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-   -   One of the greatest 11.25 length defeats by a filly in history (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=38057)

Smooth Operator 08-29-2010 09:18 PM

Yeah, that :47.73 first half was brutal. :rolleyes:

clyde 08-29-2010 09:21 PM

Sometime people will overlook a great race as they get caught up in the "intellectual" aspect.



I think it's always a great race when a 21:1 runs down a big fave.

The Indomitable DrugS 08-29-2010 09:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmorioles (Post 689753)
I would say the race wasn't that great. Sure, the pace was on the quick side, but the final time is pathetic. I don't think the pace explains all of it, or the little bit of wide on the first turn. RA and LAT ran better than the Beyer will indicate for sure, but it wasn't that great.

For a 3rd beaten 11.25 lengths with a Beyer in the 70's - it was a great performance. Great in relation to the running line it yields obviously.

I even liked Miss Singhsix's race - even though she was a mile off of the pace early - and ended up finishing 4th by 16.5 lengths.

Persistantly is a grinder and has been successful as a closing sprinter - Miss Singhsix is a slowpoke who's never even attempted a sprint race in her career - she moved WAY too soon imo. Valdivia should have had her 20+ lengths behind that pace instead of just 15.

Miss Singhsix ended up running her final half mile in 53.83 seconds - after making a huge middle move in tandem with Persist.

The Indomitable DrugS 08-29-2010 09:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smooth Operator (Post 689754)
Yeah, that :47.73 first half was brutal. :rolleyes:

Naked fractions don't mean anything when the speed of the surface isn't accounted for.

Here's a video of Life At Ten and Unrivelled Belle in a Grade 1 route race - going fractions of 45.55 and 1:08.40 set by Life At Ten after she stumbled at the start.

http://www1.drf.com/displayVideo.do?...=D&country=USA

On my figures - Life At Ten went a faster pace today than she did in that race where she set the 1:08.40 after stumbling

slotdirt 08-29-2010 09:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smooth Operator (Post 689754)
Yeah, that :47.73 first half was brutal. :rolleyes:

Says the 18-18 lifetime bettor...

Smooth Operator 08-30-2010 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 689737)
You may require a tongue tie despite being a noted mouth breather. Perhaps your boy Lane could use a tongue tie as well.

Was thrilled to see Pat come home for good

Future looking VERY bright :cool:

my miss storm cat 08-30-2010 01:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 689650)
Old school Bailey suicide mission to defeat another horse rather than winning.

Eddington still has nightmares.

Travis Stone 08-30-2010 06:56 PM

What do all the figure makers think of the track yesterday? How 'slow' was it?

RockHardTen1985 08-30-2010 07:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 689760)
For a 3rd beaten 11.25 lengths with a Beyer in the 70's - it was a great performance. Great in relation to the running line it yields obviously.

I even liked Miss Singhsix's race - even though she was a mile off of the pace early - and ended up finishing 4th by 16.5 lengths.

Persistantly is a grinder and has been successful as a closing sprinter - Miss Singhsix is a slowpoke who's never even attempted a sprint race in her career - she moved WAY too soon imo. Valdivia should have had her 20+ lengths behind that pace instead of just 15.

Miss Singhsix ended up running her final half mile in 53.83 seconds - after making a huge middle move in tandem with Persist.

Doug Im saying this with 100% sincerity, no messing around It is meant to be a serious question. Is this thread you showing your genius, your ability to mess with all of us or are you actually being serious about a 70 something beyer and a double digit length loss?

prudery 08-30-2010 07:33 PM

Dementia praecox ...

RockHardTen1985 08-30-2010 07:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by prudery (Post 690108)
Dementia praecox ...

I worked in a Dementia facility for a while.... Tough work.

Dementia praecox ("premature dementia") refers to a chronic, deteriorating psychotic disorder characterized by rapid cognitive disintegration, usually beginning in the late teens or early adulthood. It is a term first used in 1891 in this Latin form by Arnold Pick (1851-1924), a professor of psychiatry at the German branch of Charles University in Prague. His brief clinical report described the case of a person with a psychotic disorder resembling hebephrenia (see below). It was popularized by German psychiatrist Emil Kraepelin (1856-1926) in 1893 and 1896 in his first detailed descriptions of a condition that would eventually be reframed and relabeled as schizophrenia.

The primary disturbance in dementia praecox is not one of mood (as is the case in manic-depressive illness), but of thinking or cognition. Cognitive disintegration refers to a disruption in cognitive or mental functioning such as in attention, memory, and goal-directed behavior.

