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Scav 04-23-2007 10:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgardn
Scavs my man he has got to have the race set up. If these horses get really strung out he is going to have a devil of a time passing one after another after another. Ya gotta hope there is a large pack of dead horses running together and the front runners pressing each other hard.

He doesn't need it to set up, he has closed into soft fractions before. His turn of foot will put him into any race. I am far from worried about Pletcher having him ready. I will say this, WHEN CQ wins the Derby, he will NOT win the Preakness, maybe not even run in the race. Races take too much out of him to come back in 13 days.

hi_im_god 04-23-2007 10:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
This following work will tell me everything I need to know, and what Haskin has to say about him. I am just not going to let a horse like this go off at 10 or 12/1 when he has the most talent in the race, bar none.

"and what Haskin has to say about him"

he's dappled and and strong on the rein? he says that about everyone.

i don't think you'll find a quote on 5 horses in the derby that doesn't include one of these.

pgardn 04-23-2007 10:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
He doesn't need it to set up, he has closed into soft fractions before. His turn of foot will put him into any race. I am far from worried about Pletcher having him ready. I will say this, WHEN CQ wins the Derby, he will NOT win the Preakness, maybe not even run in the race. Races take too much out of him to come back in 13 days.

Scavs I really believe if he has to pass 3 here, 2 there, 3 more covering the rail and wider..., he is not going to get up. There are so many horses.

Huge set of gonads Scavs. But nobody can accuse you of holding back.

Scav 04-23-2007 10:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
He doesn't need it to set up, he has closed into soft fractions before. His turn of foot will put him into any race. I am far from worried about Pletcher having him ready. I will say this, WHEN CQ wins the Derby, he will NOT win the Preakness, maybe not even run in the race. Races take too much out of him to come back in 13 days.

There is always some moron that will go fast in the Derby, I have no issues with getting War Emblem'ed or even going down in flames with CQ. It will take alot to change my mind. Everyone forgets that he has run well at CD, something that should never be overlooked. Which is why I like Zanjero also, I am actually considering a $25 or $50 exacta box with those two.

i think this years Derby is pretty clear cut, i am just waiting for final TG figures to come out, if I had to tout five horses right now they would be

Circular Quay
Zanjero
Street Sense
Scat Daddy
Hard Spun/AGS/Liquidity

Curlin = to the moon
Nobiz = style will hurt him and I refuse to bet Albert the Great progeny
Great Hunter = slow
Stormello = Give this horse to Pletcher and he wins the Derby by 10 lengths
Dominican = will use in the tri but dirt form sucks
Tiago = come on
Rattown Cat = COME ON TWO
Storm in may = thanks for the free table on Derby Day
Slew's Tizzy = can't win but might pull a closing argument and stay around alot longer then should
Xchanger = have no idea who this horse is
cobalt Blue = Come on THREE
Sam P = COME ON FOUR
Sedgefield = COME ON FIVE BIZILLION
T'berg = no comment

Scav 04-23-2007 10:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
There is always some moron that will go fast in the Derby, I have no issues with getting War Emblem'ed or even going down in flames with CQ. It will take alot to change my mind. Everyone forgets that he has run well at CD, something that should never be overlooked. Which is why I like Zanjero also, I am actually considering a $25 or $50 exacta box with those two.

i think this years Derby is pretty clear cut, i am just waiting for final TG figures to come out, if I had to tout five horses right now they would be

Circular Quay
Zanjero
Street Sense
Scat Daddy
Hard Spun/AGS/Liquidity

Curlin = to the moon
Nobiz = style will hurt him and I refuse to bet Albert the Great progeny
Great Hunter = slow
Stormello = Give this horse to Pletcher and he wins the Derby by 10 lengths
Dominican = will use in the tri but dirt form sucks
Tiago = come on
Rattown Cat = COME ON TWO
Storm in may = thanks for the free table on Derby Day
Slew's Tizzy = can't win but might pull a closing argument and stay around alot longer then should
Xchanger = have no idea who this horse is
cobalt Blue = Come on THREE
Sam P = COME ON FOUR
Sedgefield = COME ON FIVE BIZILLION
T'berg = no comment

so fired up I am quote myself when I meant to quote Pat

Scav 04-23-2007 10:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgardn
Scavs I really believe if he has to pass 3 here, 2 there, 3 more covering the rail and wider..., he is not going to get up. There are so many horses.

Huge set of gonads Scavs. But nobody can accuse you of holding back.

Pat, I want you to watch how he just ENGULFS fields, it doesn't matter how many he has to pass, as long as JV times that ride right, and keeps him straight and his lungs hold, hello winner circle

PPerfectfan 04-23-2007 10:38 PM

Well I know everyone posted there thoughts so her goes mine. I think Dominican is gonna be the "wiseguy" horse. And I hope he proves me right, cause I will admit, that damned Point Determined got me.:rolleyes:

ArlJim78 04-23-2007 10:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Pat, I want you to watch how he just ENGULFS fields, it doesn't matter how many he has to pass, as long as JV times that ride right, and keeps him straight and his lungs hold, hello winner circle

come on man, put down the bong.

hi_im_god 04-23-2007 10:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PPerfectfan
Well I know everyone posted there thoughts so her goes mine. I think Dominican is gonna be the "wiseguy" horse. And I hope he proves me right, cause I will admit, that damned Point Determined got me.:rolleyes:

the only serious wise guy competion to zanjero.

