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-   -   Scat Daddy retired (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=14499)

philcski 06-25-2007 02:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
No one is saying that they should run the horse again. But the thinking that a psuedo good horse like Scat Daddy had accomplished so much to warrant early retirement if not injured is sad. I would not personally knock a person for selling a horse for profit because profits are so hard to come by in this business. But a horse like Scat Daddy's value wont go down if he loses a few races but it might have gone up he had won a legit fall stake. (not that I think he would have)

Here's the thing I don't understand. If EVERYbody [you, me, the girl selling popcorn] knows he's kind of a phony, why don't those paying these exorbitant stud fees know it too? If he loses a couple more big time races, so what? But if he ends up winning them [not that he would anyways], it can only enhance his value.

Besides, at this point in the year they CAN wait the 90 days and see what happens. Breeding season is over you schmucks!!!!!

Cajungator26 06-25-2007 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
The truth is, it actually makes real sense to retire him, as his resume is much better than his actual talent, and in all likelihood his value would only diminish by his racing in the future.

I guess it's easy for me to say because I certainly won't miss him....except to bet against him.

Well, I'll miss him. I loved this horse.

Coach Pants 06-25-2007 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by abe1947
This is a business. You want to make money. Why run him if he is worth more in the shed and running him will not, as several on here have stated, make him worth more there. Those of us who love the sport, need to think more of the horse's well being, rather than our own pleasure. A good $5000 claiming race can be just exciting to watch as a $million GI, and you can usually make more $ betting on them.

If you're in this sport to make money you might as well pay a guy to kick you in the balls on a daily basis.

Riot 06-25-2007 02:43 PM

Now let's speculate upon where Scat Daddy will ultimately stand, and what his stud fee will be.

Bobby Fischer 06-25-2007 02:43 PM

5 K

Cajungator26 06-25-2007 02:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot
Now let's speculate upon where Scat Daddy will ultimately stand, and what his stud fee will be.

"The horse was scheduled to leave by van on Tuesday for Ashford Stud in Lexington, Ky., where he will most likely stand stud next year. No stud plans had been finalized as of Monday."

NoLuvForPletch 06-25-2007 03:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by abe1947
So, you think an owner should run their horse until it breaks completely down? The horse is theirs to make money with. Would you continue running a horse that you could make millions on in the shed, just so the public could see him run. As soon as he lost a couple races his value and public appeal would drop, and those of you who what to see him run now would never bet on him again.:mad:

MILLIONS? Please tell me why this horse is going to be successful at stud? Why do we need another mediocre stallion out there? This business is becoming a farce. With all of the stallions they have over there at Ashford who is going to show up at their door and say I want to breed my mare to the slow one who beat nobody? His resume is he beat a head case, NOBIZ, and CHELOKEE, who in my opinion had a pretty good shot of winning the race (FLA Derby) with a better trip. I'd rather breed to THE GREEN MONKEY than SCAT DADDY. This is pathetic!

sumitas 06-25-2007 03:30 PM

just what racing needs, another Mr Prospector , Northern Dancer cross at stud. he was pushed hard and soon and i wish him the best in his 2nd career.

abe1947 06-25-2007 03:56 PM

Thoroughbred Horse Pedigree Database


SCAT DADDY (USA) dkb/br. C, 2004 DP = 10-3-11-2-0 (26) DI = 2.47 CD = 0.81 - 9 Starts, 5 Wins, 1 Places, 1 Shows Career Earnings: $1,334,300

Owner: James T. Scatuorchio & Michael Tabor
Breeder: Axel Wend
State Bred: KY
Winnings: 9 Starts: 5 - 1 - 1, $1,334,300

At 2:
Won Champagne S. (G1,8F), Sanford S.(G2,6F)
2nd Hopeful S. (G1,7F)

At 3:
Won Florida Derby (G1,9F), Fountain of Youth S. (G2,9F)
3rd Holy Bull S. (G3,8F)

Looks like a good one to breed to, to me. If you want speed and a early return on your money. I'd say it'll take $20K to get into the shed with this one.:D

Cajungator26 06-25-2007 04:07 PM

I'll go out on a limb here and say $12,500.

