I just watched Presious Passion's work on TVG The Works and he looked f'n terrible.

I started her at 8-1, which is what I think I'd make her, but I try to get in the bettor's minds and quite frankly the last race is what dictates odds most of the time, especially in this case where she was trying two things new (going long, synthetic.) I've watched the replay a bunch of times and she was under the whip early and the trouble wouldn't have made the difference between her and the top two IMO. I won't be betting her at any price.

I really like Devil May Care but Regal Ransom's bomb on his only attempt on synthetic scares me a bit. She showed a great turn of foot when asked in the Frizette then held off the even money challenger.

What are your thoughts in the Distaff?

It's been a long time since I've seen the clear-cut fastest horse go off the 8th choice in a race.

Only the Beyers have her as the clear-cut fastest.

Her stablemate ran a faster TG at the same distance, and the Bris figures have her 5th at 7F or longer.

Her stablemate ran her big sheet number on dirt I would assume.

Bris figures are as bad as it gets. If I E-mailed PG'85 a bunch of charts and tables he could make way better figures than Bris on his own.

Of course- it was in the Spinaway behind Hot Dixie Chick- and I've already shown my discontent with her.

I fully expected the dismissal of the Bris figures. Quite frankly, the Beyers are so terrible these days, especially on synthetics, I like using Brisnet better. At least I know when they're flawed. Beyer figures rank somewhere around Roman's Performance Figures for me. Useless.

I make my own ... and I'd say about 90-95% of the time the Beyers are within 3 points of my own numbers.

The figure makers very rarely do anything stupid unless its on a tricky day.

I set an all-time record for variant splits and races cut loose with my PID ones ... you'd probably hate my own numbers more than the Beyers if you actually bother to look at BRIS.

I was with McPeek in Hammerle's office for quite a while yesterday and can tell you he is not expecting Fist of Rage to get into the Cup at all. He didn't like the spot yesterday and calld Rayman and said he thought they were rushing things if they ran in there. They have big hopes for the horse and he just felt on a gut level it was a mistake to run.

His instincts seemed right because we went over the TG's on both races, and as much as he thought Fist was in tough, he also thought Vivid Colors might be able to get black type in the Pocahontas. And she was just a length short...

Mike Welsch and everyone around the track thought differently.

http://www.drf.com/news/article/108617.html

TURF
No workers but Presious Passion made an awesome appearance galloping this morning.

No doubt about that.

He's not a poly horse. He could get a piece on that turf course. Not on top though.

I was hoping the obsession was with me. I was flattered. Oh well. As for the horse, I would still enter him in the Classic. I've never been a big work guy in as far as them being indicaters of how a horse will run and with all of the comments I've heard from trainers about SA's surface, there seems to even less correlation between works and races.

I'll be shocked if McPeek doesn't win a juvie race as I honestly think he has a good shot in all four. Noble's Promise missed a work due to a leg infection so that is a bit of question mark for me, but his work on Sunday was reported as being good.

The most impressive thing to me though is he has all of these decent 2 year olds and I don't think a single one cost more than 100K.

Great update Steve, was actually going to call him today to see what the thoughts were. I know they like him quite a bit, the debut was certainly promising (i think he got a 10 in the debut). There's plenty of allowance opportunities at CD for 2yos which make sense.

Any comments about Connie and Michael?

TVG showed a 1 mile work on yesterday's "The Works" and he was being whipped in the lane (three times on the hind)

Now, this probably had alot to do with the surface but maybe it was the wrong horse on TVG?

No, I saw it. It was PP. That's how she always works them.

When are



going to make a decision?

Kodiak Kowboy and Allicansayis Wow have defected

Television schedule:

All of the Friday coverage will be on ESPN2, with the broadcast running from 3:30 to 7 p.m. (all times Eastern). On Saturday, the first two hours (1:30-3:30) will be shown on ABC, with the remaining block (3:30-7) on ESPN.


http://www.drf.com/news/article/108622.html

That's going to be a real blow to the Cuban team.

Only the horses I can't stand defect, it is great luck. First thing tomorrow I expect Zenyatta not to be entered, period because I think she has no shot and will take all the money.....

Regal Ransom and Girolamo a go for the Classic.

http://www.drf.com/news/article/108624.html

best news i done heard all day, thanks nicole ;)


-bt-

Even with RR declared for the Classic, it doesn't look like this race will be run in a strong gallop. What QR does or does not do in this race could have a strong bearing on how this race will be run and won.

Damn. . . was hoping they'd spread the no shot money takers out a bit between the Classic and Dirt Mile.

Don't worry, they're still running Pyro in the Pro-Ride Mile.

NT

True, but I have a little more faith in mankind than to expect him to get bet.

Too bad. I'm still hoping Girolamo doesn't get in..........

If he won the race, would you be disappointed that it was the Classic and not the Cigar Mile?

