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-   -   5/31 (TDN): Ohio Derby (Gr. II) Smooth Air-102 BSF (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=22827)

hockey2315 05-28-2008 10:55 PM

Umm. . . Weren't you the one who said Visionaire would win this race by 15 lengths?

stonegossard 05-28-2008 10:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
First of, just say it, you embarrassed yourself with the " First Defence is a better horse than Commentator " line.

Since when do I worship Beyer figs? As I've said here many times, they are a small part of my handicapping and use them as a rough guide.

But mostly, when did I say that Visionaire was better than Smooth Air?


This guy said that.

Explains alot.


I guess he has locked up The Idiot of the Month award for May.

stonegossard 05-28-2008 11:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
I figured you were implying that with the "I can't believe there's an argument" line, but I guess not.

I said I think FD is just as good as Commentator, if not better. He chased a loose pacesetter through wicked fractions and flattened out late. BFD. It's easier to set fast fractions than to chase them, IMO. I still think First Defence will still have a good year, and he can do other things than go to the front and hold on for dear life.


Is it April Fool's day every day in your world ?


You honestly think First Defence ran better than Commentator the other day?

It's easier to set wicked fractions then chase them?

Where in god's name do you come up with this stuff ?


Nice opininion there Charles Manson jr.

stonegossard 05-28-2008 11:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
He's not very good - better? He's awful compared to what a lot of people think about him. And the Gotham was a total joke.


Not very good...fine...just like EVERY other 3 yr old except BB and Casino Drive.

I dont think a TON of him...but in this year's crop he is ok. Gotham was a bad field..as was Fl Derby...Hutcheson...Lecomte...and every other 3 yr old race.

hockey2315 05-28-2008 11:03 PM

You think enough of him to make him the 15 length winner of the Ohio Derby.

ateamstupid 05-28-2008 11:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stonegossard
Yes...and Z fortune and Smooth Air have monsterous wins also. Please.....Who have they beaten?

All 3 are ok 3 yr olds....I cant see a HUGE difference between any of em.

Z fortune has an allowance race where he beat nada in Dec. Then he beats the mighty Blackberry Road in The Lecomte....Blackberry Road hasnt done a thing all year. The Darp is a nice horse though.........

Smooth Air had a nice race in The Hutcheson....then runs 3rd to 2 average horses at Tampa...suck up 2nd in FL Derby ahead a bunch of misfits (show me one decent horse who ran in there besides BB)....


As far as the Derby....Z fortune..Smooth Air...and Visionaire all finished basically within 2 lengths of eachother in order....so to say that one of them is garbage and the other 2 aren't is rather ridiculous

LOL, this whole thing started because you said Visionaire would win this race by 15 lengths. I never said the other two were tons better than him, I was just pointing out how ridiculous that was.

ateamstupid 05-28-2008 11:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stonegossard
Is it April Fool's day every day in your world ?


You honestly think First Defence ran better than Commentator the other day?

It's easier to set wicked fractions then chase them?

Where in god's name do you come up with this stuff ?


Nice opininion there Charles Manson jr.

Nice spelling there douchenozzle. Why don't you jump off my sack? At least Andy is funny when he breaks my balls.

Cajungator26 05-28-2008 11:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Nice spelling there douchenozzle. Why don't you jump off my sack? At least Andy is funny when he breaks my balls.

YES! This is the Joey I know and adore. :cool:

westcoastinvader 05-29-2008 03:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
YES! This is the Joey I know and adore. :cool:


Rumor is that after Garrett Gomez goes to Ohio to ride Z Fortune to the Ohio Derby win, he's gonna DH for the Cleveland Indians for awhile.

Can't be any worse than Travis Hafner, I wouldn't think.

Hickory Hill Hoff 05-29-2008 06:28 AM

I'll throw in Stolen Chevy along with the two Derby also rans, but I like in the win spot Cherokee Artist...the fresh face ;)

miraja2 05-29-2008 06:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff
I'll throw in Stolen Chevy along with the two Derby also rans, but I like in the win spot Cherokee Artist...the fresh face ;)

I think the fact that Celtic Meal is in the race will probably ensure that Stolen Chevy has little chance here.
I doubt that I will end up betting this race, but if I do, I agree with you on Cherokee Artist.


To me it certainly seems like Smooth Air only wants one turn, but if he is ever going to win a two-turn graded stakes race, this is probably it. I'm STILL trying to figure out why some people here thought he was a contender going 10f.

stonegossard 05-29-2008 07:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
You think enough of him to make him the 15 length winner of the Ohio Derby.

I was being sarcastic.....my bad. But seriously I think he is good enough to handle this putrid field.

stonegossard 05-29-2008 07:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
LOL, this whole thing started because you said Visionaire would win this race by 15 lengths. I never said the other two were tons better than him, I was just pointing out how ridiculous that was.


