agree with others that Ghostzapper is the only one who will be a very good sire. . .

jcs, only about one in 10 horses make it as a sire. odds are not in first samurais favor. and yeah, he's at claiborne, and they'll do their best to make him. but don't forget that monarchos, second fastest derby winner ever, also stood there. he's not there anymore.
as for the giant, he's getting racehorses, but that doesn't necessarily translate into being a sire of sires. it wasn't that long ago that they were asking why storm cat wasn't proving to be a sire of sires.

I am totally subjective on Smarty Jones. My heart is hoping he is a great sire. I believe he was a very fast horse and I believe his offspring will be great as well. Will see

Having a heart in this game isnt a very good idea

It's ok I am prepared to lose

i just got off the phone with lauren stitch and pedigree ann. so don't take what i say lightly. i have gravitas now.

that's right. check out the big swinging gravitas.

hypnotic, isn't it?

having considered all aspects this is my conclusion:

smarty jones retired to stud in august 2004. ghostzapper in june 2005. afleet alex in december 2005. first sam in july 2006.

i'll take the free square and book the first sam bets.

Smarty and Ghostzapper both saw some quality mares, so it wouldn't be that shocking if one of them gets a horse into the Kentucky Derby within a couple of years. They could certainly achieve this feat WITHOUT being great - or even very good - sires.
So my question is....and I don't mean it to be rude, I'm actually curious....why exactly would anyone care about trying to answer this particular question?

very true. our emblem anyone?

My take, in order: Ghostzapper, Alex, First Samurai, Smarty.

I dont see greatness in his future but who knows.

I think EmpireMaker, Vindication, Mineshaft, Medaglia D'oro will strike before then ones you mentioned. imo.

and Bernardini ......