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-   -   2008 Kentucky Derby predictions (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=22100)

ateamstupid 05-02-2008 01:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ShadowRoll
Okay, I know there's been a smattering of picks posted in different threads, but for the sake of centralization, post your predictions here.

If I had to pick, in order, the top four finishers:

1 -- Smooth Air
2 -- Z Fortune
3 -- Cool Coal Man
4 -- Colonel John

Towards the bottom, will also use Big Brown, Eight Belles, Pyro and Denis of Cork.

ShadowRoll, you have the EXACT same eight horses I'm going to be using, albeit in different order. Bad news for us, eh?

somerfrost 05-02-2008 01:50 AM

Subject to change:
Tale of Ekati
Colonel John
Z Humor
Gayego

westcoastinvader 05-02-2008 01:58 AM

I toss off my normal handicapping goggles when it comes to a twenty horse Kentucky Derby, as I'm sure many of us do.

I haven't made final selections or combos yet, but I am focusing on the fact that both Zito and Mott each have two horses coming from the inside to mid-pack out of the gate.

ShadowRoll 05-02-2008 04:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
ShadowRoll, you have the EXACT same eight horses I'm going to be using, albeit in different order. Bad news for us, eh?

ateam, if history holds, there'll be like $80 million gambled on this race. I think that's enough for you and me. Too bad for the rest of these folks, though.

fpsoxfan 05-02-2008 06:05 AM

I don't think I've ever been so unsure leading up to a Derby, but this is who I like approx. 36 hours out.

Big Brown- Not one to bet favorites, but right now I'm not sure anyone can
beat this one

Denis of Cork- Not sure if he can handle the distance, but he's working great

Monba- Forgive the FOY, this one is could run a big one.

Pyro- This one could end up being my top choice by tomorrow

Court Vision- Only recently has entered my radar screen.

******This is all subject to change because I'm a mess as to how I'm going
to bet this race.

ddthetide 05-02-2008 06:10 AM

in no order eight belles, pyro, smooth air and either visionaire or z futune. ex & tri boxed. if it rains i'll probably change it all.:o

ArlJim78 05-02-2008 06:16 AM

still tossing things around and will try to come up with some plays today.
my focus has been on finding keys for exotics. the following are horse i'm considering for all placings;

Gayego
Eight Belles
Monba
Recapturetheglory
ZFortune

zippyneedsawin 05-02-2008 06:16 AM

1.Big Brown
2.Pyro
3.Court Vision
4.Col. John

Buffymommy 05-02-2008 06:19 AM

F-ing Calder is trying to black out all simulcast betting down here in So. FL meaning if you don't go to Calder, you can't bet... See if I EVER attend a race at Calder again if that happens. That is absolutely ridiculous!!!

IF we can bet..

My top four are:

1. Bob Black Jack
2. Visionaire
3. Cool Coal Man
4. Smooth Air (yes, even though I am mad at Calder, I do like this horse.)


Hubby is more fave orientied with a couple of long shots:

1. Colonel John
2. Pyro
3. Big Truck(who I do like. I think his last race was a throw out as his TB Derby was a big race for him. He is rested now and ready to go)
4. Court Vision

XIIPointStables 05-02-2008 06:39 AM

1. Colonel John
2. Court Vision
3. Pyro
4. Z Fortune

Pedigree Ann 05-02-2008 07:32 AM

I've been on the Colonel John side for a while, mostly on pedigree grounds. I can't get my mind around a Derby winner by Gilded Times or Boundary or Grand Slam or some of these other stallions, especially when the damside support is skimpy. I feel safe with Colonel John (Tiznow over Turkoman, third dam placed in the CCA Oaks).

kgar311 05-02-2008 07:37 AM

1. Pyro
2. Z Fortune
3. Big Brown
4. Colonel John
5. Bob Black Jack

Saver: Big Truck

johnny pinwheel 05-02-2008 07:43 AM

1. pyro 2. z fortune 3 colonel john 4 gayego

Antitrust32 05-02-2008 08:02 AM

1) DoC
2) BB
3) CJ
4) CV

Coach Pants 05-02-2008 08:13 AM

1 Tale of Ekati
2 Cool Coal Man
3 Big Brown
4 Pyro/Colonel John

20. Denis of Cork


I could be wrong on my top picks, but that plug Denis of Cork will not crack the top 10. I'm amazed at how many people on here are picking this horse and NOT picking Big Brown. He had one more race and he's only posted one decent Beyer off of a god damn dream trip. Not to mention his trainer is nothing more than a glorified groom.

Good luck wasting your money on him.

pmayjr 05-02-2008 08:13 AM

1) Monba
2) Pyro
3) Court Vision

pmayjr 05-02-2008 08:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
I don't think I've ever been so unsure leading up to a Derby, but this is who I like approx. 36 hours out.

Big Brown- Not one to bet favorites, but right now I'm not sure anyone can
beat this one

Denis of Cork- Not sure if he can handle the distance, but he's working great

Monba- Forgive the FOY, this one is could run a big one.

Pyro- This one could end up being my top choice by tomorrow

Court Vision- Only recently has entered my radar screen.

******This is all subject to change because I'm a mess as to how I'm going
to bet this race.


Looks like we're almost on the same page, hopefully we both get paid tomorrow. But I'm warning you now, I've never cashed a bet on the derby. So I almsot got a curse-factor as big as Hammerin Hank

fpsoxfan 05-02-2008 08:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pmayjr
Looks like we're almost on the same page, hopefully we both get paid tomorrow. But I'm warning you now, I've never cashed a bet on the derby. So I almsot got a curse-factor as big as Hammerin Hank

Yeah, I know what you're saying. Despite Dahoss's effort to steer me away from him, I was the same guy who was touting Circular Quay last year. I wished I had listened to him and .

philcski 05-02-2008 08:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
ShadowRoll, you have the EXACT same eight horses I'm going to be using, albeit in different order. Bad news for us, eh?

Bad news for all three of us then... I'm using the EXACT same 8 as well.

Big Brown
Z Fortune
Smooth Air
Colonel John
Eight Belles
Cool Coal Man

are my top 6, and protecting with Pyro and Denis of Cork.

fpsoxfan 05-02-2008 08:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
1 Tale of Ekati
2 Cool Coal Man
3 Big Brown
4 Pyro/Colonel John

20. Denis of Cork


I could be wrong on my top picks, but that plug Denis of Cork will not the top 10. I'm amazed at how many people on here are picking this horse and NOT picking Big Brown. He had one more race and he's only posted one decent Beyer off of a god damn dream trip. Not to mention his trainer is nothing more than a glorified groom.

Good luck wasting your money on him.


You may be right about Cork. Like I said, by tomorrow I may not like him.
I really do think he flattens a bit after a mile, but he's working so well.


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