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-   -   9/3 (SAR): Woodward, Forego, Personal Ensign (G1's) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=43670)

cakes44 09-03-2011 09:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 804812)
The great Bayakoa failed both times against males. The great Lady's Secret was just 1-for-7 lifetime against males. Horses like Precisionist and Quiet American could run figures in the mid 120's... how many females in history have done that? .

Zenyatta could have but she always "just did enough to win."

Sightseek 09-03-2011 09:10 PM

If Grace runs in the BCC, hopefully network tv finds something else to talk about than Eight Belles.

Calzone Lord 09-03-2011 09:23 PM

I doubt Eight Belles gets rehashed by network tv.

I suppose ESPN might if they want to be annoying.

NTamm1215 09-03-2011 09:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 804820)
I doubt Eight Belles gets rehashed by network tv.

I suppose ESPN might if they want to be annoying.

You didn't watch Versus today. It was brought up multiple times.

Calzone Lord 09-03-2011 09:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 804822)
You didn't watch Versus today. It was brought up multiple times.

That's pretty lame.

What do Eight Belles and Havre De Grace have in common other than the same owner and trainer?

NTamm1215 09-03-2011 10:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 804823)
That's pretty lame.

What do Eight Belles and Havre De Grace have in common other than the same owner and trainer?

It was lame. They kept bringing up how it was the first time Larry Jones ran a filly against males since Eight Belles.

I was more surprised that Randy Moss seemed to think Sidney's Candy could make a clear lead in the Forego. He's a very astute pace analyst so I found that very surprising.

Calzone Lord 09-03-2011 10:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 804824)
It was lame. They kept bringing up how it was the first time Larry Jones ran a filly against males since Eight Belles.

If you're an avg viewer -- what's that supposed to mean?

Good? Eight Belles ran a clear-cut 2nd at double digit odds. Maybe that means HdG will also outrun her odds.

Bad? She broke down. Maybe HdG is at some kind of added risk.

It's totally much ado about nothing. If they need to talk about something like that .. they have too much time and the telecast should be shorter.

Calzone Lord 09-03-2011 10:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 804824)
I was more surprised that Randy Moss seemed to think Sidney's Candy could make a clear lead in the Forego. He's a very astute pace analyst so I found that very surprising.

He must be working on some new figures for turf racing or something. I don't know.

King Glorious 09-03-2011 10:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 804812)
I can't believe anyone said she had no chance. She was 8-to-5 on the morning line -- and had run four Beyers of 105 or more in her last six races -- the rest of the entire field had four combined.

Other than Flat Out and Tizway -- the older males are puke. She beat one of the good ones today.

If you can't believe anyone said it, go look at the thread on the Delaware Cap when it was suggested her and BL should be facing males. We were told that they wouldn't have a shot against the likes of Tizway, Flat Out, Morning Line, Friend or Foe, and Rail Trip.

As I said earlier, if we were talking about real top class males, that would be different but we aren't. We are talking about the high priced claimers marauding as grade one horses these days. Horses like Blind Luck and HDG might be a couple of steps below the likes of Go for Wand, Personal Ensign, Bayakoa, Paseana, and Azeri.......but the older males are a couple of floors below the good older males of the past that were running 115+ on a regular basis.

Personally, I feel like it's totally irrelevant to mention what Lady's Secret did against Turkoman and Precisionist when discussing HDG's chances against Giant Oak and Flat Out or BL's chances against Game on Dude and Acclamation. These older males now are a joke, a bad one at that, and they barely are faster than our fastest 2yos so why not take shots against them?

Seattleallstar 09-03-2011 10:33 PM

super weak edition of the Woodward, in any case whatevs. Kinda sad when Tizaway is the top handicap horse in the east, makes me wanna cry when I think Awesome Gem is possibly the best older horse in America.

Dahoss 09-03-2011 10:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 804834)
If you can't believe anyone said it, go look at the thread on the Delaware Cap when it was suggested her and BL should be facing males. We were told that they wouldn't have a shot against the likes of Tizway, Flat Out, Morning Line, Friend or Foe, and Rail Trip.

