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-   -   7/12 (BEL): Man O' War (Gr. I) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23861)

Thunder Gulch 07-11-2008 03:06 PM

Not necessarily win, but certainly must look like one of the best.

ddthetide 07-11-2008 03:54 PM

the Man O'War is listed for ESPNNews at 5:15 tomorrow.

azerica 07-11-2008 06:35 PM

I just checked the dish guide and it does not list any races tomorrow.

sumitas 07-11-2008 06:58 PM

A very interesting article on dirt to turf super stars here.
http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/hor...emy&id=3479881

robfla 07-11-2008 07:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by azerica
I just checked the dish guide and it does not list any races tomorrow.


not listed but on ESPN News

Bigsmc 07-11-2008 07:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by azerica
I just checked the dish guide and it does not list any races tomorrow.

http://www.ntra.com/races.aspx?id=30195&section=races

Scurlogue Champ 07-11-2008 08:14 PM

If he doesn't go to the front, get the lead with some sensible fractions, and fight them off at the end, there is no way he wins.

Sudan will wire this field.

When Better Talk Now and co. start running, Curlin won't know what to do.

Has to go to the front...

pgardn 07-11-2008 08:14 PM

Is this not a great thing for racing? A really good dirt horse
who has proven himself trying another surface. Personally
I this experiment as terribly exciting. I really cant wait
to see how he performs.

hockey2315 07-11-2008 08:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scurlogue Champ
If he doesn't go to the front, get the lead with some sensible fractions, and fight them off at the end, there is no way he wins.

Sudan will wire this field.

When Better Talk Now and co. start running, Curlin won't know what to do.

Has to go to the front...

WTF are you talking about? For the record - I'm not handing Curlin the win - and I'll play against him - but this makes no sense. Sudan isn't wiring the field for two reasons: 1. he sucks and 2. Mission Approved. He won't get the easy lead he got at Golden Gate and Mission Approved won't get the easy lead he got at Woodbine - so neither of them can capitalize on a pace advantage to make up for a significant talent disadvantage. Better Talk Now is obviously over the hill (even though he'll be the one I'll bet because his last was ok) and Red Rocks appears to be as well but still has a shot. Grand Couturier needs :46 and 1:11 to win and won't get that and the Darley horse is slow and has never run a competitive race. If Curlin takes to the turf - which isn't definite - it would take a throw-back effort by one of the two BC winners for him to not win by daylight. Whether or not he wins will have little to nothing to do with how the race is run barring some unforeseen anomaly.

Mike 07-11-2008 08:30 PM

I'm looking forward to this race more than any race I can remember in my 10+ years of seriously following horse racing

I can't go against Curlin...so I'll throw him in a 3 horse tri-box with Red Rocks and Sudan

sumitas 07-11-2008 08:41 PM

Lava Man, as pointed out in the article, is the only horse since Vanlandingham in 1985, to win Grade 1s on dirt and turf. This is a huge race. The biggest since the Kentucky Derby (well, maybe tied with the Belmont S.).

sumitas 07-11-2008 08:49 PM

The tv networks just blew their opportunity on tomorrow's historic races. Unreal.

miraja2 07-11-2008 08:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgardn
Is this not a great thing for racing? A really good dirt horse
who has proven himself trying another surface. Personally
I this is experiment is terribly exciting. I really cant wait
to see how he performs.

I don't think anybody disagrees with that.

pgardn 07-11-2008 08:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
I don't think anybody disagrees with that.

Therefore I am pumped.

No scenarios necessary. I just want to see how he runs.

Oaklawnfan 07-11-2008 09:02 PM

:tro: He's the best damn thing we've seen in a long while. While I'd like to bet against him. I can't.

Scurlogue Champ 07-11-2008 09:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
WTF are you talking about? For the record - I'm not handing Curlin the win - and I'll play against him - but this makes no sense. Sudan isn't wiring the field for two reasons: 1. he sucks and 2. Mission Approved. He won't get the easy lead he got at Golden Gate and Mission Approved won't get the easy lead he got at Woodbine - so neither of them can capitalize on a pace advantage to make up for a significant talent disadvantage. Better Talk Now is obviously over the hill (even though he'll be the one I'll bet because his last was ok) and Red Rocks appears to be as well but still has a shot. Grand Couturier needs :46 and 1:11 to win and won't get that and the Darley horse is slow and has never run a competitive race. If Curlin takes to the turf - which isn't definite - it would take a throw-back effort by one of the two BC winners for him to not win by daylight. Whether or not he wins will have little to nothing to do with how the race is run barring some unforeseen anomaly.

I'll bet you 20 bucks Sudan wins.

PM me

hockey2315 07-11-2008 09:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scurlogue Champ
I'll bet you 20 bucks Sudan wins.

PM me

Why would I want to risk what? $300 to win $20? No thanks. . .

Bobby Fischer 07-11-2008 10:32 PM

The fan in me surely wants Curlin to win.

This whole race is kind of confusing me, because the Man O' War seems like a september prep race for the Breeders Cup, not a July "1st serious race of turf campaign" race...

The horseplayer in me thinks that 3/5 on Curlin is all for the fans. He has the feel of a 4-1 shot, but surely he will go off around even money or so.

Grand Couturier did way better than expected off of hibernation last out. He really looked like he wanted the extra furlong, and he gets the monkey off his back and goes with Borel again. This may be one of the purest turf horses in the game right now. Everybody seems to think that GC is a sluggish horse that needs suicidal fractions... guess we will get some indication today....

largo1 07-12-2008 12:53 AM

Better Talk Now is running without his rabbit? Any ideas why?

FGFan 07-12-2008 01:09 AM

He's been running without the rabbit for a bit now, or at least at THE Fairgrounds. I really like him, old school for him, some at THE Fairgrounds made fun of his old style cut in the paddock this year, I said he's an old style boy. He looked great at THE Fairgrounds. And ran a nice race last out but had to check hard.

Anyway as far as Curlin, I just think this is very fun and exciting, win, place or last I don't care, it's something different and exciting. If I was anywhere near Belmont I'd be there in a "NY heartbeat". I looked into flights but it was outrageous, I am green with envy. To those going enjoy, it's a special day.


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