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Besides, at this point in the year they CAN wait the 90 days and see what happens. Breeding season is over you schmucks!!!!! |
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Now let's speculate upon where Scat Daddy will ultimately stand, and what his stud fee will be.
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5 K
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just what racing needs, another Mr Prospector , Northern Dancer cross at stud. he was pushed hard and soon and i wish him the best in his 2nd career.
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Thoroughbred Horse Pedigree Database
SCAT DADDY (USA) dkb/br. C, 2004 DP = 10-3-11-2-0 (26) DI = 2.47 CD = 0.81 - 9 Starts, 5 Wins, 1 Places, 1 Shows Career Earnings: $1,334,300 Owner: James T. Scatuorchio & Michael Tabor Breeder: Axel Wend State Bred: KY Winnings: 9 Starts: 5 - 1 - 1, $1,334,300 At 2: Won Champagne S. (G1,8F), Sanford S.(G2,6F) 2nd Hopeful S. (G1,7F) At 3: Won Florida Derby (G1,9F), Fountain of Youth S. (G2,9F) 3rd Holy Bull S. (G3,8F) Looks like a good one to breed to, to me. If you want speed and a early return on your money. I'd say it'll take $20K to get into the shed with this one.:D |
I'll go out on a limb here and say $12,500.
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How about tree fiddy?
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![]() This is his level...a Blue Light Special! |
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And by your way of thinking most horses should be retired if they win 1st time out because running them again may decrease their value. |
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I disagree that his value is predicated on "hype" or "buzz". He won Grade 1 2 year old stakes and a Grade 1 Derby prep. He is by a "hot" stallion. His value is secure regardless of how many races he lost. He will probably stand for somewhere between $30-$40k. If he were to win the Travers and/or Haskell or a race like that, he would have been worth a lot more. Personally I never thought he was great but he did accomplish more than most stallions that will enter stud next year. |
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Also in Pletcher stable news (I wasn't about to start a thread on the Suburban, because frankly it sucks) but Harlington is out as well. No retirement - yet.
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There is no way that he stands for less than $25k. If the yearling markets is solid and the Sheikh Mo boycott doesn't spread, he may go as high as $40k.
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To be a business you must produce a good or service. Owning horses does neither. You want to call it an investment? Fine. But a business? Try telling the IRS that it is a business. Hell, they dont even want to label owning horses as an investment.
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Great Inteview
with Maggie Moss on the Roger Stein show Sunday , a great listen:
http://www.rogerstein.com/radio/archive2.asp |
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Winning the Travers, to me is a huge "if" and although it may be rhetorical, I think it was more probable that he didn't win than possible he did. I think his value is maxed out right now, unless he went on to win something else of substance, and in order to maintain that value, he certainly can't afford to get beat where he would be a strong favorite. Winning a race like that doesn't add to value, but losing one can diminish value. The hype I refer to is merely the fact that I think they have to build him up to command and fill a book at the $40k price range -- and personally, I think that's too high. I am not a pedigree expert or bloodstock agent, but I think $30k might be more like it -- speaking from a market perspective -- and I am not sure he fills a book at that level (legitimately I mean, LOL). At $30k, or $40k, personally, I want to breed to one hell of a horse (with everything else considered) -- and to me, he's just not "that" kind of horse. I see your points and I think he'll be a nice their stallion somewhere, relatively speaking get some nice mares, etc. I just feel that value is maxed now -- more downside than up. I guess we'll never know, LOL. Eric |
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I am not saying that I like the horse as a racehorse or a stallion prospect. But compare him to horses with similar race records and pedigrees and you get Lion Heart and First Samurai. I'm not trying to argue that he is as good or bad as these horses but they have similar credentials and I believe LH is 25k and FS is 40. Both got very sizable books. You can't take away his positives and I don't think there is anyone, breeders included who thought he was a super horse. But IF he were to have won a big race or 2 in the fall, his stud fee (since his value is immaterial being Coolmore owned) would have risen. And if he had lost a couple, it would still be where it will be. |
he does have a good resume. compare him to Sharp Humor at $12.5k i believe and one can see him going for the $30-$40k range initially...he was near the top of his class before his foot problems surfaced prior to the Derby.
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The only thing good about Scat Daddy is that he is a pretty well formed Johannesburg.
He isn't one of the smallish Johannesburgs. At least he has some good size and is a pretty nice animal. But what are you paying for? somewhat precocious , versatile and has moderate speed. Nice horse for the cheaper races. Even Johannesburg is way overrated as a sire of classic distance dirt runners. There is a market for these animals and you basically have to breed and sell a Scat Daddy, but I am not saying they are worth market value. |
he is closely inbred to Mr Prospector, 2x3 and i guess you got the good and the bad with that mating.
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Eric |
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Lion Heart commands $25k...
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Maybe I just really, really didn't like Lion Heart but there's no way I'd pay 25k or even half of that to be bred to him. He found a way to lose the Blue Grass despite being on the golden rail, he won a watered-down Haskell while allowed to cruise on the front end then was exposed against real horses once again in the Travers. Even harder to believe First Samurai goes for 15k more than him. Sorry folks, if FS goes for 40k, Scat Daddy has to be good for 50k.
NT |
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Not sure what Giant's Causeway goes for now, but Johannesburg is at 65k. I highly doubt that Scat Daddy will be anywhere near that amount. |
glad to hear it.
goodness knows we don't have enough horses of his calibre at stud already.:rolleyes: |
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i'm in the wrong business. that just seems high to me...crazy crazy |
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