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Kasept 03-26-2021 10:38 AM

Prevalence confirmed for Wood..

Kasept 03-27-2021 02:47 PM

8 expected for Santa Anita Derby..

Medina Spirit (Baffert/J. Velazquez)
Roman Centurian (S .Callaghan/J. Hernandez)
Dream Shake (Eurton)
Defunded (Baffert)
Ottothelegend (Asmussen)
Parnelli (Shirreffs)
Rock Your World (Sadler)
The Great One (O'Neill)

Kasept 03-28-2021 08:41 AM

1. Hot Rod Charlie (Doug O'Neill) 110
2. Like the King (Wesley Ward) 104
3. Known Agenda (Todd Pletcher) 102
4. Rebel’s Romance-IRE (Charlie Appleby) 100
5. Greatest Honour (Shug McGaughey) 60
6. Midnight Bourbon (Steve Asmussen) 66
7. Mandaloun (Brad Cox) 52
8. Concert Tour (Bob Baffert) 50
9. Helium (Mark Casse) 50
10. Weyburn (Jimmy Jerkens) 50
11. Essential Quality (Brad Cox) 40
-- Panadol (Salem bin Ghad)40
12. Soup and Sandwich (Mark Casse) 40
13. Sainthood (Todd Pletcher) 40
14. Proxy (Mike Stidham) 34
15. Medina Spirit (Bob Baffert) 34
16. O Besos (Greg Foley) 25
17. Hidden Stash (Vicki Oliver) 22
-- New Treasure-IRE (John Gosden) 20
18. Hozier (Bob Baffert)
19. JPN Road to Derby
20. EUR Road to Derby
---------------------------------------------
21. Drain the Clock (Saffie Joseph Jr.) 20
22. Crowded Trade (Chad Brown) 20
---------------------------------------------
-- Hockey Dad (Doug O'Neill) 20
23. Keepmeinmind (Robertino Diodoro) 18
24. Spielberg (Bob Baffert) 17
25. Rombauer (Michael McCarthy) 14
26. Nova Rags (Bill Mott) 14
27. Capo Kane (Harold Wyner) 12
28. Papetu (Antonio Sano) 11

cakes44 03-28-2021 11:20 AM

If there was ever a year for a foreign horse to win it...

If Essential Quality doesn’t make it for some reason or doesn’t fire, this group is something else.

RolloTomasi 03-28-2021 11:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1150813)
If there was ever a year for a foreign horse to win it...

If Essential Quality doesn’t make it for some reason or doesn’t fire, this group is something else.

Yep; the Santa Anita Derby is equally as atrocious as this weekend's preps.

That said, Rock Your World is an x-factor of interest. Has a million dollar pedigree that goes back several generations. Most of the family accomplishments are on turf but there's definitely some dirt in there (Candy Ride, Olympio, Olympic Charmer, Herecomesthebride).

Ottothelegend has a very strong, versatile pedigree as well, but he's way behind the eight ball.

moses 03-28-2021 12:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 1150815)
Yep; the Santa Anita Derby is equally as atrocious as this weekend's preps.

That said, Rock Your World is an x-factor of interest. Has a million dollar pedigree that goes back several generations. Most of the family accomplishments are on turf but there's definitely some dirt in there (Candy Ride, Olympio, Olympic Charmer, Herecomesthebride).

Ottothelegend has a very strong, versatile pedigree as well, but he's way behind the eight ball.

Dream Shake ran a big race in his maiden breaker, respectable 2-turn debut in the San Felipe, and has solid pedigree. The race doesn’t look great on paper with most of the top CA horses either off the trail or shipped out but maybe it won’t be so bad.

RolloTomasi 03-28-2021 12:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1150818)
Dream Shake ran a big race in his maiden breaker, respectable 2-turn debut in the San Felipe, and has solid pedigree. The race doesn’t look great on paper with most of the top CA horses either off the trail or shipped out but maybe it won’t be so bad.

Horse has talent but at risk of burning out quickly. Too much too soon. Now they are starting to overdo it even more by bullet working him since the San Felipe where he pulled himself into 2nd under restraint but was empty at the 3/8s pole.

The added ground is likely to negate whatever separation he had from Roman Centurian and The Great One.

When racing was actually structured with a decent population of horses in CA, Dream Shake would have sprinted once or twice more before stretching out in the Affirmed-Swaps double at Hollywood.

blackthroatedwind 03-28-2021 06:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1150813)
If there was ever a year for a foreign horse to win it...

If Essential Quality doesn’t make it for some reason or doesn’t fire, this group is something else.

What has Essential Quality actually done on the racetrack to separate himself from quite a few other contenders? He’s gotten one perfect trip after another and run figures that put him very much in the mix but hardly a significant favorite. Perhaps he will show real improvement on Saturday, but call me skeptical.

moses 03-29-2021 10:32 AM

Tarantino is apparently pointing to the Bluegrass after running this weekend in the Jeff Ruby.

moses 03-29-2021 10:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1150831)
What has Essential Quality actually done on the racetrack to separate himself from quite a few other contenders? He’s gotten one perfect trip after another and run figures that put him very much in the mix but hardly a significant favorite. Perhaps he will show real improvement on Saturday, but call me skeptical.

Curious to see the odds for the Blue Grass. I thought Highly Motivated ran pretty well in the Gotham considering the bit of trouble he had and coming off a layoff. It'll be his first time around two turns but I think he can beat Essential Quality.

By the way, are my eyes playing tricks on me? The chart says Highly Motivated was back 2.5 lengths at the top of the stretch and finished 1.75 lengths behind. It looks like he made up much more than 3/4 of a length.

Kasept 03-29-2021 03:48 PM

Proxy a Derby unlikely per Stidham on ATR today..

moses 03-29-2021 09:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1150865)
Proxy a Derby unlikely per Stidham on ATR today..

Being a half to Micheline, I’m going to keep an eye out to see if he ends up on turf some time in the future.

Kasept 03-29-2021 11:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1150869)
Being a half to Micheline, I’m going to keep an eye out to see if he ends up on turf some time in the future.

Was discussed too.

moses 03-29-2021 11:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1150873)
Was discussed too.

I'll have to give it a listen. I've been working from home for a year now and it's amazing how much less free time I have than I used to.

Kasept 03-30-2021 06:35 AM

Addition of PRX-based Super Ninety Nine gelding MARKET MAVEN brings Wood field to to 10..

Weyburn (J. Jerkens/T. McCarthy)
Risk Taking (C. Brown/E. Cancel)
Crowded Trade (C. Brown)
Prevalence (Walsh/Gaffalione)
Brooklyn Strong (D. Velazquez)
Candy Man Rocket (Mott)
Bourbonic (Pletcher)
Dynamic One (Pletcher)
Market Maven (Pearce)

blackthroatedwind 03-30-2021 09:54 AM

It was announced yesterday that Nicky the Vest isn’t running

FATPIANO 03-31-2021 09:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1150865)
Proxy a Derby unlikely per Stidham on ATR today..

:(

Kasept 03-31-2021 10:03 AM

9 horses made eligible to Triple Crown w/ $6,000 late payment:

Back Ring Luck
Carrothers
Helium
Hockey Dad
It's My House
Maythehorsebwithu
Panadol
Tiz Mandate
Weyburn

Kasept 03-31-2021 11:16 AM

The Shadwell NY-bred Panadol (Flatter) appears to be Derby-intended..

blackthroatedwind 03-31-2021 11:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1150909)
The Shadwell NY-bred Panadol (Flatter) appears to be Derby-intended..

Anyone know who he is?


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