Course not, but I don't really think he has a prayer here. As Mettee said in the DRF article, he's got a lot to overcome.......I guess it shows confidence in him that he's here, but he's so lightly raced and inexperienced......I'm really not sure why they are doing this. They can't possibly think he can win. I would be the most shocked person in the world.......

NEARLY FINAL FIELDS & RIDER ASSIGNMENTS

$5 million Breeders' Cup Classic

1. Awesome Gem (Dollase/D. Flores)
2. Colonel John (Harty/Gomez)
3. Einstein (Pitts-Blasi/Leparoux)
4. Gio Ponti (Clement/R. Dominguez)
5. Mine That Bird (Woolley/Borel)
6. Quality Road (Pletcher/J. Velazquez)
7. Regal Ransom (bin Suroor/Migliore)
8. Richard's Kid (Baffert/Solis)
9. Rip Van Winkle (O'Brien/Murtagh)
10. Summer Bird (Ice/Desormeaux)
11. Twice Over (Cecil/Queally)
12. Zenyatta (Shirreffs/M. Smith)
13. Girolamo (bin Suroor/A. Garcia)


$3 million Emirates Airline Breeders' Cup Turf

1. Allegre (Chambers/J. Velazquez)
2. Conduit (Stoute/R. Moore)
3. Dar Re Mi (Gosden/Dettori)
4. Monzante (Mitchell/Bejarano)
5. Precious Passion (Hartman/Trujillo)
6. Red Rocks (Meehan/Dettori)
7. Spanish Moon (Stoute/Fallon)
8. Telling (Hobby/Razo Jr.)


$1 million Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile

1. Bullsbay (Motion/Rose)
2. Chocolate Candy (Hollendorfer/Rosario)
3. Crown of Thorns (Mandella/TBA) Leaning towards Sprint
4. Mambo Meister (Gleaves/M. Cruz)
5. Mastercraftsman (O'Brien/Murtagh)
6. Midshipman (bin Suroor/Gomez)
7. Pyro (bin Suroor/Velazquez)
8. Mr. Sidney (Mott/Desormeaux)
9. Ready's Echo (Pletcher/Borel)
10. Furthest Land (Maker/Leproux)
11. Neko Bay (Shirreffs/M. Smith)
12. Cherokee Artist (Motion/R. Dominguez)


$2 million TVG Breeders' Cup Mile

1. Courageous Cat (Mott/Gomez)
2. Court Vision (Dutrow/Albarado)
3. Cowboy Cal (Pletcher/J. Velazquez)
4. Delegator (Meehan/Delegator)
5. Ferneley (Cecil/Bejarano)
6. Gladitorius (bin Shafya/Ajtebi)
7. Goldikova (Head/Peslier)
8. Justenuffhumor (McLaughlin/A. Garcia)
9. Karelian (Arnold/Maragh)
10. Whatsthescript (Sadler/Desormeaux)
11. Zacinto (Stoute/R. Moore)


$2 million Grey Goose Breeders' Cup Juvenile

1. Aikenite (Pletcher/Garcia)
2. Alfred Nobel (O'Brien/Murtagh)
3. Aspire (Kenneally/Leparoux)
4. Beethoven (O'Brien/Moore or Murtagh)
5. Eskendereya (Pletcher/Castellano)
6. D' Funnybone (R. Dutrow/Prado)
7. William's Kitten (Maker/R. Dominguez)
8. Lookin at Lucky (Baffert/Gomez)
9. Noble's Promise (McPeek/W. Martinez)
10. Piscatelli (Sacco/Desormeaux)
11. Pulsion (Biancone/M. Smith)
13. Radiohead (Meehan/Dwyer)
14. Vale of York (bin Suroor/TBA)


$2 million Sentient Jet Breeders' Cup Sprint

1. Capt. Candyman Can (Wilkes/Castellano)
2. Cost of Freedom (Sadler/T. Baze)
3. Dancing in Silks (Gaines/Rosario)
4. Fatal Bullet (Baker/DaSilva)
5. Fleeting Spirit (Noseda/Dettori)
6. Gayego (bin Suroor/Gomez)
7. Join in the Dance (Pletcher/J. Velazquez)
8. Zensational (Baffert/Espinoza)
9. Crown of Thorns (Mandella/TBA) Leaning here v. Dirt Mile


$1 million Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint

1. California Flag (Koriner/Talamo)
2. Cannonball (Ward/Dominguez)
3. Delta Storm (Mitchell/Gomez)
4. Desert Code (Hofmans/Migliore)
5. Diamondrella (Penna/Maragh)
6. Gotta Have Her (Sahadi/T. Baze)
7. El Gato Malo (Dollase/Flores)
8. Lord Shanakill (Jarvis/J. Crowey)
9. Noble Court (Sadler/Rosario)
10. Silver Timber (C. Brown/Leparoux)
11. Strike the Deal (Noseda/Fallon)
12. Canadian Ballet (Rice/A. Garcia)
13. Square Eddie (O'Neill/Dettori)
14. Get Funky (Sadler/Bejarano)


