Derby Trail Forums - 12/26 (SA): Malibu, La Brea (G1's); Beaufort (G2); CA Champion (R)

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- - 12/26 (SA): Malibu, La Brea (G1's); Beaufort (G2); CA Champion (R) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=40127)

N.P and bogie, santa anita has taken a foot of rain the last 6 days.

Gomez getting on Offlee Wild Boys in the 5th is interesting, and his last was pretty good. Not sure anyone can beat Arresting Officer, but he could hit the board at a price.

LOL...Make Music For Me. Rosarios greatest moment as a jock has to be getting that plug up for 4th in the Derby:wf

i think alcindor is the choice...lightly raced but has met every challenge faced...other have red flags....he has a question mark

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 735858)

5th (2:00) California Breeders' Champion S..

7 Furlongs (Main Track) | Open | 2 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $100,000

1 Contemplated Rosario J 117 L
2 Woodmans Luck Flores D R 117 L
3 Gab Power Valenzuela P A 115 L
4 Thirtyfirststreet Bejarano R 117 L
5 Tappin Tough Nakatani C S 117
6 Offlee Wild Boys Gomez G K 115 L
7 Real Cool Dude Pedroza M A 117 L
8 Make It Cozy Espinoza V 115 L
9 Arresting Officer Talamo J 117 L

6th (2:30) La Brea S. (G1)

7 Furlongs (Main Track) | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $250,000

1 Pica Slew Talamo J 118 L
2 Tornado Betty Valenzuela P A 118 Blk-On L
3 Switch Rosario J 118 L
4 Patriotic Viva Smith M E 118 L
5 La Nez Espinoza V 118 L
6 It Tiz Flores D R 118 L
7 Malibu Pier Gomez G K 118 L
8 Hard Way Ten Solis A 118 L
9 Always a Princess Bejarano R 118 L
10 Shotgun Gulch Quinonez A 118 L
11 Champagne d'Oro Baze M C 123 L
12 Arte Viva Blanc B 118 L
13 Bonnie Blue Flag Nakatani C S 118 L

7th (3:00) Sir Beaufort S. (G2)

1 Mile (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $150,000

1 Blue Panis (FR) Talamo J 118 L
2 Nextdoorneighbor Espinoza V 118 Blk-Off L
3 Bogie (IRE) Gomez G K 118 L
4 Sebastian Flyte (GB) Leparoux J R 118 L
5 Sidney's Candy Rosario J 123 L
6 Indian Firewater Bejarano R 118 L
7 Stephen's Got Hope Pedroza M A 118 L
8 Make Music for Me Smith M E 118 L
9 Accelerant Quinonez A 118 L

8th (3:30) Malibu S. (G1)

7 Furlongs (Main Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $250,000

1 Paris Vegas Nakatani C S 118 L
2 Alcindor Bejarano R 118 L
3 Thiskyhasnolimit Gomez G K 118 L
4 Caracortado Talamo J 118 L
5 Noble's Promise Leparoux J R 118 L
6 Setsuko Solis A 118 L
7 Don Tito Valenzuela P A 118 L
8 Thomas Baines Pedroza M A 118 L
9 Twirling Candy Rosario J 118 L
10 Our Minesweeper Blanc B 118 L
11 Smiling Tiger Baze R A 123 L

What will the 12/5/2 or 9 pick 3 pay?

Horizontally I would add Bogie and Indian Firewater.

It will help if Race 3 stays on the turf to get some grasp of how it is playing...plus someone sending with the fave, who has the speed?

I think Sidney's Candy gets some serious pressure in the Sir Beaufort, and I see the race melting down a bit late. Bogie looks like the best closer, and looks like the horse to key in there as I don't really see all the hype in Sidney's Candy off of 1 good turf race where he set a reasonable pace on that quirky Del Mar turf course against a bunch of tomato cans.

I think in the Malibu it's strictly between Caracortado, Noble's Promise, and Smiling Tiger, the three big time proven dirt horses in the race. I'll let the others beat me, especially if they are short prices.

Quote:

Originally Posted by JerseyJ (Post 736553)

You have to believe that Talamo is gonna have Blue Panis right up on the front end with Sidneys Candy. I think Gomez and Lep will have their mounts towards the rear. This may be a bit of a stretch in my thinking, but I think if Espinoza can have Nextdoorneighbor sitting just a couple lengths behind the dueling frontrunners, he can get first jump and may still have enough to hold off the late closers. Of course, Bejerano will most likely be in the same position with Indian Firewater. They are both making their first turf starts and should be pretty decent prices.

Nextdoorneighbor, Indian Firewater and Bogie (huge jock switch) would be the 3 I use.

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 736570)

I don't think Indian Firewater is going to be lagging far behind at all. I see Blue Panis on or pressuring the pace like you said, Nextdoorneighbor I expect to be forwardly placed on the stretchout, Sidney's Candy obviously, and the La Jolla was a fluky race because of Del Mar's turf course where fractions are often wacky, as well as Indian Firewater on the stretchout, and I bet Quinonez uses Accelerant early and puts him into the race because he won't want to be too far behind in the early going while losing ground from the 9 hole. I think Bogie is going to get a perfect setup.

The DRF quoted Mike Machowsky saying that Nextdoorneighbor was "main track only".

FYI it's raining again here.

Probably not but not sure...

I think it's supposed to stop by early morning.

It's not heavy but thought I should mention it here...

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan07 (Post 736809)

Off The Turf!

So Sidneys candy is now 1-9?

Whoa

The Factor
106.4

Quote:

Originally Posted by Heels1989 (Post 736882)

Whoa

The Factor
106.4

Crazy.

Quote:

Originally Posted by VOL JACK (Post 736898)

Crazy.

I know the talk was about the track being faster after all the rain, but that time is insane no matter what:zz:

Its the GOAT. He will benefit the most from going back to dirt.