miraja2 |
08-14-2008 09:50 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I hope you didn't watch the head on.....as she had a far more eventful trip than that.
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Again, I'm not trying to dispute that she had a tough trip. I realize that in addition to the trouble she had at the start and in the opening strides, she also appeared to get cut off down the lane, and had to angle out while still gaining ground.
I see all of those things as reasons why she might be a good bet next out. The part that puzzled me a bit was why you and hooves both believed you could say that she will easily prove better than the winner.
I realize that Mani Bhavan had an ideal trip in this race while Pretty Prolific had a bad one, and so MB should have been able to win easily....but she actually DID win easily. She ran a lot faster in the opening quarter and the opening half than Out of Gwedda and Shone did in the previous race, and those two fell apart completely to finish off the board. Meanwhile, she pulled away in the stretch.
Pretty Prolific's late angle out and acceleration was no doubt impressive, but the horses like Simplify and Garden District that she passed looked totally spent to me.
I'm not trying to say that you guys are wrong, I'm just wondering what you see that I don't. Does the fact that she had a bad trip really mean she will easily prove to be the best when she was that far behind at the end? Sure, Mani Bhavan isn't actually 7+ lenghts better than Pretty Prolific at this distance, but I don't see how anyone can say much more than that at this point.
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