From the outset, dementia praecox was viewed by Kraepelin as a progressively deteriorating disease from which no one recovered. The three terms that Kraepelin used to refer to the end state of the disease were "Verblödung" (deterioration), Schwachsinn (mental weakness) or Defekt (defect). However, by 1913, and more explicitly by 1920, Kraepelin admitted that although there seemed to be a residual cognitive defect in most cases, the prognosis was not as uniformly dire as he had stated in the 1890s.

randallscott35 08-30-2010 07:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 690114)
I worked in a Dementia facility for a while.... Tough work.

Dementia praecox ("premature dementia") refers to a chronic, deteriorating psychotic disorder characterized by rapid cognitive disintegration, usually beginning in the late teens or early adulthood. It is a term first used in 1891 in this Latin form by Arnold Pick (1851-1924), a professor of psychiatry at the German branch of Charles University in Prague. His brief clinical report described the case of a person with a psychotic disorder resembling hebephrenia (see below). It was popularized by German psychiatrist Emil Kraepelin (1856-1926) in 1893 and 1896 in his first detailed descriptions of a condition that would eventually be reframed and relabeled as schizophrenia.

The primary disturbance in dementia praecox is not one of mood (as is the case in manic-depressive illness), but of thinking or cognition. Cognitive disintegration refers to a disruption in cognitive or mental functioning such as in attention, memory, and goal-directed behavior.

From the outset, dementia praecox was viewed by Kraepelin as a progressively deteriorating disease from which no one recovered. The three terms that Kraepelin used to refer to the end state of the disease were "Verblödung" (deterioration), Schwachsinn (mental weakness) or Defekt (defect). However, by 1913, and more explicitly by 1920, Kraepelin admitted that although there seemed to be a residual cognitive defect in most cases, the prognosis was not as uniformly dire as he had stated in the 1890s.

God Bless wikipedia for the feeble minded like yourself.

The Indomitable DrugS 08-30-2010 07:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 690105)
Doug Im saying this with 100% sincerity, no messing around It is meant to be a serious question. Is this thread you showing your genius, your ability to mess with all of us or are you actually being serious about a 70 something beyer and a double digit length loss?

It's common sense is all it is.

You beat this game by finding horses who run sneaky good races like Life At Ten ran... but don't quite have the good back form she has - and come back in the right kind of spots.

In terms of my public handicapping, I've had seven winners picked on top in the paper that have paid $40+ to win this meet alone - and I very rarely pick longshots on top.

In Friday's 8th - my best bet of the day paid $63.60 to win - the daily double into him only paid $52. My top pick is profitable for the meet - in print - for the 3rd year in a row. The only year which I didn't show a flat bet profit was the 1st year - only a 25 day meet.

In terms of my betting - if you don't find enough horses who run races like that and come back in the right spots - you'll be needing to find a job.

The Indomitable DrugS 08-30-2010 08:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone (Post 690091)
What do all the figure makers think of the track yesterday? How 'slow' was it?

You only had one two turn route race both Saturday and Sunday - so it's really tough to gauge the routes.

Even with the speed biased track - I was very disapointed with Fly Down's race in the Travers if the pace was as brutally fast as I think it might have been. You just don't know for sure though.

Dahoss 08-30-2010 08:02 PM

Wherever Life At Ten runs next, what kind of a price do you expect to get? Where could she possibly run next time and be more than 3 or 4-1 besides a race like the Classic?

randallscott35 08-30-2010 08:06 PM

I don't think I saw an impressive race this weekend at the Spa, Rachel's race included.

NTamm1215 08-30-2010 08:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 690126)
I don't think I saw an impressive race this weekend at the Spa, Rachel's race included.

If you weren't impressed by Uncle Mo then you need to adjust your standards for modern times.

NT

randallscott35 08-30-2010 08:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 690127)
If you weren't impressed by Uncle Mo then you need to adjust your standards for modern times.

NT

Could be. A nice debut. The 2 yr olds who seem to matter at a distance aren't running holes in the wind at Toga as 2 yr olds so take it for what its worth.

RockHardTen1985 08-30-2010 08:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 690126)
I don't think I saw an impressive race this weekend at the Spa, Rachel's race included.

Uncle Mo and Rapport?

NTamm1215 08-30-2010 08:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 690129)
Could be. A nice debut. The 2 yr olds who seem to matter at a distance aren't running holes in the wind at Toga as 2 yr olds so take it for what its worth.

Whether I think he's going to be good going forward is a different issue, his debut was extremely impressive.

NT


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