I actually went back and read that thread. Since I didn't see anyone saying what you are implying, could you please provide an example of what you are describing here?

No one said they would have no shot against those horses. What was disagreed with is Havre De Grace and Blind Luck are the two best dirt horses in training. Big difference between saying that and what you are saying.

I'm glad I went back and read that thread though because I was able to relive your description of the Delaware Handicap. "Magical theatre." That'll never not be funny.

King Glorious 09-03-2011 11:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 804839)
I actually went back and read that thread. Since I didn't see anyone saying what you are implying, could you please provide an example of what you are describing here?

No one said they would have no shot against those horses. What was disagreed with is Havre De Grace and Blind Luck are the two best dirt horses in training. Big difference between saying that and what you are saying.

I'm glad I went back and read that thread though because I was able to relive your description of the Delaware Handicap. "Magical theatre." That'll never not be funny.

Hmm. Right on page one, ateam said BL, HDG, and Awesome Maria would all be competitive in the Whitney, to which Mr. Serling promptly replied that they wouldn't. When ateam asked which older males, other than Tizway, should they be worried about, ntamm gave us Rail Trip, Morning Line, and Friend or Foe. Serling said that would be a good start, seemingly suggesting there were even more. He even mentioned Sidney's Candy. He also wondered why anyone would hypothesize about HDG beating top males and talked about BL being campaigned against females because she could realistically be competitive against top males.

Maybe the words no chance weren't used but the point was very clear.

Dahoss 09-04-2011 12:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 804851)
Hmm. Right on page one, ateam said BL, HDG, and Awesome Maria would all be competitive in the Whitney, to which Mr. Serling promptly replied that they wouldn't. When ateam asked which older males, other than Tizway, should they be worried about, ntamm gave us Rail Trip, Morning Line, and Friend or Foe. Serling said that would be a good start, seemingly suggesting there were even more. He even mentioned Sidney's Candy. He also wondered why anyone would hypothesize about HDG beating top males and talked about BL being campaigned against females because she could realistically be competitive against top males.

Maybe the words no chance weren't used but the point was very clear.

The thread you are talking about and the posts were in the middle of June, which was a month before the Delaware Handicap and almost 2 months before the Whitney. Obviously things change weekly, if not daily and I'm going to go out on a limb and guess both Andy and Nick had Havre De Grace as the 2nd best horse in the race today beforehand.

But, while we are on the subject of that thread, I found this exchange pretty interesting.

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 799540)
How would they have done against Tizway and Flat Out?

To which you responded

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 799546)
Probably third. Second at best. No disgrace in that though. At least I don't think so anyway. I just thought about it because the first ones mentioned that they wouldn't have a chance against were those three. I don't know if they'd even beat those three but I think those three showed they are no world beaters to be avoided at all costs and that BL and HdG would at least rate a chance.

Hmmm....It's always easy to be smart after the races. But you know that.

King Glorious 09-04-2011 09:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 804855)
The thread you are talking about and the posts were in the middle of June, which was a month before the Delaware Handicap and almost 2 months before the Whitney. Obviously things change weekly, if not daily and I'm going to go out on a limb and guess both Andy and Nick had Havre De Grace as the 2nd best horse in the race today beforehand.

But, while we are on the subject of that thread, I found this exchange pretty interesting.



To which you responded



Hmmm....It's always easy to be smart after the races. But you know that.

Ok so I had the thread wrong. The point doesn't change that it was being said they'd have no chance.

Also, I'm not sure what point you are making about that exchange. It was a simple question with a simple answer. I would have been in favor of them trying the Whitney and after watching how Tizway ran, I assumed HDG at best could have been second. To which I also said there is no disgrace in that. It's the mentality that second is a disgrace that is a big part of the problem in the game today. Even if she had been second, that would have shown that she could have been competive, which those others where saying she couldn't be.

freddymo 09-04-2011 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 804896)
Ok so I had the thread wrong. The point doesn't change that it was being said they'd have no chance.