Was being sarcastic....sorry about that. But in all seriousness I think he could beat this field......rather pathetic bunch.

stonegossard 05-29-2008 07:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Nice spelling there douchenozzle. Why don't you jump off my sack? At least Andy is funny when he breaks my balls.

It's nothing personal...anyone who thinks that FD ran a better race than Commentator deserves Idiot of the Month. If needed there can be multiple winners for May.

ateamstupid 05-29-2008 08:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stonegossard
It's nothing personal...anyone who thinks that FD ran a better race than Commentator deserves Idiot of the Month. If needed there can be multiple winners for May.

But Dew's worked so hard for the honor.

Seriously though, I never said FD ran better on Monday. I said I thought he's as good as Commentator, maybe better. That may or may not prove to be true (depending on one's criteria). For the record, I don't think anybody in the Met ran all that well.

slotdirt 05-29-2008 08:42 AM

LOL at douchenozzle.

blackthroatedwind 05-29-2008 08:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
But Dew's worked so hard for the honor.

Seriously though, I never said FD ran better on Monday. I said I thought he's as good as Commentator, maybe better. That may or may not prove to be true (depending on one's criteria). For the record, I don't think anybody in the Met ran all that well.


Come on Joey. He's clearly reasonably talented, but has now bombed in two of his three biggest tests. Commentator has does some great things on the racetrack. Honestly, there is zero chance he is close to as good as Commentator.

The unfortunate thing is that First Defence might have had a shot to beat Benny the Bull in the True North. An outside shot but maybe catching that one in his first start since Dubai would have evened things up a little. I understand why Frankel took a shot in the Met Mile, as it would have meant ten times as much, but ultimately if First Defence is going to do anything it will probably be at 6F or MAYBE 7F.

The simple fact is he's been a major disappointment and if he wasn't a Jeddmonte/Frankel horse, based on his overall pps, nobody would really pay him much mind.

ArlJim78 05-29-2008 09:06 AM

the relative talent comparision between Commentator and First Defence was played out perfectly in the Met Mile. It wasn't the greatest looking race in the end but one thing that should have come out of the result is that First Defence was no match.

blackthroatedwind 05-29-2008 09:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
the relative talent comparision between Commentator and First Defence was played out perfectly in the Met Mile. It wasn't the greatest looking race in the end but one thing that should have come out of the result is that First Defence was no match.

It's easy sometimes, at least in our minds, to compare horses from the same barn and I can't help but think of Latent Heat. Well, Latent Heat at least won the Malibu, albeit with a perfect trip, but he too was ultimately a disappointment. He, however, would have drowned First Defence.

But, you're absolutely right, Monday's race showed the chasm of difference in their talents. Commentator at 7 is still much better than First Defence who should be running in peak form midway through his 4YO year. There's simply no comparison between the two horses.

ateamstupid 05-29-2008 09:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Come on Joey. He's clearly reasonably talented, but has now bombed in two of his three biggest tests. Commentator has does some great things on the racetrack. Honestly, there is zero chance he is close to as good as Commentator.

The unfortunate thing is that First Defence might have had a shot to beat Benny the Bull in the True North. An outside shot but maybe catching that one in his first start since Dubai would have evened things up a little. I understand why Frankel took a shot in the Met Mile, as it would have meant ten times as much, but ultimately if First Defence is going to do anything it will probably be at 6F or MAYBE 7F.

The simple fact is he's been a major disappointment and if he wasn't a Jeddmonte/Frankel horse, based on his overall pps, nobody would really pay him much mind.

I said the same thing about Divine Park, and I don't see you giving me **** about that. ;)

blackthroatedwind 05-29-2008 09:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
I said the same thing about Divine Park, and I don't see you giving me **** about that. ;)

Because I agreed with you at the time about Divine Park's chances on Monday. It was First Defence I said you were nuts about.

Divine Park is still a long way from being the kind of horse Commentator was at one time in his career. He, at his peak, appears to be somewhere in Commentator's league as a 7YO.

Bobby Fischer 05-29-2008 09:47 AM

whos better

z fortune, your round, cherokee artist or commentator?

Bobby Fischer 05-29-2008 09:58 AM

^^^^
out of the ones facing off in Ohio

ateamstupid 05-29-2008 10:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
whos better

z fortune, your round, cherokee artist or commentator?

Depends on who gets to the lead. :D

Bobby Fischer 05-29-2008 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Depends on who gets to the lead. :D

you really think Commentator could get a Mile&1/8th ?

hockey2315 05-29-2008 10:26 AM

Well he did run a 123 BSF at 1 1/8.

Bobby Fischer 05-29-2008 10:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
Well he did run a 123 BSF at 1 1/8.

pffft 3 years ago, and the effort pretty much relegated him to gradeII status.

hockey2315 05-29-2008 10:36 AM

Commentator would beat those three horses by double digits - I'm assuming you're just joking. . .