Coach Pants 06-25-2007 04:11 PM

How about tree fiddy?

Storm Cadet 06-25-2007 04:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot
Now let's speculate upon where Scat Daddy will ultimately stand, and what his stud fee will be.




This is his level...a Blue Light Special!

zippyneedsawin 06-25-2007 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoLuvForPletch
MILLIONS? Please tell me why this horse is going to be successful at stud? Why do we need another mediocre stallion out there? This business is becoming a farce. With all of the stallions they have over there at Ashford who is going to show up at their door and say I want to breed my mare to the slow one who beat nobody? His resume is he beat a head case, NOBIZ, and CHELOKEE, who in my opinion had a pretty good shot of winning the race (FLA Derby) with a better trip. I'd rather breed to THE GREEN MONKEY than SCAT DADDY. This is pathetic!

I'd rather breed to Kiera Knightley, but whatever floats your boat. :p

Cannon Shell 06-25-2007 05:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by abe1947
This is a business. You want to make money. Why run him if he is worth more in the shed and running him will not, as several on here have stated, make him worth more there. Those of us who love the sport, need to think more of the horse's well being, rather than our own pleasure. A good $5000 claiming race can be just exciting to watch as a $million GI, and you can usually make more $ betting on them.

Owning horses is not a business. You may treat it as a business, you may think it is a business, but it is not a business.
And by your way of thinking most horses should be retired if they win 1st time out because running them again may decrease their value.

Cannon Shell 06-25-2007 05:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ELA
Chuck, I see your point, however, the downside with more than one loss is far greater than the upside of a win (which should almost be expected depending on the spot). Much of what will sell a horse like this at stud is the "hype" or the "what could have been" kind of thing.

Yes, it is sad -- very sad. I agree. However, he loses a couple of races, the reality of the situation is no longer hidden -- as it might be now to some people. Don't forget -- it's not you and me sending mares to this stud.

Eric

Eric
I disagree that his value is predicated on "hype" or "buzz". He won Grade 1 2 year old stakes and a Grade 1 Derby prep. He is by a "hot" stallion. His value is secure regardless of how many races he lost. He will probably stand for somewhere between $30-$40k. If he were to win the Travers and/or Haskell or a race like that, he would have been worth a lot more. Personally I never thought he was great but he did accomplish more than most stallions that will enter stud next year.

Cannon Shell 06-25-2007 05:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
5 K

You are kidding right?

Sightseek 06-25-2007 05:37 PM

Also in Pletcher stable news (I wasn't about to start a thread on the Suburban, because frankly it sucks) but Harlington is out as well. No retirement - yet.

SentToStud 06-25-2007 05:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Owning horses is not a business. You may treat it as a business, you may think it is a business, but it is not a business.
And by your way of thinking most horses should be retired if they win 1st time out because running them again may decrease their value.

Maggi Moss would disagree with you. A bunch of other people too.

Zaf 06-25-2007 05:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
5 K

I would love to claim horses from you.

Cannon Shell 06-25-2007 05:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud
Maggi Moss would disagree with you. A bunch of other people too.

Why? You think she is making money?

Cannon Shell 06-25-2007 05:44 PM

There is no way that he stands for less than $25k. If the yearling markets is solid and the Sheikh Mo boycott doesn't spread, he may go as high as $40k.

Cannon Shell 06-25-2007 05:46 PM

To be a business you must produce a good or service. Owning horses does neither. You want to call it an investment? Fine. But a business? Try telling the IRS that it is a business. Hell, they dont even want to label owning horses as an investment.

Zaf 06-25-2007 05:49 PM

Great Inteview
 
with Maggie Moss on the Roger Stein show Sunday , a great listen:

http://www.rogerstein.com/radio/archive2.asp

ELA 06-25-2007 05:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Eric
I disagree that his value is predicated on "hype" or "buzz". He won Grade 1 2 year old stakes and a Grade 1 Derby prep. He is by a "hot" stallion. His value is secure regardless of how many races he lost. He will probably stand for somewhere between $30-$40k. If he were to win the Travers and/or Haskell or a race like that, he would have been worth a lot more. Personally I never thought he was great but he did accomplish more than most stallions that will enter stud next year.

