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2Hot4TV 05-03-2008 08:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
they all do at this point. what derby winner isn't the next tc winner? :rolleyes:

Sea Hero.

The Bid 05-03-2008 08:05 PM

There are some runners lurking in the shadows.

fpsoxfan 05-03-2008 08:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Bid
There are some runners lurking in the shadows.

Really? Who?

The Bid 05-03-2008 08:10 PM

Pleanty of new shooters, dont feel like going through a gaggle of possibles when we dont know whos going where.

fpsoxfan 05-03-2008 08:13 PM

Well then...I guess there's nobody. Big Brown is the next triple crown winner.

The Bid 05-03-2008 08:15 PM

If you say so

fpsoxfan 05-03-2008 08:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Bid
If you say so

It's more like I hope so.

johnny pinwheel 05-03-2008 08:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sdjcom
Hello Handicappers,
Iv'e Heard For Weeks From All The Writers And Pundits How Big Brown Had No Bottom, Beyer Said This , He Hasn't Had A Derby Pick In 20 Yrs. How To Inexperience He Was. I'll Take
Talent Over That Anytime. They All Saw The Same Race I Did In Florida Out Of The 12 Hole And How He Did It. No Horse This Year Has Come Close To This Performance. I Touted Him From The Get-go,
That's Right I'll Blow My Own Horn. Steve Davidowitz Blogs, Chat Rooms And Forums Are For The Fans , Not Professional Writers As You Suggest, Hell You What All The Attention.

wow ... you picked a 5-2 shot in the derby....you are an expert! i lost.... do i care.....hell no i'll bet against the favorite next year too. just the way i bet. but when i win it pays more than 7 dollars.

CSC 05-03-2008 08:24 PM

It's really early to talk Triple Crown but it seems to be the obvious question on most people's mind when we have a derby winner.

The major difference what we have this year is the lack of depth of top 3 yr olds as we had in 2007.

So I guess unless someone shows some promise or ascension in their form, Big Brown may be the best chance of a triple crown winner in years.

Then Just one question, why am I not excited?

fpsoxfan 05-03-2008 08:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I took a stand against Big Brown and was wrong. But man, do you have a lot of nerve. For over a week now all you have done is write in post after post how you don't like Big Brown. So he wins and you insult people that picked him. Nice....

Good point Hossy. I didn't have the exacta or a thing for that matter.
Congrats to those that did. With that said, I just think this thing is a tank.
Looks real good.

Hickory Hill Hoff 05-03-2008 08:32 PM

The headline read; "Don't put your money on Big Brown in the Derby"

Ouch!

pgiaco 05-03-2008 08:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt
To answer the original question:

Please God, no.

I've never rooted so hard against a Triple Crown winner as I will be this horse. Between the super light foundation, the crooked trainer, and the obnoxious owners, I just can't do it.

Well said. The horse made me a believer, but the connections are real tough to swallow.

pgardn 05-03-2008 08:35 PM

The horse was not even that tired.
He is the best. He ran tough the whole
way.

Injuries stop him or else something we
have not seen yet:

A horse in front of him and to his outside
while he takes dirt in the face. They just keep
him wide cause he is so damn good.

And on that turn for home he very athletically
powered to the inside once clear. Pretty awesome.

But has yet to be trapped and eat some ground.
Got to see that, waiting to see him react to that.
Just cant envision the set up with this years group.
Should be interesting.

CSC 05-03-2008 08:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgiaco
Well said. The horse made me a believer, but the connections are real tough to swallow.

+1 Real hard to like.

Not to be confused with the horse.

RolloTomasi 05-03-2008 08:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
It's really early to talk Triple Crown but it seems to be the obvious question on most people's mind when we have a derby winner.

The major difference what we have this year is the lack of depth of top 3 yr olds as we had in 2007.

So I guess unless someone shows some promise or ascension in their form, Big Brown may be the best chance of a triple crown winner in years.

Then Just one question, why am I not excited?

After the Barbaro fiasco, in which TC talk was very strong after a similar Derby performance, I suppose people are resigned to not giving their hopes up anymore.

The difference this year is that there doesn't seem to be any Bernadini (who was still 12-1 in the Preakness nonetheless) on the horizon, unless that Harlem Rocker gets rerouted from Canada.

Hickory Hill Hoff 05-03-2008 08:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Unless some new horses emerge, who beats him at Pimlico? Harlem Rocker is still at this point being pointed towards the Queens Plate. The Zito that won the first at Churchill today is obviously real nice, but I doubt we see him back so quick. Who else is there? I think the only thing that can get this horse beat in the next 5 weeks is himself (his feet).

