inside the rail. Started by Bob Duncan who thought he could see the field better from that vantage point. Most starters are on a little platform inside the rail.

sdjcom 06-11-2008 04:46 PM

The reason is the horse was simply not in shape or ready for this race. after setting around 3 weeks and foot problems, then a light work-out is like trying to play full-court basketball after laying on the couch for a week. kent had a rank horse for the moment they brought him over from barn. he should have never run in this race period.

robfla 06-11-2008 05:31 PM

ny times and espn report dutrow and desormeaux "back on target" and KD retains mount- also Big Brown's monthly winstrol will resume.:zz:

ELA 06-11-2008 05:40 PM

I just don't see what all the debating is about. Sure, is there a tendency to "blame" or "look for excuses" or "justification" for that matter? Yeah, I guess I can see that.

Be that as it may -- I think this is very simple. The jock did not cause this horse to lose the race -- PERIOD! Was it a textbook ride? No, but this horse on this day was not a textbook horse. There were many things going on and many contributory factors that played into the entire situation. The jock played the cards he was dealt and nobody truly knows if the cards could have been played differently. Based upon everything that was going on, it is more probable that possible, that there was nothing else that could have been done. The jock was dealing with an unmanagable, close to unmanagble, difficult to control, perhaps impossible to control, horse.

It's always easier -- very easy as a matter of fact -- to play, or replay, the hand after it's over. It's also very easy to say how it should have been played, but that's when you have the liberty of knowing the outcome or of second guessing the decision that was made.

Eric

Danzig 06-11-2008 07:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
To me it looked like Big Brown cross-fired around the first turn. From there on out I just knew that he was sore because I could see him grimacing halfway down the backstretch.

as good an explanation as any others i've seen.

i like billy turners take on it-they couldn't train him right, and get him fit for 12f due to the foot. there were a variety of factors that contributed to his loss, but i think most of it was the foot.

to say 'oh it's all desormeauxs fault' is an oversimplification. it's a lot of things. kent had nothing but horse every other race; he rode him the same way this time, and the horse wasn't there. that's not kents fault.

ELA 06-11-2008 07:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Bid
Travis

We are talking about a horse who was being compared to Secretariat and Seattle Slew. Do you think Slew or Secretariat could have endured an opening quarter with Da Tara, eyeball to eyeball? Its lunacy to think that the best move was taking this horse back, he should have been sent up the rail and given an opportunity to run. Maybe he doesnt get the distance, maybe he comes up short, whatever. The betting public deserved an opportunity, and so did the horse.

Good point, but I am not buying this arguement from people. I think the only people who were comparing this horse to Secretariat or Seattle Slew were either glamorizing the present and the comparison or were completely uninformed or uneducated. The sport needs that kind of comparison. It's only natural. People get excited that "it's happening -- again" perhaps. It's like someone approaching hitting 400, or the old 60 home run mark. People get into that mindset.

This horse had a lot more to do in order to be truly compared to and on par with those two greats. If he won, sure, he would be an undefeated Triple Crown winner -- and that's a "great accomplishment" -- but it doesn't make him one of the all-time greats or a truly great horse. It certainly gets him closer, but not all there.

In my mind, he'd have to keep going -- and go on -- not retire undefeated, but go on and continue to prove that he is a truly great horse. If he came back, one a few more G1's, beat older horses, faced adversity again and again, took on all comers, the mid-year and late bloomers, and so on. If he retired after winning the Triple Crown undefeated -- to me the true greatness was still elusive. The greatness was perhaps what could have been. It was the potential -- and that is not definitive. Secreatariat and Seattle Slew were in my mind.

Eric

The Bid 06-11-2008 09:58 PM

Eric

With horses being sent to the shed so quickly its almost better for history that Big Brown did'nt win. Had he won the Triple Crown the comparisions to Seattle Slew would have been cut in dry in some peoples minds. That would have been extremely unfair to the true immortals of the game.

Hopefully the humiliation suffered after connections shot their mouths off for 3 weeks leading into the Belmont, will be too much for the egomaniacs involved to swollow. If that is the case they will almost certainly keep the horse in training and pursue Curlin.

If Mr Clay bought in 10PCT at 5 million his investment has been chopped in half. Right now I cannot imagine Big Brown standing for more than 30k. Mr Clay is essentially in on that horse standing at well over 30k. He needs to do more on the track to make the math work.


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