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-   -   Derby Week . . . $ & Bonus Extras, Opinions and Insights (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=73449)

JolyB 05-02-2024 06:11 AM

TV coverage of much of the Oaks card will be available on the USA Network, starting at 1:00 PM Eastern.

DonGuido 05-02-2024 08:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RUFFIAN (Post 1178093)
Is The Kentucky Oaks Friday On Tv 📺
If So = What Network

I'm sure Fanduel will have the full card. NBC may cover it too, not sure though.

cal828 05-02-2024 12:00 PM

List of "must use" horses
 
Mine keeps getting longer and longer. Now up to half the field. Probably not a good sign for success.:confused:

DonGuido 05-02-2024 02:59 PM

WEATHER REPORT for Friday and Derby Day. Scattered showers Friday on into the night with some possible downpours. Chance of rain Saturday with forcasted 40% coverage highs in the mid 70's. Basically unsettled.

DonGuido 05-02-2024 03:17 PM

Got my wager down and it's not on the Derby.

cal828 05-02-2024 08:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DonGuido (Post 1178114)
Got my wager down and it's not on the Derby.

I likely will regret it, but I will be betting nearly half my bankroll on the Derby. I always play a little "real" money on it so might as well play it in the contest too. It's usually my undoing every year and generally the reason I have to reload my wagering accounts, but it's just too exciting to sit on the sideline, but whatever floats your boat. I can see why others would want to avoid it.

DonGuido 05-02-2024 08:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cal828 (Post 1178131)
I likely will regret it, but I will be betting nearly half my bankroll on the Derby. I always play a little "real" money on it so might as well play it in the contest too. It's usually my undoing every year and generally the reason I have to reload my wagering accounts, but it's just too exciting to sit on the sideline, but whatever floats your boat. I can see why others would want to avoid it.

I'm taking on the Turf Classic Race 11. I can see some possible good plays and ROI there.

cal828 05-02-2024 09:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DonGuido (Post 1178134)
I'm taking on the Turf Classic Race 11. I can see some possible good plays and ROI there.

I came very close to playing that one, but finally decided to play others. I think I am going to play a pick 3 or 4 which will start with that race and end with Race 13 or 14. If you hit that one, you may be the new leader. Wouldn’t be at all surprised, but who knows what everybody else has up their collective sleeves. Hopefully, just their arms, but with this group, there may be some aces.

DonGuido 05-03-2024 04:41 PM

Last Place - Grand Mo the First (Crazy name too)

Attendance - 147,500

RUFFIAN 05-03-2024 05:03 PM

ATTENDANCE = 147;000

LAST PLACE = 13 WEST SARATOGA
Even Ho My FAVORITE ## IS 13

JolyB 05-03-2024 07:35 PM

Last Place - T O Password (I don't think much of the name)

Attendance - 156,380

Real Quiet 05-04-2024 05:55 AM

Track Phantom

Attendance 145017

DonGuido 05-04-2024 08:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JolyB (Post 1178077)
I think that in 2020 Authentic wore saddlecloth 18; however, due to a scratch of a horse to his inside, he actually broke out of gate 17. Can anyone else help me verify that recollection?

I think that Fierceness has enough early speed to be forwardly placed down the long run to the first turn. It helps also that he has the rest of the early speed to his inside, so Johnny V should be able to move over before the crush of the turn. However, it appears that Just a Tough, Dornach and Track Phantom all have about as much early speed, so I just don't see Fierceness being able to set an easy pace. Besides, this is the Derby, so you can usually count of someone to forget they have to last 1 1/4 miles and gun for the lead. For me, it is difficult to trust Fierceness in the event that there is a fast or a contested pace. When he has had everything go his way, he is awesome and by far the most talented horse in the race. But, when it hasn't gone his way - see Holy Bull and Champagne.

In short (for me? Hah!) there might be some reasons to not bet on Fierceness, but the fact that he will be breaking from post 17 isn't one of them.

It's just hard to ignore the Pletcher-Velazquez combo, on a proved horse, especially in a big race.


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