Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   Scav's Only Play of the Weekend (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10652)

lemoncrush 03-09-2007 02:27 PM

I keep changing my mind on the Fairgrounds sequence.
In the Turf, Sweet Return hasn't hit the board in back-to-back starts in well over 2 years. Einstein might be compromised by his post, and I don't know what to think about the Pletcher horse on the rail.
Naissace Royal might be a toss since she's facing the boys, but Gomez aboard makes her more interesting.
You would think the Drysdale gelding MacDuff isn't live here, as Gomez would have taken the mount if he was. King's Drama looks very tough, too.

In the Oaks, Octaive is going to have to prove me wrong, as I haven't been impressed with her yet. I'll take Zophie and Bertie in this one.

In the Derby, I'm taking CQ and Zanjero. I think the pace might be quicker than anticipated, and the long stretch can only help.

Scav 03-09-2007 02:38 PM

Scuds, watch the race again and see what JV was doing, he was calmly moving him outside to make a huge run, he had a ton of horse IMO

AJ, sheetwise, he is 1.5-2 lengths better, I am expecting him to run a flat Zero here, which will win this race, he is going to be sitting 2nd/3rd into a soft pace and will get first run. In no way do I disagree with you regarding turf racing and I don't necessarily think KD will win by 2 lengths, but I do think he will win easily.

BTW, gotta keep it clean, ladies will be around tomorrow night with the Spring Break type party breaks out at the bar, essentially planning for my acceptance speech of greatest gambler of all time.

I have always caught myself forcing something that isn't there, trying to beat nut horses that I convince myself aren't the nuts. I have a strong opinion in CQ winning THIS RACE, not sure what he will turn out to be, but this specific race, with the way that Pletcher is going right now, I don't see how FROM A FINANCIAL end you could invest $12-$20 per $1 ticket into this race. If I had to rank the legs of the sequence from most confident to less confident, I am most confident in the 8th race, then the 7th, then the 9th. I just can't financially put $12 into a ticket that is going to pay $36 per $1, I would rather be risky and play the $4-$6 ticket multiple times.

ArlJim78 03-09-2007 02:45 PM

I can't decide which will come first for you scav's, the sitcom or the movie.

gotta be one or the other, there's good material in there.:)

Coach Pants 03-09-2007 02:53 PM

Hey if Scat Daddy can win the FOY...


Good Luck

SCUDSBROTHER 03-09-2007 03:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
Hey if Scat Daddy can win the FOY...


Good Luck

This is true.The Cherry Flavored Dots this barn has been giving their horses are simply popping .So tart,crisp,and refreshing.I don't have a problem with somebody wanting to play C.Q....I just don't think he was gunna win his last race from where he was.His last 16th of a mile in these 2 turn races have not supported this,and the track doesn't support this move in the stretch.Horses seem to get pretty damn brave when leading in the stretch there.The way to win this race (with C.Q.) IS NOT TO WAIT FOR A STRETCH MOVE(LIKE IN HIS LAST FEW RACES.)Gotta use a move on the backstretch,and try to hold on(with that track it wouldn't surprise me.)

SCUDSBROTHER 03-09-2007 04:07 PM

[quote=merasmag]
Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
This is true.The Cherry Flavored Dots this barn has been giving their horses are simply popping .So tart,crisp,and refreshing.I don't have a problem with somebody wanting to play C.Q...


lol, u are mellowing dog-man

scavs...grl ...i love kings drama and i bet u get better odds on him than u think u will, but on his last out hendrix was 3rd to kd and railroad and i think he'll be itm too
appealing zophie will not lose
i want liquidity to win but it'll probably be cq

Tell me the truth(if you can remember.)Were you ever in Chicago Special Ed. Classes?

deltagulf 03-09-2007 06:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
If you win I will lose.

I am pitching King's Drama. I just don't really like him. Hendrix may well have beaten him last time if he had a clean trip. Einstein may be the best horse in the race, and while two weeks is fast, he is still very dangerous. With the relative lack of pace he should get good position. I will also use Sweet Return and Hendrix and possibly Naissance Royale though she is more likely to suck up for second or third.

Circular Quay? He can win but I will certainly use the second and third finishers from the Risen Star. Zanjero moved too soon and gets a good rider switch. Plus, while I don't think much of him, doesn't it concern you that Soaring By could be loose? It's not like he's exactly facing proven tigers here.

On another note....who does the FG morning line? It is positively hilariously bad. My personal favorites? Patriot Act at 5-1 and ( the best ) Cloudy's Knight at 5-1 ( with Naissance Royale at 12-1 ).

the oddsmakers name is mike diliberto he has been there if i remember right at least the last 10 years.

Scav 03-10-2007 06:53 PM

How fitting huh? I am never touting another ticket. I couldn't even get a FULL RACE out of the friggin ticket

randallscott35 03-10-2007 06:55 PM

[quote=SCUDSBROTHER]
Quote:

Originally Posted by merasmag

Tell me the truth(if you can remember.)Were you ever in Chicago Special Ed. Classes?

Funny, but harsh.

hoovesupsideyourhead 03-10-2007 06:55 PM

it happens alot to all of us..no worries mon:D

SCUDSBROTHER 03-14-2007 08:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by merasmag
lol...pretty sure i did better than dogman randall....he's just jealous:D (ps, for those that don't know, scuds is the name of that bitches dog....says he's his bro but i think he's his sister:eek: )

I have explained the name "Scudsbrother" many times.Each time I did it(and yes,you were present....like flies on waste,) you couldn't quite fully comprehend it. The farthest you got was "dog" and "Scuds." After that your brain quit on you,and you went hunting for a bottle,or a bar.That's why I asked if you were in Special Ed. classes(because you don't retain information well...you retain bits n' pieces......and we have to put the pieces together somehow.)


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:29 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.