I don't understand how that would make things skewed. The whole point is that Baffert gets really expensive horses from guys like Shah. Obviously it would be better to go further back and increase the sample size, but it'll take too long.

It only makes it skewed if there is one, maybe two, huge priced yearlings and the rest are very modest.

I doubt that's the case.

Brigand was a $90,000 yearling and $925,000 2yo.

Macho Rocket was a $22,000 yearling and a $825,000 2yo.

Both of these fine pinhooks slightly out of Klaravich's price range won their debut for Baffert.

Removing Brigand and Macho Rocket makes Baffert's avg winning purchase price at 185K from 10 debut winners.

I wouldn't say skewed, but it's just not a big sample.

Right.

Here is something that is pretty interesting.

These are the top 40 rated quarterback prospects coming out of highschool in the year 2008:

Andrew Luck was only rated #7 at his position that year. RG 3 was rated only the 40th best qb prospect coming out of highschool his year.

Sadly, with Rose Junction's dead last finish in the Sanford -- Pletcher is off to a 1-for-19 start after 3 days.

We are all rooting hard for Mr. Pletcher as he is such a brilliant horseman and we know he will overcome this slow start and win this years Saratoga training title like the idol he is.

His one winner was a freak though.

She was a freak long before he got her.

She had the outright bullet at the nations premier 2yo sale (FT Florida) and also had no red flags in all the areas and information where you check for the red flags.

1/5th of a second at that distance and rate of speed -- is a gigantic margin.

He's going to do well with 2-year-olds because of the edge in firepower he has. I'm going to play against him with anything that ran at Gulfstream for him.

Rose Junction had no business on the track today! She warmed up worse than some of the 3500 claimers i see at EVD. Hopefully she will be ok.

Pletcher is lighting it up at the Spa with a 1 for 22 start on opening weekend.

Just because of sheer volume -- he will still win the training title.

He's basically just another glaring example of image and fashion being everything in horse racing.

So what to do with Lucky Friend in the 5th tomorrow (Wed)? JV's return mount.

Pk4 single or play against? Still have work to do, but personally leaning to the former with small covers on a couple others.

I don't understand why Gadget Girl was such a healthy pin-hook. She was a 55K yearling turned 300K 2yo buy.

I love More Than Ready debuters, but from what I saw, she isn't especially fast.

She was lightly urged (which means nothing) in her sale work -- but 10 4/5 isn't anything special...even over a track people were claiming was "deep and slow"

These horses get a full run-up and are only asked for one good furlong. It's not like they're breaking from a starting gate with just 40 ft of run-up going a true distance.

I'm only going 2-deep this race. I'm using the Pletcher 2yo for sure. And I'm using whoever appears more live on the board between My Happy Face and Teen Pauline.

there's a joke there somewhere.

Like this horse a bit

Do you know anything or just have a feeling?

I was Tiz Wonderful's biggest fan.

Haven't heard anything about her. . . here's my rationale: http://thetdnblog.blogspot.com/2012/...spa-day-5.html

I was a big Tiz Wonderful fan too.

Me three. I thought Tiz Wonderful was the most talented runner in that crop.

He reminded me a lot of his grandsire.

Hate to burst everyones bubble, but they are not beating the 9 in the baby race today. My only bet of the day....$50 to win.

Yes, they are.