Also, I'm not sure what point you are making about that exchange. It was a simple question with a simple answer. I would have been in favor of them trying the Whitney and after watching how Tizway ran, I assumed HDG at best could have been second. To which I also said there is no disgrace in that. It's the mentality that second is a disgrace that is a big part of the problem in the game today. Even if she had been second, that would have shown that she could have been competive, which those others where saying she couldn't be.

I agree with the second is a big thing concept. As for BTW and Nick suggesting that a filly couldnt competite with males especially them is insane. What does sex have to do with talent and speed?

Dahoss 09-04-2011 11:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 804896)
Ok so I had the thread wrong. The point doesn't change that it was being said they'd have no chance.

Also, I'm not sure what point you are making about that exchange. It was a simple question with a simple answer. I would have been in favor of them trying the Whitney and after watching how Tizway ran, I assumed HDG at best could have been second. To which I also said there is no disgrace in that. It's the mentality that second is a disgrace that is a big part of the problem in the game today. Even if she had been second, that would have shown that she could have been competive, which those others where saying she couldn't be.

No real surprise you don't get the point. You were more interested in saying "gotcha" than actually looking at what and why was said. Plus your sexist stuff is just plain hilarious. It's wonderful theatre on your part.

The point is, when the comments were made initially, Rail Trip and Friend or Foe had just recently made their first starts off long layoffs and ran nice figures. Morning Line hadn't bombed in both his Monmouth and Saratoga races. Morning Line is much better than he had showed in those races and so are the other two.

As I said, things change pretty quickly in this game. Our opinions change and need to change as quickly as we express them based on what happens. So congrats on thinking she had a chance 3 months ago and then admitting she would have been probably 3rd in the Whitney. You sure showed them.

blackthroatedwind 09-07-2011 09:53 AM

Pretty lame, but expected, crap from King Glorious.

For the record, I picked Havre de Grace second and said she and Flat Out were the only two I would use in the Pick-4.

Oh, I also said Sidney's Candy had no shot whatsoever in the Forego...and have been clear on not wanting him going forward since Todd Pletcher lost confidence in him in late July.

Like Dahoss said, and King Glorious ignored in his desperate attempt to alter the truth in order to try to knock others in a perverse ( and failed ) attempt to make himself look better ( this shouldn't be hard...though he still seems to find it elusive ), things change, often quickly, in this game.

King Glorious 09-07-2011 12:38 PM

The point was missed. Only you are the ones missing it....while at the same time making it. The point was that at the time, the suggestion that Blind Luck and Havre de Grace couldn't compete and shouldn't compete against the boys because they couldn't be competitive was silly.....because of how quickly things change. The point was that if top males were to run their best races, the numbers BL and HDG were running probably wouldn't be good enough but with the inconsistency and fragility of the males, the chances of them running their best races are always pretty low so why not take a chance when you've got two mares that you KNOW will bring it everytime.

blackthroatedwind 09-07-2011 12:56 PM

No, you have once again twisted what was said for God knows what reason.

The point, at that time, was that the previously mentioned three fillies couldn't beat the field being assembled for the Whitney. They couldn't have. That has not changed.

VOL JACK 09-08-2011 09:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 805428)
Pretty lame, but expected, crap from King Glorious.

For the record, I picked Havre de Grace second and said she and Flat Out were the only two I would use in the Pick-4.

Oh, I also said Sidney's Candy had no shot whatsoever in the Forego...and have been clear on not wanting him going forward since Todd Pletcher lost confidence in him in late July.

Like Dahoss said, and King Glorious ignored in his desperate attempt to alter the truth in order to try to knock others in a perverse ( and failed ) attempt to make himself look better ( this shouldn't be hard...though he still seems to find it elusive ), things change, often quickly, in this game.

You actually take the time to read his half a page post?


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