Note to self. Auto-Toss winners of New York Derby preps until I get beat.

This notion that because Mike Smith says he was within himself means that Trinniberg not being there wouldn't have mattered is NONSENSE.

If Trinniberg is not in the race, Bodemeister does not have to go 45 and 1/5 to get a clear lead, and he doesn't have to shade 1:10 to stay in front. Take Trinniberg out and he would have had a comfortable lead over Hansen going a bit slower at each point of call.

When speed horses get clear leads, that does not mean that they suddenly lose any excuse for losing. Using that ridiculously flawed logic, you will hold losing against a speed horse with complete disregard for the pace they set.

There were a lot of total non-efforts from a lot of horses yesterday. Very few legitimate horses from the spring even put in a hint of a run.

I don't know man, Eskenderaya and I Want Revenge would have been pretty live.

I think the winner of the Wood last year got hurt as well.

Keep in mind that Gemologist had his hands full with the likes of Alpha, which didn't really bode well for his chances yesterday.

It is simply a way for me to ride the trend and eliminate a few lower odds horses. When I get beat I will start including them. Some may think it is absurd but thats fine.

Yeah, but truthfully haven't people been saying that about the California contingents the last few years?

For me that changed when they went back to dirt...

No it didn't, you claimed but 2 months ago that the California races/horses were "completely irrelevant" to the triple crown?

Now your saying since they switched to dirt you think they are relevant, which happened long before the San Vincente.

That's fine, but the three previous winners were all injured.

Gemologist, while possible, seemed up against it. Tale of Ekati and Slobiz were hopeless.

I was should've been more clear. I was talking about to different horses. My Bad.

Dude.... Really????? This game is fluid if you know what I mean. Anyone that forms an opinion 2 months back and sticks to that opinion when subsequent events dictate otherwise is pretty much an idiot.... That was my opinion for that period of time. I am a lot of things but an idiot is not one of them. Do you form an opinion and stick to it regardless of what subsequent races show you?

You shouldn't underestimate yourself!

Totally J/K.

On second thought based upon my play friday and saturday I want to retract my statement.

Slobiz was hopeless??? You tell me this now?:)

Bodemeister will probably be 6-5 in the Preakness if he runs. I think the chances of him running are probably about 50/50. He ran awfully hard. I think it would make more sense to give him a break and point for races like the Haskell and BC Classic.

I thought I was pretty vocal about that!

6/5? Absolutely no chance.

Maybe, but I must have had you on ignore back then:o

That might be a little low. I guess it depends on whether horses like Union Rags and some of the others show up. But no matter who shows up, I don't think he goes off higher than 2-1.

I have no feel whatsoever for what the odds would be on Bodemeister in the Preakness.

I could see him 3/5 or 5/2.

I'd much rather see him go to the Belmont.