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-   -   2012 Triple Crown Trail: 11 try to deny I'll Have Another (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=45691)

my miss storm cat 04-24-2012 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis (Post 855232)
Liaison IN - Martin Garcia named to ride - Baffert says he just hated SA surface... per Darren Rogers - Churchill Downs Comm Dept tweet

I like this horse... very happy to hear he's in.

Indian Charlie 04-24-2012 12:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 855243)
I laughed..



It is a little amusing that the decision seemed to be based on his 1.5 mile jog this morning...

Oh, I doubt the jog had anything to do with it all.

It was decided long ago.

Danzig 04-24-2012 04:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 855242)
I bet he'll hate CD too.

:tro:


just saw the news that he's running. whatever.

Indian Charlie 04-24-2012 04:27 PM

I believe it's entirely possible he really did not like Santa Anita, as his races at HP were clearly better.

This begs the question, however, of whether or not he's going to be better on synth/turf than dirt.

pointman 04-24-2012 06:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 855243)
I laughed..



It is a little amusing that the decision seemed to be based on his 1.5 mile jog this morning...

That must have been some jog. :rolleyes:

Dahoss 04-24-2012 07:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse (Post 854955)
I don't understand this comment. If you dont' like what I stated explain why....at least Calzone and danzig were able to do that. He ran a slower pace in the Bay Shore than his previous races, yeah, that's really crazy stuff there I said...stating fact. That's insane stuff stating fact like that.

What you said makes no sense. You're just taking the opposite side out of boredom which is why I didn't waste anytime on a real response.

slotdirt 04-25-2012 08:30 AM

So let me preface this by saying I know absolutely nothing about shockwave therapy, but for the folks who do, is this a normal occurrence for a sound horse? In reference to I'll Have Another, of course.

horseofcourse 04-25-2012 11:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 855359)
What you said makes no sense. You're just taking the opposite side out of boredom which is why I didn't waste anytime on a real response.

Fine. I don't think the horse will run top 15 in the Derby, I can understand someone running a horse in the Derby, what I said made complete sense and that is where you are wrong. The horse ran slower earlier in the Bay Shore than his previous two races. That is simply what happened. Wind or not it was still slower. I am not taking any opposite side. I'm simply justifying why someone is running in the Derby and offered what happened in a previous race as minor justification. Lots of things happen in horse racing that are inexplicable. I'm sure anyone on this board at this time 3 years ago making impassioned justifications for Mine That Bird winning the Derby would have been lauged at and abused to infinity here. And that's all fine. I'm not even doing that. I'm not making claims this horse will win, I'm simply saying it's accpeptable that he's running in the race.

Antitrust32 04-25-2012 12:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 855422)
So let me preface this by saying I know absolutely nothing about shockwave therapy, but for the folks who do, is this a normal occurrence for a sound horse? In reference to I'll Have Another, of course.

"Extracorporeal shock wave therapy (ESWT) has become an emerging new technology for treating musculoskeletal problems, soft-tissue injuries and bone injuries in horses. ESWT is non-invasive, used to stimulate healing to return horses to a level of fully sound, useful activity without recurrence of disease.

From outside the body (extracorporeal), the machine generates high-intensity shock or pressure waves, which pulse to a specific site within the injured tissue. Though its actual mode of action is still in dispute, it stimulates and accelerates the healing process, essentially combining an immediate analgesic effect with a reduction in inflammation, neovascularization in soft tissue and osteogenesis in bone. According to Dr. Scott McClure, DVM, Iowa State University, a leading researcher in the field, it can be used to treat various conditions, such as suspensory ligament desmitis, navicular disease, saucer fractures, bucked shins, bowed tendon, sesamoid fractures, stress fractures and vertebral spinal pain (kissing spine lesions)."


http://veterinarynews.dvm360.com/dvm.../detail/162182

here's a pretty good summary of what shockwave is, and what it treats.



I just asked one of my bosses about using shockwave on sound race horses.. she said she overheard that it IS being used that way and she's going to try and find out some more information about why and how its used on sound horses. I'm wondering if its used to create better bone density. I'll let you know when I hear more from my boss.

Dahoss 04-25-2012 01:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse (Post 855441)
Fine. I don't think the horse will run top 15 in the Derby, I can understand someone running a horse in the Derby, what I said made complete sense and that is where you are wrong. The horse ran slower earlier in the Bay Shore than his previous two races. That is simply what happened. Wind or not it was still slower. I am not taking any opposite side. I'm simply justifying why someone is running in the Derby and offered what happened in a previous race as minor justification. Lots of things happen in horse racing that are inexplicable. I'm sure anyone on this board at this time 3 years ago making impassioned justifications for Mine That Bird winning the Derby would have been lauged at and abused to infinity here. And that's all fine. I'm not even doing that. I'm not making claims this horse will win, I'm simply saying it's accpeptable that he's running in the race.

