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-   -   Keeneland races 311/07 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11854)

whodey17 04-11-2007 02:19 PM

Man Julian is just unreal.

whodey17 04-11-2007 02:43 PM

How can I not use Julian in this race. I believe he is 6-1 right now. I also like a little longshot in the 11.

My wager is
$1 trifecta box (going to do two $1 tri box).

2-3-8-9-11

$120 wager

whodey17 04-11-2007 02:48 PM

Good job by the 3 horse. Good ride. The 3 and 1 were last and 2nd to last and got up for 1st and 2nd.

TitanSooner 04-11-2007 03:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by whodey17
How can I not use Julian in this race. I believe he is 6-1 right now. I also like a little longshot in the 11.

My wager is
$1 trifecta box (going to do two $1 tri box).

2-3-8-9-11

$120 wager

$60 wager

whodey17 04-11-2007 03:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TitanSooner
$60 wager

For $1 but I had it twice to avoid the taxes.

whodey17 04-11-2007 03:08 PM

Race 7

$20 exacta box

7-8-9

TitanSooner 04-11-2007 03:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by whodey17
For $1 but I had it twice to avoid the taxes.

I always thought that was the dumbest rule.. $600 for both $1 and $2 dollars..

whodey17 04-11-2007 03:19 PM

Nice job by Calvin and Pitts. Great turn of foot, great burst. Good job

whodey17 04-11-2007 03:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TitanSooner
I always thought that was the dumbest rule.. $600 for both $1 and $2 dollars..

i have to agree. I think it is even dumber to have $599 non-taxed but everything is taxed if it is over $600. But there is not much we can do about it. Heck, you are winning and wagering money that already has been taxed.

whodey17 04-11-2007 03:44 PM

Got to love the Vinery Madison. What a decent field and evenly matched race. I wonder if Biacone taught Miss Norman to make a turn. Julian is bet in half and Hot Storm has doubled in price.

$20 exacta box

3-6-7-8

whodey17 04-11-2007 03:49 PM

WOW a wire to wire winner. Got to love that. Good job to the connections and to Edgar for finally bringing home a wire to wire winner.

-BT- 04-11-2007 03:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by banter
I'm intrigued by the 8th race, the G2 Vinery Madison. Who do you folks like in this one?

(btw... Annika Lass has scratched)

Seems to me that this is a wide open affair with at least four runners--Mary Delaney, Ginger Punch, Bright Abundance, and Leahs Secret--having the best chances to take it, and all at decent odds.

I'm tossing Yolanda B Too because, though she's fast enough, her last two races against graded company weren't that competitve and she has never tried a synthetic surface.

I really want to go with Bright Abundance--she's quick, she's the class of the field, she loves to win coming off a freshening, and she's been routing so she has a lot of bottom to her--but she's been strictly a turf runner up 'til now. Apparently Clemente believes a connection exists between success on the turf and success on Polytrack, but no-one has yet proven it to me. So I've drawn a line through Bright Abundance.

Brisnet says that Leahs Secret lacks the credentials to win the honors today, but I have to disagree. She's a seven furlong specialist, is running third off a layoff, and has won both her prior races at Keeneland. She looks good to me, but I have reservations because her recent form hasn't exactly been sparkling. So I'm drawing a line through her, too.

Ginger Punch is an improving lightly-raced filly who won her last 7f outing at Keeneland. Only once in her career has she failed to hit the board. Plus she has Frankel and Bejarano on her side. So, her chances can't be discounted. But she would have to step up big-time to prove that she can run well in graded company. So, she gets a line from me as far as the win is concerned.

So I've talked myself into going with Mary Delaney if her odds don't drop too much (morning line is 9/2). Her speed figures are competitive, she thrives on synthetic surfaces, she has won going 7f at Keeneland before, and she has been on the lead or within 3 lengths of the leader in her last three outs, indicating that her form is excellent right now. Plus she gets Prado. I'm still very concerned that, if she's sent right to the lead, the track at Keeneland will eat her up. Gate-to-wire speed rarely wins there. Nevertheless, and despite the jump in class she's making today, Mary Delaney is my top choice for the win.

Any differing opinions?

Nice call... :)

I ended up loading up on this horse since im having a sh!tty day, and i agree i liked her a lot better at 7/2 but i'll take a 5/2 winner any day of the week

congrats and welcome aboard

-bt-

whodey17 04-11-2007 03:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by banter
I'm intrigued by the 8th race, the G2 Vinery Madison. Who do you folks like in this one?

(btw... Annika Lass has scratched)

Seems to me that this is a wide open affair with at least four runners--Mary Delaney, Ginger Punch, Bright Abundance, and Leahs Secret--having the best chances to take it, and all at decent odds.

I'm tossing Yolanda B Too because, though she's fast enough, her last two races against graded company weren't that competitve and she has never tried a synthetic surface.

I really want to go with Bright Abundance--she's quick, she's the class of the field, she loves to win coming off a freshening, and she's been routing so she has a lot of bottom to her--but she's been strictly a turf runner up 'til now. Apparently Clemente believes a connection exists between success on the turf and success on Polytrack, but no-one has yet proven it to me. So I've drawn a line through Bright Abundance.

Brisnet says that Leahs Secret lacks the credentials to win the honors today, but I have to disagree. She's a seven furlong specialist, is running third off a layoff, and has won both her prior races at Keeneland. She looks good to me, but I have reservations because her recent form hasn't exactly been sparkling. So I'm drawing a line through her, too.

Ginger Punch is an improving lightly-raced filly who won her last 7f outing at Keeneland. Only once in her career has she failed to hit the board. Plus she has Frankel and Bejarano on her side. So, her chances can't be discounted. But she would have to step up big-time to prove that she can run well in graded company. So, she gets a line from me as far as the win is concerned.

So I've talked myself into going with Mary Delaney if her odds don't drop too much (morning line is 9/2). Her speed figures are competitive, she thrives on synthetic surfaces, she has won going 7f at Keeneland before, and she has been on the lead or within 3 lengths of the leader in her last three outs, indicating that her form is excellent right now. Plus she gets Prado. I'm still very concerned that, if she's sent right to the lead, the track at Keeneland will eat her up. Gate-to-wire speed rarely wins there. Nevertheless, and despite the jump in class she's making today, Mary Delaney is my top choice for the win.

Any differing opinions?

Fantastic call. Way to stick to your thoughts when speed hasnt been doing well. I am very happy for you.

whodey17 04-11-2007 04:11 PM

Last wager of a rough day.

$20 exacta box

1-9-11-12

whodey17 04-11-2007 04:19 PM

Not even close again.

Bad day.

Down $428 for the 3 day period. I need a nice day tomorrow. Night all and have a great evening.

banter 04-12-2007 07:09 AM

Thanks, BT and Whodey. Every now and then I nail one--that's what makes the game fun :)


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