Bobby Fischer 05-29-2008 10:42 AM

yes


EDIT:eek:
what a race

Doubt commentator runs back on a week's vacation. Scratch the superhorse.

Your Round is one of the few here that doesn't seem to be crippled by 9furlongs. I like him to either win or be in the money. Hopefully somewhat below the radar with such names as Smooth Air in the mix.

Z Fortune prefers a mile, but this is his class. He is also a big beast. If he can get a good trip he can bid here.

cherokee is probably too green.

Your Round/ZFortune & hoping the public jumps on the air up there

stonegossard 05-29-2008 01:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
But Dew's worked so hard for the honor.

Seriously though, I never said FD ran better on Monday. I said I thought he's as good as Commentator, maybe better. That may or may not prove to be true (depending on one's criteria). For the record, I don't think anybody in the Met ran all that well.


No comment on Dew.......


I think Commentator is a better horse than FD...showed it the other day the way he put him away after being passed. Never been a big fan of FD....

I thought The Met was a good race. Commentator ran his eyeballs out...although he got a perfect set up, Divine Park ran well.....after that though you are right....no one else ran.

I bet Lord Snowdown for the 48th straight time.....when will I learn.

stonegossard 05-29-2008 01:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt
LOL at douchenozzle.


Yes...was about to get mad at him for calling me that...but damn...thats a great friggin word.

The Bid 05-29-2008 03:19 PM

I think Smooth Air is going to be very tough in the Ohio Derby. Looking forward to him winning

Cajungator26 05-29-2008 05:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stonegossard
Yes...was about to get mad at him for calling me that...but damn...thats a great friggin word.

It sure is. LOL :D

alysheba4 05-29-2008 05:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Nice spelling there douchenozzle. Why don't you jump off my sack? At least Andy is funny when he breaks my balls.

mr. t pitys that flanel wearing poser fool........

herkhorse 05-31-2008 06:42 AM

If I could bet this race I'd play Cherokee Artist:mad: Seems like this is the race where alot of Derby hopefuls go to start their fade into oblivion.:rolleyes:

justindew 05-31-2008 04:36 PM

Smooth Air is solid.

hockey2315 05-31-2008 04:37 PM

How many he win by? Glad Cherokee Artist got bet way down because I wanted to play him.

King Glorious 05-31-2008 05:25 PM

I don't know why I'm going to try this but here goes. I don't think that First Defence is a better horse than Commentator is. Not even close. Just like I don't think Lamar Odom is a better basketball player than Kevin Garnett is. Again, not close. What Commentator and Garnett have in common is what they are good at, they are GREAT at. Commentator, when allowed to run alone and control a pace, is as brilliant as we've seen in a while. Garnett, when allowed to be a complimentary player, is outstanding too. But when either it taken out of their element and asked to do something different, both of them lose a little something and lesser horses or players can sometimes make up the difference. I think this is what he was trying to get at when he said that First Defence is a better horse; because he's a little more versatile. I remember having a converasation about Candy Ride a couple of years ago along these same lines. I had told someone that singularly, Candy Ride didn't have the resume to be voted as the champion horse on the dirt or on the turf but when combined, maybe he did have the resume to be voted HOY. Or Lava Man. He may not have been the best dirt horse in 2006 and he may not have been the best grass horse either but maybe he was the best overall horse. Maybe none of this makes sense but I think that's what he was trying to get at, that's he'd take a horse that can do more things above average than one that can do only one thing, even if he's brilliant at that one thing. Think of it another way. Would you rather have one player that can get you 45 points if his jumper is falling but he can't ever put the ball on the floor and get to the basket and he can't play any defense and he doesn't rebound well or pass well..........or would you rather have a guy that may only get you 20 points but he can create his own shot, get you 6-8 rebounds, get you 4-6 assists, and also play some defense?

stonegossard 05-31-2008 05:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justindew
Smooth Air is solid.

That might be the worst ever field in a 300k Race. As long as he keeps on running vs garbage like he faced today he will be fine.


Visionaire woulda won by 5.

blackthroatedwind 05-31-2008 05:52 PM

King Glorious
 
I like the analogy and what you say makes a lot of sense. Personally I prefer a horse that is truly exceptional in a certain way but obviously a horse with real ability that is tractable has advantages.

The problem in this specific comparison, and I know you weren't specifically espousing this belief, is that First Defence has never really done anything of merit and has, in fact, disappointed more often than not when faced with any real test. Maybe the argument works better between Commentator and Divine Park, in that Divine Park will probably never equal the electrifying performance that Commentator delivered in the Whitney but because of his talent and tractability he is more reliable to accomplish more in a broad spectrum.

War Pass is a horse that also comes to mind. There is no real question that he is a superior talent but there was always the question of whether or not he could rate effectively. As of now it appears he can't and in many ways that may have proven his undoing. War Emblem had those same questions going into the Preakness, but he managed to rate, and ended up winning the race.


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