This is so true

Riot 05-03-2008 08:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff
This is so true

Well, our Derby winner cruised over a nondescript field (exception the utterly classy Eight Belles) in a race that started in 23:30, and slowed from there to a rather glacial 2:01:82, considering how fast the track was playing today.

Granted, he was never pressured and just did his own thing. But my gosh, the rest of them are indeed proving themselves terrible!

3kings 05-03-2008 09:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
they all do at this point. what derby winner isn't the next tc winner? :rolleyes:

War Emblem

2Hot4TV 05-03-2008 09:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel
wow ... you picked a 5-2 shot in the derby....you are an expert! i lost.... do i care.....hell no i'll bet against the favorite next year too. just the way i bet. but when i win it pays more than 7 dollars.

I would change my bets for 7 buck in a second.

ateamstupid 05-03-2008 09:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mumtaz
Well, our Derby winner cruised over a nondescript field (exception the utterly classy Eight Belles) in a race that started in 23:30, and slowed from there to a rather glacial 2:01:82, considering how fast the track was playing today.

Granted, he was never pressured and just did his own thing. But my gosh, the rest of them are indeed proving themselves terrible!

Glacial? :rolleyes:

The horse is a beast, there was nothing "glacial" about his run today.

sumitas 05-03-2008 09:41 PM

I do hope a horse knocks this guy off. It's gonna be tough tho.

I think Col John can do it. For sure his connections have much much more class than IEH or whatever they call themselves.

dalakhani 05-03-2008 09:43 PM

triple crown (barring injury) is a forgone conclusion. In saying that, it doesnt mean that he is better than any of the other horses that looked great winning the derby over the last couple of years only to come up short. Rather, it is more a reflection on how bad the rest of this crop is. There is no one running that is even close.

dalakhani 05-03-2008 09:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sumitas
I do hope a horse knocks this guy off. It's gonna be tough tho.

Yeah, and which horse is going to get it done? Denis of Cork?

Not tough, impossible.

This is just a really bad crop with one stand out.

Baranduin 05-03-2008 09:48 PM

Two standouts, Dalakhani, it's just that one won't be able to run.....:(

CSC 05-03-2008 09:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
After the Barbaro fiasco, in which TC talk was very strong after a similar Derby performance, I suppose people are resigned to not giving their hopes up anymore.

The difference this year is that there doesn't seem to be any Bernadini (who was still 12-1 in the Preakness nonetheless) on the horizon, unless that Harlem Rocker gets rerouted from Canada.

Canadian horses don't usually do well in American Triple Crown events with the exception of Northern Dancer and Sunny's Halo. Alydeed finished second in the Preakness off the Derby Trial, I guess you can make a case that Touch Gold was a product of Canadian racing, ran as a 2 yr old at Woodbine and was by a Canadian Sire and Mare the only exception was he bred in the U.S but it sure looks like there aren't too many new shooters on the horizon. Dahaar and Awesome Again were also late developers.

If Big Brown does go on to win the Triple Crown, the comparisons to Seattle Slew will be inevitible. There was some debate of his greatness due to the question that he didn't have the toughest competition to beat that year either and it was only his race against Affirmed and Exceller that solidified his reputation afterward that respect followed.

RolloTomasi 05-03-2008 09:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
Canadian horses don't usually do well in American Triple Crown events with the exception of Northern Dancer and Sunny's Halo. Alydeed finished second in the Preakness off the Derby Trial, I guess you can make a case that Touch Gold was a product of Canadian racing, ran as a 2 yr old at Woodbine and was by a Canadian Sire and Mare the only exception was he bred in the U.S but it sure looks like there aren't too many new shooters on the horizon. Dahaar and Awesome Again were also late developers.

Harlem Rocker comes out of Pletcher's barn though (which gives him a better chance of showing up at Pimlico). He isn't a product of Canadian racing.

CSC 05-03-2008 10:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
Harlem Rocker comes out of Pletcher's barn though (which gives him a better chance of showing up at Pimlico). He isn't a product of Canadian racing.

He's an interesting horse and it is hard to guess which route Frank Stronach takes with this horse, since Stronach is a Canadian citizen he may choose the Plate. With Touch Gold he didn't have a choice but with Awesome Again who I think was trained by David Hoffmans at the time he chose the Plate. Maybe this horse turns up at Belmont to break up the party.

hockey2315 05-03-2008 10:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
He's an interesting horse and it is hard to guess which route Frank Stronach takes with this horse, since Stronach is a Canadian citizen he may choose the Plate. With Touch Gold he didn't have a choice but with Awesome Again who I think was trained by David Hoffmans at the time he chose the Plate. Maybe this horse turns up at Belmont to break up the party.

