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-   -   PVal close to California return? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=36847)

The Indomitable DrugS 06-30-2010 12:49 AM

Jason Lumpkins is currently winning at 18% at Mountaineer - despite being somewhat blackballed by certain trainers - and he's currently showing a 42% profit on every dollar bet in route races there over the last 2 seasons.

I think he might have a better chance at Del Mar than the current version of P. Val ... though P. Val would be better at fooling some horsemen into thinking he still has it - and surely get much better chances.

CSC 06-30-2010 08:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 663303)
No he won't.

He's washed up now. He pretty much sucks.

Since 2007 he's ridden in 1,251 races - won 14% - and his ROI is a horrid $1.25 ... meaning he's losing 37.5% on every dollar bet - which is more than double the track takeout ... and at over 1k races, thats a big sample size.

His numbers in turf races have even been a little worse.

Keep in mind, he's doing that riding at tracks in Louisianna and New Mexico.

He shouldn't be allowed to ride in the state of California ... unless he promises he will go on his drug binges again ... because maybe the drug binges help him a lot as a rider .. they can't make him a whole lot worse.

I've only seen him ride sporadically at LA Downs, and yes he isn't the P Val of the pre synth days in So Cal. I think my feelings are more based on the rides I see nowadays out west, they are so far removed from the days of watching Solis, Eddie D, Corey Nak, Mccarron, Antley, Stevens, Kent D, and even Flores ride race in race out. Even a Corey Black used to put in the odd winning ride.

Yeah those numbers stink, he will surely be bet down on name, however there are few jockies on that colony I trust at the moment, and if he can regain even 80% of what he used to be, I think that will still be better than 90% of the Jockies riding out there. I think it would be a mistake to think he is purely a speed rider, he was a very good turf rider in his time and supposing he rides synth like he rides on turf, he should be okay.


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