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I bet they'll put a little faster horse in front of her next time. No? |
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yea, it does amaze me sometimes when they match these horses up in works. I think Pletchers the only one these days who matches up stakes horses with stakes horses.
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It's hard to blame the guy in front for going 51 flat in a morning workout - when he's on top of a horse who went 50 in his last race and faded. |
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Was this work between races or in the morning? |
So what your saying is that if Dom had yelled at Brian to pick it up some, it's most likely he would not have had enough horse to do so...lol...
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Do you really learn anything though? From a betting standpoint ... I think viewing the work was a 100% waste of time. It told me nothing ... other than that RA seems quite a bit superior to some crow 3yo. |
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I do think she may "get someting out of it" but................ she has put on at least a hundred pounds since last seen and she has short written all over her with only a Assmussen Monday half before competition.
The disturbing items during that work are notable ( notwithstanding the work 2/12/10 when even nickle claimers did not work because of the surface) with the position of her head at certain points indicating a lack of fitness. Being rank early is OK, but Dominic badly lost his balance early in the work then took a bigger hold. As soon as she caught the punching bag she tossed her head and he had to grab some serious left hand rein. Approaching the wire is interesting; is she lugging in; fitness........... OR .........is he asking her by intentionally moving to the rail?? The down sticks after the wire; are clearly a sign that she is short. |
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Totally agree. The question is is she fit enough to win after the break, and at least at this point the answer is no...pending. How often have you had a short horse win?
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And I have had a few horses over the years that I thought were a little short off of a layoff win. |
Were they under class or did you misjudge their level of fitness?
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Rachel shouldn't be dead fit 4 weeks awayfrom her first start since 9/09..If she was then her trainer would be a moron and he has won way too many races to be considered that..
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Could not agree more and appreciate your prompt, knowledgably responses. Nevertheless, betting against her makes big time sense, at least on the surface. She is probably fifty-fifty to win at best, although the weights are in her favor. What do you make of the figure eight, as i have heard its new.
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There wont be many cases to be made to bet on her, no? |
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