Chuck, don't get me wrong -- the colt isn't a nobody. However, I just don't think he was that good of a colt. The talk about him being at or very near the head of the class, early on, seemed to be a bit of overhype to me. G1's without question cannot be dismissed.

Winning the Travers, to me is a huge "if" and although it may be rhetorical, I think it was more probable that he didn't win than possible he did. I think his value is maxed out right now, unless he went on to win something else of substance, and in order to maintain that value, he certainly can't afford to get beat where he would be a strong favorite. Winning a race like that doesn't add to value, but losing one can diminish value.

The hype I refer to is merely the fact that I think they have to build him up to command and fill a book at the $40k price range -- and personally, I think that's too high. I am not a pedigree expert or bloodstock agent, but I think $30k might be more like it -- speaking from a market perspective -- and I am not sure he fills a book at that level (legitimately I mean, LOL). At $30k, or $40k, personally, I want to breed to one hell of a horse (with everything else considered) -- and to me, he's just not "that" kind of horse.

I see your points and I think he'll be a nice their stallion somewhere, relatively speaking get some nice mares, etc. I just feel that value is maxed now -- more downside than up. I guess we'll never know, LOL.

Eric

Cannon Shell 06-25-2007 05:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ELA
Chuck, don't get me wrong -- the colt isn't a nobody. However, I just don't think he was that good of a colt. The talk about him being at or very near the head of the class, early on, seemed to be a bit of overhype to me. G1's without question cannot be dismissed.

Winning the Travers, to me is a huge "if" and although it may be rhetorical, I think it was more probable that he didn't win than possible he did. I think his value is maxed out right now, unless he went on to win something else of substance, and in order to maintain that value, he certainly can't afford to get beat where he would be a strong favorite. Winning a race like that doesn't add to value, but losing one can diminish value.

The hype I refer to is merely the fact that I think they have to build him up to command and fill a book at the $40k price range -- and personally, I think that's too high. I am not a pedigree expert or bloodstock agent, but I think $30k might be more like it -- speaking from a market perspective -- and I am not sure he fills a book at that level (legitimately I mean, LOL). At $30k, or $40k, personally, I want to breed to one hell of a horse (with everything else considered) -- and to me, he's just not "that" kind of horse.

I see your points and I think he'll be a nice their stallion somewhere, relatively speaking get some nice mares, etc. I just feel that value is maxed now -- more downside than up. I guess we'll never know, LOL.

Eric

Eric
I am not saying that I like the horse as a racehorse or a stallion prospect. But compare him to horses with similar race records and pedigrees and you get Lion Heart and First Samurai. I'm not trying to argue that he is as good or bad as these horses but they have similar credentials and I believe LH is 25k and FS is 40. Both got very sizable books.
You can't take away his positives and I don't think there is anyone, breeders included who thought he was a super horse. But IF he were to have won a big race or 2 in the fall, his stud fee (since his value is immaterial being Coolmore owned) would have risen. And if he had lost a couple, it would still be where it will be.

sumitas 06-25-2007 08:34 PM

he does have a good resume. compare him to Sharp Humor at $12.5k i believe and one can see him going for the $30-$40k range initially...he was near the top of his class before his foot problems surfaced prior to the Derby.

Bobby Fischer 06-25-2007 08:36 PM

The only thing good about Scat Daddy is that he is a pretty well formed Johannesburg.
He isn't one of the smallish Johannesburgs. At least he has some good size and is a pretty nice animal.

But what are you paying for?
somewhat precocious , versatile and has moderate speed.

Nice horse for the cheaper races.


Even Johannesburg is way overrated as a sire of classic distance dirt runners.

There is a market for these animals and you basically have to breed and sell a Scat Daddy, but I am not saying they are worth market value.

sumitas 06-25-2007 08:42 PM

he is closely inbred to Mr Prospector, 2x3 and i guess you got the good and the bad with that mating.

philcski 06-25-2007 08:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Eric
I am not saying that I like the horse as a racehorse or a stallion prospect. But compare him to horses with similar race records and pedigrees and you get Lion Heart and First Samurai. I'm not trying to argue that he is as good or bad as these horses but they have similar credentials and I believe LH is 25k and FS is 40. Both got very sizable books.
You can't take away his positives and I don't think there is anyone, breeders included who thought he was a super horse. But IF he were to have won a big race or 2 in the fall, his stud fee (since his value is immaterial being Coolmore owned) would have risen. And if he had lost a couple, it would still be where it will be.

