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Basic premise is when to bet speed or closers based on speed point method
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any actual pace ratings you like the best? I never really looked at Moss #s. I used to do my own Beyer pace #s. Now anyway most say it doesnt matter which horses have the best speed just how many like to go to the front no matter the rating.
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I have also used Equiform's Xtras (Cary Fotias) from time to time. I can see how their stuff can really put you on some nice prices. Basically a combination of pace figures and sheets. |
I use methods in these three books.
"Total Victory at the Track" by William L. Scott. His Performance Class Ratings (PCR) are a good way to compare the class of the field. If you have difficulty with All Weather tracks, PCR ratings are valuable. I don't use the second call in creating my PCR numbers and I don't like the way he makes his pace figures, especially sprinters stretching out. "Pace Makes the Race" by Sartin, Schmidt, Hambleton, and Pizzola. I separate the running styles with their E, EP, P, and S designations--that's why I don't use the second call for the PCR rating. I use their EPR, FFR, and TPR for pace ratings. "Handicapping Magic" Michael Pizzola. The best advice in the book--for me--is always use the last race for the pace figure, unless you shouldn't. He lists some reasons why the last race may not be used. And for his turf pace line advice. General handicapping books with excellent advice are, "Betting Thorougbreds", "Kinky Handicapping" and "Six Secrets" The worthless crap books I've read ( about 15) I gave away to charity. I hope my competitors at the track found them, read them, and bet their advice. |
If anyone is looking to go book shopping, Border's has a 40% off coupon on their website through Monday and you can get free shipping if you send the book to your closest Borders store instead of your home:
http://www.borders.com/online/store/Home |
'Tarnished Crown' by Carol Flake is a pretty nice read dealing with the story of Chief's Crown.
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for those who like fiction revolving around horse racing (this may be obvious to most) anything by William Murray is great
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Kinda like finding the best porn on the web?? |
Yeah - but together ... you can kill two birds with one stone.
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read that about a year ago, i also thought it was must read (not for ANY handicapping angles, just a good story about racing) -bt- |
"Betting On Myself" by Steven Crist is a great read if you're looking for a good story on racing.
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Lord of Misrule
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wow only 13 months between posts on this thread, I think that book was suggested and reviewed by Beyer in the DRF last week
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http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=39630
Nobody seems very interested. . . I've heard it's a very tough read. I just read "Headless Horsemen" . . . lots of issues with it, but definitely worth a look for those interested in a decent discussion of the current issues in breeding/racing. |
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Paul |
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