No one said it was unacceptable they are running. What was discussed is why it's a horrible choice.

Comparing Mine That Bird (who had two turn victories) to a horse who has never gone two turns and yet to go past 7 furlongs is ridiculous. Justifying this horrible decision because the horse ran a slower quarter in his most recent race is borderline insane.

Antitrust32 04-25-2012 01:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 855422)
So let me preface this by saying I know absolutely nothing about shockwave therapy, but for the folks who do, is this a normal occurrence for a sound horse? In reference to I'll Have Another, of course.

I got another opinion on why you would use shockwave on sound race horses.. the answer was "blood flow"

Danzig 04-25-2012 03:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 855422)
So let me preface this by saying I know absolutely nothing about shockwave therapy, but for the folks who do, is this a normal occurrence for a sound horse? In reference to I'll Have Another, of course.

just read about his shockwave therapy on bloodhorse. apparently they treated his lumbar region, that he'd tied up after a work....

Rudeboyelvis 05-01-2012 09:17 AM

Mark Valeski OUT
 
Will go to the Peter Pan instead - D Wayne draws in with Optimizer... Per HRTV

Kasept 05-06-2012 12:21 PM

PIM: 5/19/12 - Preakness Stakes (G1)

I'll Have Another (O'Neill)
Bodemeister (Baffert)
Went The Day Well (Motion)
Creative Cause (Harrington)
Liaison (Baffert)
Hansen (Maker) -- Possible
Optimizer (Lukas)
Pretension (Grove)
Brimstone Island (Campbell)
Cozzetti (Romans)
Hierro (Asmussen)
Isn't He Clever (Asmussen) -- Possible
Paynter (Baffert)
Teeth of the Dog (Matz)
Tiger Walk (Correas)
Went the Day Well (Motion)
Zetterholm (R. Dutrow)

pointman 05-06-2012 12:34 PM

You knew Optimizer was a definite regardless of the result yesterday. I am sure he is already a definite for the Belmont. Lukas wants to make that streak DiMaggio proof.

Indian Charlie 05-06-2012 12:36 PM

Odd, no Gemologist.


More evidence that perhaps something went amiss.

RolloTomasi 05-06-2012 04:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 858903)
Odd, no Gemologist.


More evidence that perhaps something went amiss.

The dreaded "will give him a couple of weeks off at WinStar Farm" pretty much seals the deal.

Calzone Lord 05-06-2012 06:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 858898)

The Lumber Guy (Hushion)

If this happens -- Mike Maker should just waive a white flag.

The Lumber Guy got a loose lead in the Wood Memorial and turned in a 14 second final 1/8th.

What is it with connections trying to ruin good sprinters in Triple Crown races?

declansharbor 05-06-2012 06:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 859009)
If this happens -- Mike Maker should just waive a white flag.

The Lumber Guy got a loose lead in the Wood Memorial and turned in a 14 second final 1/8th.

What is it with connections trying to ruin good sprinters in Triple Crown races?

I'd love to see The Lumber Guy at a mile.

TC races make otherwise slamdunk decisions into real headscratchers.

Calzone Lord 05-06-2012 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor (Post 859011)
I'd love to see The Lumber Guy at a mile.

TC races make otherwise slamdunk decisions into real headscratchers.

If The Lumber Guy doesn't get early pressure -- his limit is a mile. However, I think his best game is probably 6.5 furlongs.

RolloTomasi 05-06-2012 06:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 859009)
If this happens -- Mike Maker should just waive a white flag.

The Lumber Guy got a loose lead in the Wood Memorial and turned in a 14 second final 1/8th.

What is it with connections trying to ruin good sprinters in Triple Crown races?

Hansen should go to Hollywood Park. First off, they'd probably let the owner paint the horse's tail, especially turqoise and pink so they can promote Zenyatta some more. Secondly, he could be as devastating as Old Trieste in races like the Affirmed and the Swaps.

Could you imagine Hansen in a 5-horse Grade 3 going 8.5f at that track?

Liaison and Rousing Sermon can round out the tri.

Calzone Lord 05-06-2012 06:30 PM

Agree on all counts.

VOL JACK 05-06-2012 08:39 PM

Hansen is off the triple crown. He is fine physically..but hes not running in the Preakness and Belmont.

RolloTomasi 05-06-2012 09:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VOL JACK (Post 859049)
Hansen is off the triple crown. He is fine physically..but hes not running in the Preakness and Belmont.

