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he's dappled and and strong on the rein? he says that about everyone. i don't think you'll find a quote on 5 horses in the derby that doesn't include one of these. |
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Huge set of gonads Scavs. But nobody can accuse you of holding back. |
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i think this years Derby is pretty clear cut, i am just waiting for final TG figures to come out, if I had to tout five horses right now they would be Circular Quay Zanjero Street Sense Scat Daddy Hard Spun/AGS/Liquidity Curlin = to the moon Nobiz = style will hurt him and I refuse to bet Albert the Great progeny Great Hunter = slow Stormello = Give this horse to Pletcher and he wins the Derby by 10 lengths Dominican = will use in the tri but dirt form sucks Tiago = come on Rattown Cat = COME ON TWO Storm in may = thanks for the free table on Derby Day Slew's Tizzy = can't win but might pull a closing argument and stay around alot longer then should Xchanger = have no idea who this horse is cobalt Blue = Come on THREE Sam P = COME ON FOUR Sedgefield = COME ON FIVE BIZILLION T'berg = no comment |
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Well I know everyone posted there thoughts so her goes mine. I think Dominican is gonna be the "wiseguy" horse. And I hope he proves me right, cause I will admit, that damned Point Determined got me.:rolleyes:
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There will be a few horses at lower odds than smack diddy. I think Street Sense, Curlin, Nobiz, CQ will go off at lower odds, maybe a couple more (Great Hunter maybe, Dominican if somethin' weird happens) Why cant Scat be a wise guy horse! |
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nothing personal, strictly business. |
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Vendetta Jim |
If Curlin (7/2) takes that much money, there are going to be a number of people with horses they like that will be overjoyed. That does not leave a very large % of money left for a bunch of other horses. This will really be interesting. I cant see 7/2. I see Street Sense at a little over 4/1. The Brits would put it at 13/3. We dont like those odd numbers here. How about 22/5...
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Dominican hasnt run on the dirt since they snipped his goods, right?? He has wise guy written all over him. I know I said the same about Notional, but I absolutely love Dominican's stretch running. He has a good amount of tactical speed, enough to keep him prime for the pounce of the pacesetters. A big plus (for me only probably) is that Bejarano stays up.. This kid has the right stuff and it's only a matter of time that he wins a TC race. It may be a biased point of view, but I can see him roping some dead horses in mid stretch. Hopefully he can hit the board as my group of cronies will be keying him (along with CQ) in all three spots..Also, looking for a pricey pick 3/4..Fever's kickin in.
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you know, Curlin is starting to sound a little like Bellamy Rd. Who won by open lengths in the Wood then was morning line 3-1. He crept up a little to I think 7-2 then went off at 3-1; I guess. However, BR got hurt, I hope Curlin doesnt get hurt.
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I like Circular Quay as much as the next guy, and I agree that because he has such a strong kick, he's nearly a lock to hit the board, but unless a bunch of jockeys decide to go nuts on the front end, I think he's a tough pill to swallow on top, especially at about 8/1, which he'll be, not 10/1 or 12/1. |
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For what it's worth Scav's...Pletcher said ATRAB yesterday that he felt Scat Daddy would gain more benefit of the likely pace scenario than Circular Quay.
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If he goes, Slew's Tizzy will be the wise guy. I would kinda like to see him be the next "big fat horse who likes to run every two weeks".
Although, for the horse's sake I will admit I want him to skip the Derby and whoop some booty in the Preakness. He really is a good looking colt. LOVE that little blaze. |
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A little indecisiveness has crept into Scav's head and it is possible that if I can squeeze 7/1 out of Street Sense, I might move tack to him. I doubt it though.....
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I don't think there is anyway you'll get 7-1 on SS. Then again, I didn't think SNS would be the chalk last year, so what do I know. Did you really have 40 putts this past weekend? If so, how did your putter survive the round? |
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