I was leaning more towards the 7 as well. I assume the M/L was there since it took him so long to break his maiden and this is his first Vs. winners.
I think they'll be too much pace for Del Conte or Rainbow Goose to be win candidates, although I'm going to cover both in a save pick 4 ticket.

Right now, I'm leaning towards the 3, Tiger Ridge as my top choice.
They obviously thought a lot of him entering in the Norfolk off his maiden win in which he beat both Chocolate candy and Orthodox. If he takes the the turf, I think he's got a decent chance with the way the race may play out.

Brushburn has the obvious turf pedigree, but may be a little overmatched off the long layoff.
My top 3 in order:
3 - tiger Ridge
7 - Meteore
9 - Santamonicacanyon

How do you think they finish if the 2 doesn't miss the break?

The way he rated, I suspect they weren't going to gun him today. Which means he gets a nice inside trip. When you factor in that he had to make up all that ground, was widest in the stretch, and probably would've still won with a jock that could've kept him straight (as he lugged in very badly), no doubt he wins.

I think the top 2 are closer and maybe the 2 wins, but it's possible that the missed break helped him a bit. If they ever get him to run straight he might be an ok one.