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-   -   belgravia a single.. (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=6963)

SniperSB23 11-18-2006 10:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey
Sightseek, I just watched the replay again to refresh my memory and although he was visually impressive, the truth is that the others went quick up front and folded like a cheap suit. It took him 7 starts to break his maiden at 26-1. I would be surprised if he was able to duplicate that effort. Maybe underneath to pick up the pieces.

Pawnee intrigues me, I think he'll hit the tri. The seven starts give him a good foundation and he already has a win at the distance which no one else in the field can claim. Big discrepancy between the Beyer and equibase figure last race as well, he got a 74 Beyer and a 94 equibase which are usually only about ten points higher than the Beyers. I often find value by comparing them. If you find the cases that Beyer questionably split a variant you can get great value since so many are betting the Beyers. If you treat it like an 84 Beyer and factor in ground loss last out he could factor in at a price.

Bogey 11-18-2006 07:04 PM

Hooves, Congrats, you were right the whole time. Belgravia was a single. BARELY LOL

SentToStud 11-18-2006 07:06 PM

Nice run and real nice finish by Leparoux. It is really hard to believe he is going to Turfway.

SCUDSBROTHER 11-18-2006 07:10 PM

That was a terrific battle in deep stretch.Shame that Notional tanked.Oneil is winning almost everything,but his horses are choking in the biggest races(the Classic,and this race..he is turning out to be Pletcher #2.)When a horse gets beat by an inch,I think that is the time to take into account that Belgravia drifted out into Dilemma enough to cost him some ground.Belgravia will be the one that can 2 turn next year.

MISTERGEE 11-18-2006 07:11 PM

Nice
 
Advantage Belgravia With The Miracle Worker Leparoux, But Good Pic With Dilemna Made A Great Run. Why So Late We Will Never Know. Maybe A Lesson Here With The Crazy Fig On Notional

SCUDSBROTHER 11-18-2006 07:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MISTERGEE
Advantage Belgravia With The Miracle Worker Leparoux, But Good Pic With Dilemna Made A Great Run. Why So Late We Will Never Know. Maybe A Lesson Here With The Crazy Fig On Notional

Why so late? They let horses who are "clear" block the path of other horses.You don't think that cost him?

kentuckyrosesinmay 11-18-2006 07:47 PM

That is what horse racing is all about. AWESOME FINISH! Too bad that I didn't play the race.

I am ABSOLUTELY a huge fan of Dilemma now. I love closers like him. What a turn of foot this young guy has!

hoovesupsideyourhead 11-18-2006 07:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey
Hooves, Congrats, you were right the whole time. Belgravia was a single. BARELY LOL

thanks ..what a run..the second place finisher is a monster..cant wait to see the beyers from this..


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