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jcs11204 06-23-2008 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
What makes you think the Gomez firster is a stand-out?

i did not say standout ? dam is attack joe day ?

go to the drf pp's and look at the trainer stats with 2 yr olds and firsters.
that is the main reasson i will be using him



who do you like ?

hockey2315 06-23-2008 06:47 PM

You're only using two horses so obviously you think he's a standout. The Gomez horse has a really unimpressive pedigree (although Catienus is ok) and she'll be overbet because it's Asmussen. The 2 would be no surprise, the 3 doesn't have the best trainer for FTS but she's got the pedigree for this and a pretty steady work pattern, the 6 isn't impossible, the 8's a total mystery, the 9 could improve, and obviously the 10 is the one to beat. Just seems like if you're not going to single the 10, using only the 1 is kind of arbitrary.

jcs11204 06-23-2008 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
You're only using two horses so obviously you think he's a standout. The Gomez horse has a really unimpressive pedigree (although Catienus is ok) and she'll be overbet because it's Asmussen. The 2 would be no surprise, the 3 doesn't have the best trainer for FTS but she's got the pedigree for this and a pretty steady work pattern, the 6 isn't impossible, the 8's a total mystery, the 9 could improve, and obviously the 10 is the one to beat. Just seems like if you're not going to single the 10, using only the 1 is kind of arbitrary.

no i dont think he's a standout i think the 10 is, but i will use gomez, because of how good assmussen is, make sense ?

hockey2315 06-23-2008 07:21 PM

not really. . .

jcs11204 06-23-2008 07:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
not really. . .

ok.. let me try to explain then you tell me if i am wrong...
the 10 ran huge first out, i normally wont be horses like that, big leads and quit, but he is a 2 yr old and should improve, and dutrow is big time second time out... so i think he is the standout, i think if he were to stumble the 1 is the next most likely winner...

so are you saying i should toss the 1 and single the 10 ?

hockey2315 06-23-2008 07:38 PM

No - either single the 10 or go more than 2 wide. . . There are six firsters in the race and 4 other lightly-raced horses and you're banking on being right about which one can run off of limited info and without getting any value.

hockey2315 06-23-2008 07:44 PM

Not the best post for a first timer either. . .


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