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-   -   Breeders Cup M/L Odds (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=5467)

SniperSB23 10-10-2006 12:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Yeah I kind of agree with you. He obviously is a Spa freak, but he ran well at Calder, and might be a real intersting stab at what should be real nice odds.
Doesn't Calder typically play a lot more like Saratoga than Churchill does?

SniperSB23 10-10-2006 12:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Tough to say, Calder IMO is usually kind to speed, and I believe the weekend the Forego was run this year was also very kind to speed to say the least. Also, Churchill had been like a drag strip recently on big days so who knows? But the horse is in very good hands, and I think he has a real upset shot in the sprint. I think Henny gets beat. he is an awesome horse, but in a 14 horse field, one thing goes wrong, and it's over.
I agree that Pomeroy still has a shot but I think he'll be 6-1 or 8-1 and a play against at those odds. Give me 12-1 or more and I'll definitely be interested.

SniperSB23 10-10-2006 12:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I think he might be around 12-1. The horse doesn't seem to get bet.
I just can't see who else other than Henny is going to be that enticing to push him up to 12-1 especially if Bordonaro doesn't run there.

King Glorious 10-10-2006 01:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by eurobounce
You think he will be 7/5 m/l? No way does that happen. I have never seen a horse that low in the m/l for a Breeders Cup race.
Wasn't Lost in the Fog just even money on the m/l last year? What about Kitten's Joy in 2004, Sightseek in 2003, Officer in 2001, Riboletta in 2000, Cigar in 1995 and 1996?

I think Henny Hughes will be around 7/5 on the line and that Bernardini will be 4/5 on the line. I think both will go off much lower though. I can see Henny at odds-on by post time and Bernardini at 2/5. Here is who I see as the favs on the m/l:

Great Hunter-3/1
Point Ashley-7/2
Henny Hughes-7/5
Fleet Indian-2/1
Wait a While-5/2
Aragorn-3/1 (only because GW is in the Classic)
English Channel-3/1
Bernardini-4/5


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