Here's the difference... Lion Heart actually ran a few fast races in his career... Scat Daddy never did. I'd go to Lion Heart in a flash over Scat Daddy at the same price.

ELA 06-25-2007 08:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
Here's the difference... Lion Heart actually ran a few fast races in his career... Scat Daddy never did. I'd go to Lion Heart in a flash over Scat Daddy at the same price.

Excellent point.

Eric

2Hot4TV 06-25-2007 08:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by paisjpq
I think I just heard Joel's gun go off...

now that was funny.:)

sumitas 06-25-2007 08:50 PM

Lion Heart commands $25k...

NTamm1215 06-25-2007 08:53 PM

Maybe I just really, really didn't like Lion Heart but there's no way I'd pay 25k or even half of that to be bred to him. He found a way to lose the Blue Grass despite being on the golden rail, he won a watered-down Haskell while allowed to cruise on the front end then was exposed against real horses once again in the Travers. Even harder to believe First Samurai goes for 15k more than him. Sorry folks, if FS goes for 40k, Scat Daddy has to be good for 50k.

NT

Cajungator26 06-25-2007 09:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
Maybe I just really, really didn't like Lion Heart but there's no way I'd pay 25k or even half of that to be bred to him. He found a way to lose the Blue Grass despite being on the golden rail, he won a watered-down Haskell while allowed to cruise on the front end then was exposed against real horses once again in the Travers. Even harder to believe First Samurai goes for 15k more than him. Sorry folks, if FS goes for 40k, Scat Daddy has to be good for 50k.

NT

First Sam filled his book at that price, and you're talking apples and oranges when you compare their pedigrees.

Not sure what Giant's Causeway goes for now, but Johannesburg is at 65k. I highly doubt that Scat Daddy will be anywhere near that amount.

Danzig 06-25-2007 09:20 PM

glad to hear it.

goodness knows we don't have enough horses of his calibre at stud already.:rolleyes:

Danzig 06-25-2007 09:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
There is no way that he stands for less than $25k. If the yearling markets is solid and the Sheikh Mo boycott doesn't spread, he may go as high as $40k.

that high?!


i'm in the wrong business. that just seems high to me...crazy crazy

Cannon Shell 06-25-2007 09:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
Here's the difference... Lion Heart actually ran a few fast races in his career... Scat Daddy never did. I'd go to Lion Heart in a flash over Scat Daddy at the same price.

It is a little more complicated than that

Cannon Shell 06-25-2007 09:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
Maybe I just really, really didn't like Lion Heart but there's no way I'd pay 25k or even half of that to be bred to him. He found a way to lose the Blue Grass despite being on the golden rail, he won a watered-down Haskell while allowed to cruise on the front end then was exposed against real horses once again in the Travers. Even harder to believe First Samurai goes for 15k more than him. Sorry folks, if FS goes for 40k, Scat Daddy has to be good for 50k.

NT

Well actually you breed a mare to the stallion, you dont actually get bred yourself... though I'm sure that some farms may make special considerations....

Bogey 06-25-2007 09:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
The truth is, it actually makes real sense to retire him, as his resume is much better than his actual talent, and in all likelihood his value would only diminish by his racing in the future.

I guess it's easy for me to say because I certainly won't miss him....except to bet against him.

Personally, I hit the PK4 when he won the Champagne and I bet him heavily when he won the FOY. Thanks to my buddy Joel Cunningham, who touted him before he made his 1st start. Joel stated that he could drag the starting gate and still win. I remember Oracle 80 stating that another horse had a chance. Well, Scat Daddy won for fun in the slop and had a very nice career. I cashed over $3K in tickets, so I personally sad to see him retired. Go Scat Daddy Go.

Cannon Shell 06-25-2007 09:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
that high?!


i'm in the wrong business. that just seems high to me...crazy crazy

I did not say it makes sense but look where stud fees are.


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