Antitrust32 04-23-2007 10:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
How is he 'a wise guy'? the whole country is going to have that horse.

Definition of a 'wise guy' is someone who thinks they have more knowledge of something, and is a smart ass about it.

the horse can't be considered a public horse, which they most often do on Derby Day because everyone wants to play the wise guy horse


There will be a few horses at lower odds than smack diddy. I think Street Sense, Curlin, Nobiz, CQ will go off at lower odds, maybe a couple more (Great Hunter maybe, Dominican if somethin' weird happens) Why cant Scat be a wise guy horse!

Scav 04-23-2007 10:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
There will be a few horses at lower odds than smack diddy. I think Street Sense, Curlin, Nobiz, CQ will go off at lower odds, maybe a couple more (Great Hunter maybe, Dominican if somethin' weird happens) Why cant Scat be a wise guy horse!

If Scat is less then CQ then I will be betting Scat Daddy even harder, he has an absolute GREAT pattern leading in this race, GREAT pattern

Scav 04-23-2007 10:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
come on man, put down the bong.

You have a vendetta against this horse so you get zero comments...

Scav 04-23-2007 10:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
No way Great Hunter goes off lower than Scat Daddy. I agree with your first 4, personally how you have them in order is how I think the odds will be.

Hoss, there is NO DOUBT in my mind that Curlin is the favorite, at probably 7/2. NO DOUBT in my mind. Crazy public wants this horse to win bad and won't let a bargin like a 7/2 favorite get away from them. NO THANK YOU MY FRIEND on Curlin. no thank you.

ArlJim78 04-23-2007 10:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
You have a vendetta against this horse so you get zero comments...

absolutely not, no vendetta.

nothing personal, strictly business.

Scav 04-23-2007 10:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
absolutely not, no vendetta.

nothing personal, strictly business.

refuse to believe such falseness

Vendetta Jim

pgardn 04-23-2007 10:59 PM

If Curlin (7/2) takes that much money, there are going to be a number of people with horses they like that will be overjoyed. That does not leave a very large % of money left for a bunch of other horses. This will really be interesting. I cant see 7/2. I see Street Sense at a little over 4/1. The Brits would put it at 13/3. We dont like those odd numbers here. How about 22/5...

declansharbor 04-24-2007 12:29 AM

Dominican hasnt run on the dirt since they snipped his goods, right?? He has wise guy written all over him. I know I said the same about Notional, but I absolutely love Dominican's stretch running. He has a good amount of tactical speed, enough to keep him prime for the pounce of the pacesetters. A big plus (for me only probably) is that Bejarano stays up.. This kid has the right stuff and it's only a matter of time that he wins a TC race. It may be a biased point of view, but I can see him roping some dead horses in mid stretch. Hopefully he can hit the board as my group of cronies will be keying him (along with CQ) in all three spots..Also, looking for a pricey pick 3/4..Fever's kickin in.

easy goer 04-24-2007 12:37 AM

you know, Curlin is starting to sound a little like Bellamy Rd. Who won by open lengths in the Wood then was morning line 3-1. He crept up a little to I think 7-2 then went off at 3-1; I guess. However, BR got hurt, I hope Curlin doesnt get hurt.

ateamstupid 04-24-2007 04:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
He doesn't need it to set up, he has closed into soft fractions before. His turn of foot will put him into any race. I am far from worried about Pletcher having him ready. I will say this, WHEN CQ wins the Derby, he will NOT win the Preakness, maybe not even run in the race. Races take too much out of him to come back in 13 days.

I must have missed that race.. Louisiana Derby, fast fractions. Juvenile, fast fractions. Breeders' Futurity, fast fractions. Hopeful, sizzling fractions.

I like Circular Quay as much as the next guy, and I agree that because he has such a strong kick, he's nearly a lock to hit the board, but unless a bunch of jockeys decide to go nuts on the front end, I think he's a tough pill to swallow on top, especially at about 8/1, which he'll be, not 10/1 or 12/1.

timmgirvan 04-24-2007 06:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor
Dominican hasnt run on the dirt since they snipped his goods, right?? He has wise guy written all over him. I know I said the same about Notional, but I absolutely love Dominican's stretch running. He has a good amount of tactical speed, enough to keep him prime for the pounce of the pacesetters. A big plus (for me only probably) is that Bejarano stays up.. This kid has the right stuff and it's only a matter of time that he wins a TC race. It may be a biased point of view, but I can see him roping some dead horses in mid stretch. Hopefully he can hit the board as my group of cronies will be keying him (along with CQ) in all three spots..Also, looking for a pricey pick 3/4..Fever's kickin in.

