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jcs11204 06-10-2008 12:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
That's probably a result of bad or unlucky handicapping. Books like 'Exotic Betting' will give you the strategy, but they're not going to pick the horses for you.

It might help if you actually told us what you wanted to learn.

i dont really even know. i mainly play pick 3 and 4... once in a while i will throw in a exacta or win/place bet... but when i got to otb, or the track the gameplan is pick 3 and 4...
i dont know what i want to learn to be honest, i find my tickets normally looking like this....4-3-2
or 3-3-3-1, i always seem to catch early, be live to a nice payout and i can never close, cause im never deep in the back end ?

jcs11204 06-10-2008 12:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
There is no book about betting strategy that, at this time, is going to help you at all. As you are currently, you can't be helped by anyone other than yourself. Once the entries for a race are even mentioned you have narrowed the race down to one or two horses. You are so phucked up with preconceptions that even if you are a capable handicapper you won't be able to see through the murk to make rational decisions.

You actually seem like a well meaning person, and I'm honestly being nice here, but until you even give yourself a chance to win you will continue to lose day after day. This is not to say that you will ever be able to win, but that's OK because you love the game and will get great enjoyment from playing, but you will learn to love playing even more when you clear your head and look at all the horses racing.

your right, i see horses who ran huge, or maybe that i have cashed on, or anything by giants causeway, and i use them... teach me to break this horrible habit, please
i think im addicted to giants causeway's i scan pp's everynight of tracks looking for anything by him, is that a problem ?

mes5107 06-10-2008 12:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
cause im never deep in the back end

That's not what I heard....

hoovesupsideyourhead 06-10-2008 12:14 PM

:zz: :rolleyes: try re reading crist book..look up some beyer stuff some davidowitz....

jcs11204 06-10-2008 12:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
:zz: :rolleyes: try re reading crist book..look up some beyer stuff some davidowitz....

i am going to re read it, starting that tonight when i get out of work

hockey2315 06-10-2008 12:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
your right, i see horses who ran huge, or maybe that i have cashed on, or anything by giants causeway, and i use them... teach me to break this horrible habit, please
i think im addicted to giants causeway's i scan pp's everynight of tracks looking for anything by him, is that a problem ?

wow

ateamstupid 06-10-2008 12:21 PM

It could be that you're forcing yourself to go skinny towards the end of tickets. When putting together a pick four, sometimes it's tempting (especially for procrastinators) to go wide in the first few legs, while thinking "I'll just single later." A lot of times, that means you have to single a horse that shouldn't really be a single simply because you want to make the ticket affordable.

This is probably because you're glossing over the first few legs. Go back and see if you can narrow down in the early legs. Then reanalyze your single or skinny leg and see if you're forcing yourself to single a horse you don't love. If you do these things and come to the conclusion that there's no way you'll feel comfortable going one- or two-wide in any leg, PASS ON THE SEQUENCE. There will be plenty of other pick threes and fours to play, and choosing the right sequence will save and make you money.

jcs11204 06-10-2008 12:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
wow

what ?
it is true, i normally look at cali main track ny main... kentucky and florida

jcs11204 06-10-2008 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
It could be that you're forcing yourself to go skinny towards the end of tickets. When putting together a pick four, sometimes it's tempting (especially for procrastinators) to go wide in the first few legs, while thinking "I'll just single later." A lot of times, that means you have to single a horse that shouldn't really be a single simply because you want to make the ticket affordable.

This is probably because you're glossing over the first few legs. Go back and see if you can narrow down in the early legs. Then reanalyze your single or skinny leg and see if you're forcing yourself to single a horse you don't love. If you do these things and come to the conclusion that there's no way you'll feel comfortable going one- or two-wide in any leg, PASS ON THE SEQUENCE. There will be plenty of other pick threes and fours to play, and choosing the right sequence will save and make you money.

i do force myself all the time, i never want to get knocked out early.

ateamstupid 06-10-2008 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
i do force myself all the time, i never want to get knocked out early.

If that's the case, then you're looking for action, not trying to make money.

hockey2315 06-10-2008 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
what ?
it is true, i normally look at cali main track ny main... kentucky and florida

i believe you - it's just strange. . .

jcs11204 06-10-2008 12:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
If that's the case, then you're looking for action, not trying to make money.

i dont know ?

slotdirt 06-10-2008 12:44 PM

You would have found a nice little exacta in the 4th on Belmont day if you had used the Giant's Causeway underneath the favorite...

hockey2315 06-10-2008 12:44 PM

BET YOUR OPINION - leave your emotions and fear of losing out of it.

ateamstupid 06-10-2008 12:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
i dont know ?

You are. Read what you said again. "I never want to get knocked out early." Getting knocked out early and getting knocked out late is exactly the same if your primary goal is to make a profit.

jcs11204 06-10-2008 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt
You would have found a nice little exacta in the 4th on Belmont day if you had used the Giant's Causeway underneath the favorite...

i had the giants causeway on top.. at 11-1 and used him 3 deep in pick 3's along with jeremy rose horse, and garcias horse

MaTH716 06-10-2008 12:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
If that's the case, then you're looking for action, not trying to make money.

Good Point!
When you go to OTB, do you handicap before you get there or do you do it on the fly? Also are you betting every race going off?

jcs11204 06-10-2008 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716
Good Point!
When you go to OTB, do you handicap before you get there or do you do it on the fly? Also are you betting every race going off?

i do it before, i have the drf.com thing unlimited basic pp's for any track all year

hockey2315 06-10-2008 12:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
i do it before, i have the drf.com thing unlimited basic pp's for any track all year

impressive. . . that's like 800 bucks

jcs11204 06-10-2008 01:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
impressive. . . that's like 800 bucks

im going to do something for you
cause i like you
i am pm you soon


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