Good call! I was wrong and gladly now I can get my miles in outside and not on a treadmil. Have a nice day!

The 8th is fascinating, I'm pretty sure the 2,7,9,11 can't win but everybody else is eligible. I like Steve's "most likely" as well, her last two were visually impressive. Seems like she's finally figured it out since moving back to turf.

Big Flirt is scratched in the 7th. . . what a shame, as it doesn't get more high-percentage than a Ward/Mach Uno first timer.

Not so sure the 2 can't win... 2,3,8 on my P4/P3 ticket.

With the perfect trip Quiet Alice could win. Don't think the right jock is on her this time to achieve that, however.

I think the 2 and 11 could both win and the 7 isn't totally hopeless.

Personally, my only 'X' in the race is the 9.. Load up, people.

Took her 12 tries to break her maiden. She ran and hid in her last, but look at how long it took them to get home that day- :38 3/5 from the 3/8ths pole and the rest of them looked like they were towing plows.

FYI- I was at CD that day and while the turf was listed as 'good' they were getting over it fine.

(of the two that won those split divisions that day My Little Dragon, the 7 today was much better)

Slight adjustments post-scratches...

P4 thoughts:


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 2-4-5-7-10
3: 2-5
4: 9
5: 2-6-7-8-9

5x2x1x5 = $50


@$75 P4 Play:

7: 4-6-8-10
8: 1-3-5-8-10
9: 1
10: 2-3-4-5

4x5x1x4 = $80

Jay..

Alice scares the crap out of me there too... It's a terrific race and it seems to be the key to the late action.

My quick take:


1 and 3 are classic bounce candidates and the rail especially hurts the 1
2 definately has a shot from just off
4 no
5 experience going 1 1/4 with a nice figure
classic C. Hill ride forced 7 wide and still only missed by 2.5 last
draws Kent D. - Upset winner
6 Scratched
7 loves 2 turns on the grass, has a pace advantage laying off
8 Very logical off the pace play should be pt fav
9 no
10 wins were soft, both alw wins were with Desormeux in the irons and he chooses the 5 instead
11 solid figs but post dooms her first shot at winners

5/2,7,8 ex box

Can we all agree that the M/L on the 5 is ridiculous and she'll probably end up off at 6-1 or 7-1?

Only at Saratoga could a Asmussen get away at odds like 7.50-1 and win! (I didn't have it.. didn't bet. Just making an observation)