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-   -   Tampa Bay Plays for Saturday (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10906)

POINTGIVEN1985 03-16-2007 10:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lemoncrush
Here's what I came up with for a pick 4.

9) 6-8-9-11
Could get burned here, but I think one of these 4 will win it.
Not buying Court Folly in here, as the 5 furlong turf sprint is definitely a specialized race, and I don't think any back class is going to help him win this one.

10) 2,5,7I don't think Cotton blossom will win here, but can't justify not including her, either. Autobahn girl is in great form and Desire to Excel could be an absolute force in the 3-yo filly ranks this year if she comes back as good as she looked before she got sidelined.

11) 1-5-6
I agree that My Typhoon is the class, but also note she's never ran at Tampa before. Plus, 1-1/8 isn't her favorite distance, and she won't be alone on the front end getting away with soft fractions either as the 8 and 9 will both be right on her tail. She could win this on sheer ability, but I need to include Rich in Spirit and as a longshot, I'll take Masseuse. Trainer is good off the long layoff, and if she's ready, she fits with these.

12) 4
No reason to take anyone else. There's already too many built-in excuses for Street Sense not to win here, and I don't see anyone else in the field being able to handle Any Given Saturday. The Sam Davis win makes him even more of a slam dunk. Anything near the 9/5 morning line will be a gift.

6,8,9,11/2,5,7/1,5,6/4
$36 for $1 (pending scratches)

good luck, i cant single any given saturday for me at this point im using both of them but im definitly considering throwing any given saturday out and keying street sense and in the 11th i think My typhoon is such a standout i mean at this point i cant get off her, its like not being able to fold a bad poker hand, i cant get off how much i love her tommorw if she losses my day will be horrible, im keying her and betting her to win

ArlJim78 03-16-2007 11:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by saucon17
Does any one think Desire To Excel has a chance
in the Fla. Oaks. Hasn't started since Saratoga, but
Breen does pretty well with fresh/layoff horses. Could
be the controlling speed with Calvin at the helm.

Oh yeah, looked at her, she's real interesting.

Long time off but working well. Also noticed in the Schulerville she was the favorite over Cotton Blossom last summer.

Downside is of course the long time off and first time 2 turns, but yeah, I think worth a long look because of the speed she showed last year.

ArlJim78 03-16-2007 11:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
Truer words have never been spoken...GPK is BACK!

AGS has already proven he can win over the surface, albeit over questionable company...I'd still take that over SS off the layoff and the Zito pair, but use them for sure.

umm Rudeboy, all I have to say about your signature is,

What are you an F'N park ranger now?

lemoncrush 03-17-2007 03:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lemoncrush
Yes, I'm using her in my pick 4.
And I'm not a Tampa expert either, but am going to tread lightly and take a shot at the pick 4.
Selections below.

Changing my ticket.
Going 5 deep in the 9th and 11th.
Singling autobahn girl and Any Given Saturday..

Fingers crossed.

POINTGIVEN1985 03-17-2007 03:25 PM

obviously i cought the first 1 in the pick 4, since i went all i guess 5-1 is ok , not the huge number i was looking for but ok start.

POINTGIVEN1985 03-17-2007 04:14 PM

i cannot belive that todd's horse is favored over my typhoon im unloading on her to win, if shes losses im ****ed because shes keyed in my pick 4, but i like her so much its worth the risk, good luck to everyone and lets all hope my typhoon gets it done

jdm 03-17-2007 04:19 PM

she looks reat on the track. not sure set up of race as I don't have a form here, however on looks it's between top 3 with Typhoon looking best.

POINTGIVEN1985 03-17-2007 04:34 PM

not good i just lost a large amount of money, im done for the day... i have a straight exacta later of air commander and grapelli which i put in earlier today, and thats it good luck everyone

GPK 03-17-2007 05:04 PM

WOW...does Borel love the rail or what???

IrishofNDMan 03-17-2007 05:06 PM

very nice finish by both.

POINTGIVEN1985 03-17-2007 05:06 PM

who won ?

POINTGIVEN1985 03-17-2007 05:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IrishofNDMan
very nice finish by both.

totally agree, any given saturday ran huge i have alot more respect for him now, but wow the champ was impressive first off the layoff, trainer said he wouldnt be tight the mile goes in 1:33.4 i was impressed with street sense today

jdm 03-17-2007 05:08 PM

johnny just tanked his ride. Oh well, good race and Saturday proved some gameness. I really wish JV would have tried the rail.

GPK 03-17-2007 05:09 PM

Good to see a guy like Nafzger having continued success..

Perfect trip for Street Sense...but I did like the move he made turning for home. Nice little burst. AGS was of course a little wide the whole race and that surely made the difference in the winning margin. I think they both can move forward off this race.

POINTGIVEN1985 03-17-2007 05:10 PM

well the horse had alot of edges coming in over street sense, race over the track, a prep, ultra hot connections, so i think street sense getting the rail only evens things out

jdm 03-17-2007 05:11 PM

announced track record. how's that for not being on top form, anyone watch the races there today, was track playing fast?

GPK 03-17-2007 05:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jdm
announced track record. how's that for not being on top form, anyone watch the races there today, was track playing fast?


IMO...it is hard to put a ton of stock in track records.

Grits 03-17-2007 05:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Good to see a guy like Nafzger having continued success..

Me too, Kev, a fine horseman, I'm very pleased to see his colt come back on top. Fantastic race.

GPK 03-17-2007 05:22 PM

I could be mistaken, but it appeared to me a bit early in the race that Street might be spinning his wheels a bit over the quirky surface...but after the middle move and stretch run...I think he took to it fine.

ArlJim78 03-17-2007 05:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
I could be mistaken, but it appeared to me a bit early in the race that Street might be spinning his wheels a bit over the quirky surface...but after the middle move and stretch run...I think he took to it fine.

kev,
How do horses normally fare coming up the rail in the stretch at TBD?
Does it help, hurt, or doesn't matter.


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