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If someone can beat American Pharoah I think it will be Materiality. BIG trip in the Derby.
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I think he got too cute with himself. He's had some good scores in the past using that line of reasoning, but unlike most other years, this crop is more top heavy in talented runners, so I believe it's a lot harder for a slow clunk up type of runner to clunk up for a piece. |
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If I had used him or keyed him underneath like some people did. The one beef I would have is where were the 1 and 3 early? With Stanford scratching you had to expect them up on the pace. Especially if you bet a plodder like Keen Ice. You needed the race to collapse. |
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Distance doesn't help closers
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But if he is a stayer, the distance could help him. The trainer ran a similar horse last year in the Belmont, Medal Count, and he ran third at nearly 30-1, besting American Chrome. |
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What is Keen Ice then? Look at his pps he has never showed any early speed at all. He would be the definition of a closer. |
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Getting ahead of our selfs because if AP loses the Preakness he won't be in New York. I hope frosted and materiality go in the Preakness. Will box those two horses. Think AP and FL won't recover in 2weeks:confused:
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I do not understand how people are saying Keen Ice did not run a good derby. He was thje only horse from the back moving forwadr at all the 2nd half of the race. If there was enough pace early, he would have been in the running at the end. He is bred to run all day albeit maybe not su fast, but he won't be backing up at 1.5 miles. He is an interesting horse to look out for it really all I was going for with the first post.....
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