My guess is Fog goes off at around 7/5, that is if the field stays in tact.
Dont underestimate Pletcher's horse Friendly Island. That horse can flat out sizzle and I have seen him do some wonderful things.

Well if there are no scratches and he does go off at 7/5, I would not play him. I think enough people MIGHT try to beat him that he might go off at around 2/1 or maybe even 5/2. At those odds I would play him, but not at 7/5.

If handicapping in advance you may want to consider capping a wet track. It's rained here nearly every day (for a large % of the day) for the past 2 weeks (and don't believe relief is in site for the next 48 hours. It does dry out fast here and thus might not take much to make it a fast track if we get luck on Saturday. At a minimum the turf sprints will be yielding at best if not off the turf (which may make for the value in multi race bets).

That could change things significantly. Foggy has not been on a wet track since he broke his maiden in November of '04. He won by 7.5 over a field of 8 going 5 furlongs that day, but it is difficult to know if he actually likes the wet stuff or was just SOOOO much classier than those that it didn't matter.

Didn't read it 'til now.

I tend to agree. Second off teh Dubai trip and had a tough one last time out at Pimlico, steadied twice according to the chart, and will do his running off the pace. Me thinks hes sitting on a big one!