$1 million Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf

1. Becky's Kitten (Ward/Leparoux)
2. Bridgetown (McPeek/R. Landry)
3. Buzzword (bin Suroor/Ajtebi)
4. Awesome Act (Noseda/R. Moore)
5. Codoy (Hubley/TBA)
6. Gallant Gent (C. Lewis/TBA)
7. Interactif (Pletcher/Desormeaux)
8. King Ledley (Prendergast/McDonough)
9. Pounced (Gosden/R. Moore)
10. Kera's Kitten (Maker/Maragh)
11. Viscount Nelson (O'Brien/Murtagh)
12. Zip Quik (Biancone/M/. Smith)


---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


$2 million Breeders' Cup Distaff

1. Careless Jewel (J. Carroll/R. Landry)
2. Cocoa Beach (bin Suroor/R. Dominguez)
3. Life is Sweet (Shirreffs/M. Smith)
4. Mushka (Mott/Desormeaux)
5. Music Note (bin Suroor/TBA)
6. Proviso (Frankel/TBA)
7. Rainbow View (Gosden/TBA)
8. Lethal Heat (Abrams/Solis)


$1 million Sentient Jet Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint

1. Ventura (Frankel/Gomez)
2. Evita Argentina (Sadler/Rosario)
3. Free Flying Soul (Headley/M. Smith)
4. Game Face (Pletcher/Prado)
5. Informed Decision (Sheppard/Leparoux)
6. Only Green (Head/Peslier)
7. Sara Louise (bin Suroor/Dettori)
8. Seventh Street (bin Suroor/Maragh)
9. Silver Swallow (Headley/Solis)


$2 million Emirates Airline Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf

1. Visit (Frankel/J. Velazquez)
2. Dynaforce (Mott/Desormeaux)
3. Forever Together (Sheppard/Leparoux)
4. Magical Fantasy (Gallagher/Solis)
5. Maram (C. Brown/Lezcano)
6. Midday (Cecil/Queally)
7. Pure Clan (Holthus/Gomez)
8. Rutheriene (Clement/Garcia)


$2 million Grey Goose Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies

1. Always a Princess (Baffert/Gomez)
2. Beautician (McPeek/Albarado)
3. Bickersons (Breen/Rosario)
4. Biofuel (Baker/DaSilva)
5. Blind Luck (Hollendorfer/T. Baze)
6. Champagne d'Oro (Guillot/TBA)
7. Connie and Michael (McPeek/Desormeaux)
8. Devil May Care (Pletcher/J. Velazquez)
9. Ms. Vanenzza (Vasquez/J. Rocco Jr.)
10. Negligee (Terranova/Maragh)
11. She Be Wild (Catalano/Leparoux)
12. Zilva (Motion/Rose or Dominguez)


$1 million Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

1. Elusive Galaxy (Cecil/Bejarano)
2. Hatheer (McLaughlin/Garcia)
3. House of Grace (McPeek/Luzzi)
4. Jungletale (Asmussen/Bridgemohan)
5. Junia Tepzia (Schiergen/Fallon)
6. La Nez (Kruljac/Smith or Espinoza)
7. Lillie Langtry (O'Brien/Murtagh)
8. Lisa's Kitten (Maker/Leparoux)
9. Potosina (Shuman/J. Velazquez)
10. Smart Seattle (Motion/Rose)
11. Tapitsfly (Romans/Albarado)
12. Rose Catherine (Pletcher/Castellano)


$500,000 Breeders' Cup Marathon

1. Black Astor (L. Lewis/Talamo)
2. Cloudy's Knight (Sheppard/TBA)
3. Eldaafer (Alvarado/TBA)
4. Father Time (Cecil/Queally)
5. Gangbuster (K. Desormeaux/Desormeaux)
6. Man of Iron (O'Brien/Murtagh)
7. Mastery (bin Suroor/Dettori)
8. Muhannak (Beckett/R. Moore?)
9. Nite Light (Pletcher/TBA)
10. Sir Dave (Carava/Rosario)

Thanks Steve, thats awesome

The Dirt Mile looks very weak now compared to what it looked like earlier, at least when it is 'shown' that way instead of the pre-entries. Maybe I am wrong...

Why exactly is there a Breeders Cup race that is run at 1 3/4 again?

They were hoping Hacker Craft would get entered...!!!

Personally I'll be getting my first round of bloody mary's during the race, and should still be able to get back to see the finish

Start of the P6 man....

No chance I put any money into that thing, even on the "easier" of the two days. It's hard enough to hit a pick 3 on BC day let alone the pick 6. Hell, I've only hit the pick 4 once on BC day as it is and that was with two absolute stone cold singles (Ouija Board and Ghostzapper) and the "all" button in the other two legs.

So Barry Abrams can run a gelding that is still eligible for the N1X condition.

That F & M Turf sucks.