He was having physical problems and didn't take to the track.

OK ... in other words ... he lost.

Am I missing something here?

Did Calder's racing strip change so much in one year that he went from liking it to disliking it? I really don't see the relevance.

Why is it that he "didnt take to the track" in races on tracks that he had already raced and won at?

I heard the track excuses when he lost in his combacker. How do you not like your home track???????

His career best beyer was at calder. Lost there now.

Second best beyer was at belmont. Lost there now.

So, if he goes to Saratoga and loses again there, will he not like the track?

Why hasnt he run a single race in So Cal? We are going on his third season in training and races at 8 or so different tracks but still not a race in So cal. Why is that? Could it be because the early pace scenarios in So Cal sprints are generally greater than anything you will see in the east? Wouldnt that support what Arljim is saying?


Why cant you look at facts...facts provided here in this thread? Why are you looking for these intangibles?

Are you that desperate for a hero?

Well I have seen this question and here are my thoughts;
1) It's a complicated and challenging question. Of course it very well may be different answers in each case. If you can narrow it down and give one or two I might give it a crack. I don't think anyone is ignoring the question, it's just that it is so open ended that it would require a lot of work in order to make a dilligent response. Who has the time to review the entire card that day?

2) By asking this question over and over, are you implying that there is some overriding obvious explanation that we should be aware of without even studying each horse and race on a case by case basis.

3) Whatever the reasons are for other top contenders not winning at Calder on Saturday, how is that relevant to the very narrow discussion we are having about LITF? Let's say that another top contender on the card did not win due to the very same reasons being ascribed to LITF, didn't fire, wasn't right, etc. That wouldn't imply that this was the same reason for LITF's performance. I believe this is a logical phallacy, one doesn't imply the other.

Maybe I'm misundetstanding the reason for your question.

nevermind I see it's already been answered. I'm too slow and wordy!

LOL...right on.

But since she can't look for herself 4 of 13 favorites won about 30%...sounds on par to me

and 2 finished second, and 1 third.

OK ... Dalakhani ... I think I've finally figured out what they're saying. It's very complex ... so try to follow it closely. Here it is ...

Horses win races when they "take to the track" and "fire" ... and horses lose races when they "don't take to the track" and "don't fire."

It took me quite a while to understand that ... because it's so deep and so profound. Were you able to follow it ... or should I try to explain it further?

And every other horse was not giving 8-13 lbs. Twist it how you want, the horse wasn't 100%, the track was likely a factor and, hey, guess what, none of them win all the time. You comment that they should have not voted any horse Sprinter of the Year is assinine. Until, at least, you are given an Eclipse Award vote.

And when was the last time ANY sprinter gave 8 lbs+ in a race?

Okay, i need a little bit more explanation. I have often heard "he just wasnt himself". Can you help me understand what that means? Every time he loses, "he just wasnt himself" and when he wins "that was the real fog".

So what happened here? Can we possibly assign some Freudian logic to the case of this emotionally troubled horse.

Do you think that maybe he suffers from feelings of inadequeacy as the result of feelings of abandonment caused by being taken from his mother too early?

Do you think that maybe he doesnt feel loved and that in turn makes him feel like he is not good enough to be "the real fog" all of the time?

Do you think that maybe he is being resentful towards his trainer because he wanted an extra mint before the race and decides to throw in the towel to show him who is the real boss?



What do you think?

Dalakhani, you and I know why he avoids SoCal, he would be buried. They run the exact type of race shape that works against him, loaded up front speed. They have got some real burners down there that would eat his lunch if he tried to run with them. Give the connections some credit as they have placed him for the most part where he can win, but there are few places he can hide now if he is going to be considered a true champion sprinter.

Are you kidding me? Xtra heat use to do it all the time. Thats off the top of my head. How much did GZ give in his sprints? Kona Gold? Do you want me to keep going?

you guys are cracking me up!

Hmmm ... a ferrrrrry interrr-restink zeory youff got zere.

Allow me to zink about zot zome more ... vile I conzult mit mein colleaks.

What's this "the horse wasn't 100%"? They shipped a cripple from coast to coast to run when he was hurt? No sense can be made of that statement.

I can't follow half of the arguments being put forward on behalf of this Fog horse.

Ez

Then you're a genius, Ez ...

.. because I can't follow any of it.

Wrong ... wrong ... wrong ...

... all of Andy's matches against women were legit ... only his final match against a man was a con job.

Lost In The Fog's opposition wasn't quite as suspect as Kaufman's ... but the analogy makes the point ...

... don't be overly impressed by winning streaks against restricted opposition ... wait until everyone is allowed to play.

And I'd have loved to have been Andy Kaufman's agent.

Lost In The Fog's connections are to be commended ... they won a lot of races and a lot of money with a modestly talented sprinter. Hats off to them!

and I'm sure most people out there would love to train or own a horse who has won 11 of 14, whether it's a $5,000 claimer or a stakes horse.

I think anyone on here would be happy owning a 5K claimer who is 0 for 14, LOL!