He's going to say he had it no matter what, that's why he's wondering.

How much you are willing to risk is directly tied (for me anyway) to the potential benefit. It's not crazy to have an idea about the potential payout, it's actually a bankroll management 101 concept in my opinion.

By the look of the card it should pay out nicely... Lots of money burners running, and the HUGE VULNERABLE fav in the 4th... 5 deep in each leg that have a shot :zz:

I'd say there are vulnerabilities at almost every turn, and if I'm going to single, it'd be with My Gal Candy in the 5th, but even that isn't strong.

The 2nd's ML fave is 0-19 coming off the best performance of career at 40-1+...and the 9-2 co-second choice is off a 2+ year layoff and trained by like a 1-for-19.

I agree.

I see El Gato Malo in for a $62,500 tag. Anyone see this 7yo gelding plucked for that price?

prescratch ticket:
.50

6,7 /2,5,8,13/ 1,4,5,6/ 1,2,3,4/ 2,3

I like your ticket....good play. We differ on a few. My ticket is posted on my site... .http://www.trackphantom.com/Racing12.html

lol :wf

Any strong opinions in the third leg? Having a tough time comfortably leaving anyone out except maybe First Strike

I have that leg 1,2,5,6...I left First Strike in.

you should have never asked now you'll be second guessing yourself...

i left first strike in...and dumped honour the deputy...not done yet but FOR SURE dumping the #2

I almost always worry about what its going to pay, maybe not so much in this case but 99% of time.

Twinspires has My Gal Candy scr in the 5th

what are the other scratches?

all of the money is going to be dumped on baffert in the 3rd

Money Makin Sam in the 4th too. Equibase hasn't updated, this is strictly from my Twinspires wagerpad

Changes
 

Race 1
Temp Rail Distance - 0 ft. changed to 14 ft. 10:16 AM


Race 4

# 7 Money Makin Sam Scratched - Veterinarian 10:11 AM
#11 Bacardi Cat Run Jockey - Corey S. Nakatani changed to Edwin A. Maldonado 10:11 AM
#12 Mark's Cat Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:11 AM
#13 Dancin Upside Down Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:11 AM
#14 Title Contender Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:11 AM
Temp Rail Distance - 0 ft. changed to 14 ft. 10:16 AM

Race 5
# 2 My Gal Candy Scratched - Veterinarian 10:11 AM

Race 7
Temp Rail Distance - 0 ft. changed to 14 ft. 10:16 AM

A friend told me he's singling the Miller firster in the 2nd, banking his ticket around it...

I uncovered this Formulator stat...

Peter Miller trainees, last 5 years - debuting in maiden claiming, 3&up...
2 for 29
at Del Mar, 0 for 7 (none hit the board)

Just sayin...

How come the BRIS form shows Debut Mdn claiming - 60 starts -23 % win. Are we comparing the same ?

saw that as well, i'd be shocked if someone took a chance
i remember that horse's 3YO campaign like it was yesterday, father time hasn't treated him too well

work blocks TS so here's my mythical ticket

pk5 .50

1467 / 356 13 /146 /3456 /345 = $288

pk6

146 / 3456 / 345 / 789 10 / 57 / 234689 = $1728 (might as well punch this one and just stand in line, b/c it is, THE GOLDEN TICKET:rolleyes:)

-bt-

Track Name: Del Mar (DMD)
Race: 1
Pool: P5
Selections: 1, 7/2, 8, 11/1, 6/2, 3, 4/4, 5

Taking a stab before I leave the office.

I will also be buying a powerball ticket for tonight.