I think Harlem Rocker might be a serious horse but he can't win the Belmont. I'd probably bet him in the Preakness but would still be concerned with the distance. Maybe that half to Jazil and Rags will be good enough. . . Who knows. . . I would just really hate to see these connections win the TC.

CSC 05-03-2008 10:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
I think Harlem Rocker might be a serious horse but he can't win the Belmont. I'd probably bet him in the Preakness but would still be concerned with the distance. Maybe that half to Jazil and Rags will be good enough. . . Who knows. . . I would just really hate to see these connections win the TC.

The Queen's Plate is June 22, so the timing is good if they want to take a shot at the Preakness. Dahaar in comparison last year went onto the Plate, not a bad purse at 1 million dollars. At this point there doesn't seem to be many that offer a challenge to Big Brown, in all fairness I thought he had a pretty wide trip today and still won with ease. Atleast with Harlem Rocker there is an upside from what we saw in the Withers, though to be honest it only came in a 4 horse field. He still has a ways to go.

MarkyD 05-03-2008 10:24 PM

Man, I like Big Brown, but cant stand Dutrow's comment at then end. You see him hugging his daughter and NBC has camera right on him, while he keeps telling her: "they can't beat this horse"

I hate hearing that line being used in sports. I gamble on sports every day of my life, and any pro would never mention that line.
This sport with these millionaires involved are true hollywoods. If only horses could talk.

CSC 05-03-2008 10:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
I think Harlem Rocker might be a serious horse but he can't win the Belmont. I'd probably bet him in the Preakness but would still be concerned with the distance. Maybe that half to Jazil and Rags will be good enough. . . Who knows. . . I would just really hate to see these connections win the TC.

In addition, I don't think distance will be a problem with this horse. It's more inexperience that may his undoing. Easy for me to say, but I'd try the formerly Sir Barton stks now renamed Barbaro stks on Pimlico Preakness Day. See how he comes out of that and then take a shot in the Belmont. Conceivably he could still run in the Plate if they choose to. There's no need to throw him to the wolves this early. Coa said after the race he is still very green.

pgardn 05-03-2008 10:39 PM

It is interesting that there is not much of a
celebration on this horse's accomplishments.

Seems rather odd grasping for any
horse (even ones that have never gone 2 turns)
to try and beat Big Brown err... beat Dutrow et al.

The horse had to run as far if not further than any
horse in the race and ran it fast with seemingly
little effort. Looks like there is room for improvement.
This is supposed to be exciting. He might be great on
turf as well.

And Im thinkin maybe he will mess up his feet.
Bizarre.

Danzig 05-03-2008 10:42 PM

i'd like to remind everyone who put up a horse who wasn't a tc winner after their derby win, that they are ignoring that fact that there are always those who proclaim the ky derby winner the next tc winner...
i'd also remind everyone that we've seen horses who were damn good get this far before, only to fail later.
so, before you guarantee a tc win, think of spectacular bid, majestic prince and the like. then tell me again how this is a guarantee for big brown.

Riot 05-03-2008 10:46 PM

I hope he does prove himself exceptional, I'm a fan.

It was pretty ugly back behind he and Eight Belles. I don't know if any of the rest of them will get a Beyer over 100.

_ed_ 05-03-2008 10:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
i'd like to remind everyone who put up a horse who wasn't a tc winner after their derby win, that they are ignoring that fact that there are always those who proclaim the ky derby winner the next tc winner...

Exactly, that was my reasoning for making this thread 30 minutes before the Derby was run.

I'm not going to proclaim a horse the next TC winner until the horse is just a couple of strides away from the post in the Belmont.

horseofcourse 05-03-2008 10:49 PM

Which Derby horses will run in the preakness? The only Derby horse I see running in the Preakness as likely perhaps is Recapturetheglory. I thought he acquitted himself all right today. Who else?? Obviously not Eight Belles. Denis of Cork if anything will go to the Belmont in 5 weeks. I don't think Tagg will run his 4th place horse back in 2 weeks...why would he?? Colonel John?? Which Derby horses will actually run in two weeks?

hockey2315 05-03-2008 10:51 PM

Pyro maybe?

Coach Pants 05-03-2008 10:53 PM

Yeah it felt grate picking up that $113.40 payout on my double ticket. I felt so dam smart.


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