This one wil be in my plays, unless his pp is so far out it's useless!

Sightseek 04-24-2007 06:41 AM

For what it's worth Scav's...Pletcher said ATRAB yesterday that he felt Scat Daddy would gain more benefit of the likely pace scenario than Circular Quay.

ateamstupid 04-24-2007 07:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
For what it's worth Scav's...Pletcher said ATRAB yesterday that he felt Scat Daddy would gain more benefit of the likely pace scenario than Circular Quay.

He also said that he wants Garret to take Any Given Saturday off the pace, which makes no sense at all to me.

Buffymommy 04-24-2007 08:13 AM

If he goes, Slew's Tizzy will be the wise guy. I would kinda like to see him be the next "big fat horse who likes to run every two weeks".

Although, for the horse's sake I will admit I want him to skip the Derby and whoop some booty in the Preakness. He really is a good looking colt. LOVE that little blaze.

Sightseek 04-24-2007 08:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
He also said that he wants Garret to take Any Given Saturday off the pace, which makes no sense at all to me.

Me either...

Scav 04-24-2007 08:49 AM

A little indecisiveness has crept into Scav's head and it is possible that if I can squeeze 7/1 out of Street Sense, I might move tack to him. I doubt it though.....

Bigsmc 04-24-2007 08:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
A little indecisiveness has crept into Scav's head and it is possible that if I can squeeze 7/1 out of Street Sense, I might move tack to him. I doubt it though.....

Uh oh.

I don't think there is anyway you'll get 7-1 on SS. Then again, I didn't think SNS would be the chalk last year, so what do I know.





Did you really have 40 putts this past weekend? If so, how did your putter survive the round?

Scurlogue Champ 04-24-2007 08:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
A little indecisiveness has crept into Scav's head and it is possible that if I can squeeze 7/1 out of Street Sense, I might move tack to him. I doubt it though.....

I won't touch him at 10/1 plus. I don't think this one will run. If I'm wrong, then so be it. Still with Quay as of now.

Scav 04-24-2007 08:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Uh oh.

I don't think there is anyway you'll get 7-1 on SS. Then again, I didn't think SNS would be the chalk last year, so what do I know.





Did you really have 40 putts this past weekend?

I forgot to look at that thread, I had a couple meltdowns, I shot a 49 to open and thought I would break a 100, as the back is easier then the front at my home course but then I busted out an 8(4), 7(3), 3(1),9(4) and just caused all sorts of problems. I did sink about a 20fter for par though that was pretty cool. I got all Chi-Chi on my friends. I am still the guy that thinks he can control a 5w 200 yards into the green, instead of laying up....

Cajungator26 04-24-2007 10:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
so fired up I am quote myself when I meant to quote Pat

Well Scav... you might want to re-evaluate because I'm using the same horses MINUS Circular Quay.

jpops757 04-24-2007 10:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I agree, I want no part of a horse like that at the odds. I'm on the Street Sense train. Can't get off now. As for the odds, sometimes the betting gets weird. Who would have thought SNS would have been the favorite last year?

That is why I think SNS was the wisefuy pick last year. Everything I used last year pointed directly at Barbaro and Pletchers Cat. The night before the derby I drank the Kool-Aide and fell for the wiseguy horse. All the talk was that regardless of his PPs Barbaro couldnt win because of some age old tradition. We all know what happened. The best prepared and the best horse won.. To me there are three horses that can be talked about and You could sub there name for barbaros last year, Curlin, CQ and maybe Dominican or SS, This years SNS is AGS. Beware every thing thats being said sounds like all the comments about SNS last year.

philcski 04-24-2007 10:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
There you go, not even a graded winner......will be grossly overbet. Giacomo was the last non graded winner to win, after that I can't remember....

Funny Cide.

Scav 04-24-2007 11:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jpops757
That is why I think SNS was the wisefuy pick last year. Everything I used last year pointed directly at Barbaro and Pletchers Cat. The night before the derby I drank the Kool-Aide and fell for the wiseguy horse. All the talk was that regardless of his PPs Barbaro couldnt win because of some age old tradition. We all know what happened. The best prepared and the best horse won.. To me there are three horses that can be talked about and You could sub there name for barbaros last year, Curlin, CQ and maybe Dominican or SS, This years SNS is AGS. Beware every thing thats being said sounds like all the comments about SNS last year.

If Desormeaux didn't forget to turn on his brain, he would have competed with Barbaro to the end, he was loaded for bear until Kent went to the rail and got stopped. I doubt he beats Barbaro, but he at least competes down the stretch IMO

hockey2315 04-24-2007 11:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
If Desormeaux didn't forget to turn on his brain, he would have competed with Barbaro to the end, he was loaded for bear until Kent went to the rail and got stopped. I doubt he beats Barbaro, but he at least competes down the stretch IMO

I totally disagree. . . What has SNS shown since the Derby that makes you think he could hang with Barbaro?


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