Pace is the reason for a significant percentage of "bounces". Speed figures never tell the entire story.

Reverie was foaled in 1992, so she would have been 18 when she gave birth to Romanova.

Those races were equally bad on TG - I highlighted the BSF tops to illustrate the point - you can't accurately use speed figures to try and determine bounce in my opinion.

oh, ok. i was just looking at them since you'd circled a few.

My belief is it's common for many horses to run fast races then slow then fast and that is not wheat i dfine as a bounce.

My definition is after a long (3+ month) layoff, and a horse runs an up close (less than one length ahead or behind) most of the way around the track, then has a bad race--that's a bounce.

A good angle is to rate the horse off the comeback race in his third start after the layoff. It's called the Back Bounce Back pattern or BBB.