1st Long Branch
1st Haskell
5th Travers
8th BC Classic
retired

Calzone Lord 05-06-2012 09:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VOL JACK (Post 859049)
Hansen is off the triple crown. He is fine physically..but hes not running in the Preakness and Belmont.

According to Maker maybe.

That owner seems like the type of person who can change his mind on a whim.

Sightseek 05-06-2012 09:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 859057)
According to Maker maybe.

That owner seems like the type of person who makes the owner of Ricks Natural Star seem balanced.

FTFY

MaTH716 05-07-2012 12:25 PM

Jay Privman ‏ @DRFPrivman
Went the Day Well, troubled 4th in Derby, definite for Preakness, according to Team Valor CEO Barry Irwin. Velazquez rides back. #preakness

slotdirt 05-07-2012 12:33 PM

Interesting to me on a couple levels. In the last couple years, this is the kind of horse that has automatically been pointed toward the Belmont.

Kasept 05-07-2012 02:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 858898)
PIM: 5/19/12 - Preakness Stakes (G1)

I'll Have Another (O'Neill)
Bodemeister (Baffert)
Went The Day Well (Motion)
Creative Cause (Harrington)
Liaison (Baffert)
Hansen (Maker) -- Possible
Optimizer (Lukas)

Pretension (Grove)
Brimstone Island (Campbell)
Cozzetti (Romans)
Hierro (Asmussen)
Isn't He Clever (Asmussen) -- Possible
Paynter (Baffert)
Teeth of the Dog (Matz)
Tiger Walk (Correas)
Zetterholm (R. Dutrow)

Revised

Mike 05-07-2012 02:48 PM

I think there are some interesting new shooters, but I'd have to think any of them are only usable underneath, and deeply underneath at that. I think even Creative Cause and Liaison will be solid in the Preakness, as well as Went The Day Well, Bodemiester and I'll Have Another of course.

Hansen (if he goes), along with Paynter could lead to another quick pace, Bodemeister needs to simply relax and mature in the next two weeks;)

Great looking Preakness

Rudeboyelvis 05-07-2012 02:55 PM

I'm not prepared to give up on Isn't He Clever just yet - He seems a logical outsider that can impact the exotics

slotdirt 05-07-2012 02:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis (Post 859164)
I'm not prepared to give up on Isn't He Clever just yet - He seems a logical outsider that can impact the exotics

Agreed.

I also think I'll let Went the Day Well beat me again in the Preakness if he goes.

NTamm1215 05-07-2012 03:02 PM

That's a pretty rag-tag group of new shooters.

Interestingly, the only two horses since Deputed Testamony to win the Preakness without having run in the Ky Derby are Red Bullet and Rachel Alexandra. Red Bullet is the only horse in the last 30+ years to win without having had a race in the prior 21 days.

Mike 05-07-2012 03:05 PM

This group of 3-year-olds appears even worse than the weak crops of 2011, 2010, and 2009, with the notable exception of Bodemeister, whose effort on Saturday was so good that the defeat didn’t even sting Baffert. “This is the only time I’ve run second where I’ve been happy because he ran his race,” the trainer said. “He’s a brilliant horse.”

Andrew Beyer in the main article on DRF right now.

RolloTomasi 05-07-2012 03:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 859166)
That's a pretty rag-tag group of new shooters.

Interestingly, the only two horses since Deputed Testamony to win the Preakness without having run in the Ky Derby are Red Bullet and Rachel Alexandra. Red Bullet is the only horse in the last 30+ years to win without having had a race in the prior 21 days.

Bernardini

NTamm1215 05-07-2012 03:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 859173)
Bernardini

Right, I confused myself with the "didn't run in the Derby but ran just 7 days prior" portion of that statistic. Bernardini, of course, ran 3 weeks prior to the Preakness in the Withers.

bare it all 05-07-2012 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 859021)
Hansen should go to Hollywood Park. First off, they'd probably let the owner paint the horse's tail, especially turqoise and pink so they can promote Zenyatta some more. Secondly, he could be as devastating as Old Trieste in races like the Affirmed and the Swaps.

Could you imagine Hansen in a 5-horse Grade 3 going 8.5f at that track?

Liaison and Rousing Sermon can round out the tri.

:{>:

largo1 05-08-2012 01:04 AM

Am I misremembering something? Didn't Bernardini win the Preakness the year Barbaro was injured? I was thinking he was a new shooter.

largo1 05-08-2012 01:05 AM

Sorry, guess I should have read all of the comments. :D

tywizard 05-08-2012 09:10 AM

The Lumber Guy opts for Peter Pan


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