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-   -   CONTEST ENTRIES: SA Carryover (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9084)

golfer 01-25-2007 05:21 PM

Same here, Arljim, the biggest pick 6 ticket I've ever punched was for $96, and I regretted it because it was too large a percentage of my bankroll. That's not to say I did not appreciate the contest, and all the time and effort everyone put in (especially BTW). I e-mailed Steve a while back about something similar, not a contest but a learning tool, where you took one race, gave everyone the same bankroll, and using the same opinions, see the different strategies and plays each person would make. The bottom line is handicapping is just part of the puzzle, wagering strategies is the other. Anybody else think this might be a good idea?

Gander 01-25-2007 05:51 PM

I think its a great idea to have contests like this. A suggestion I might make is to scale down the bankroll to where its a tad more realistic and within the average person's budget, give or take a couple of hundred dollars.

I like the $600 ticket myself, I think that forces people to do more handicapping and avoids just tossing horses you know you would never really use. Catch my drift?

ArlJim78 01-25-2007 06:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
I think its a great idea to have contests like this. A suggestion I might make is to scale down the bankroll to where its a tad more realistic and within the average person's budget, give or take a couple of hundred dollars.

I like the $600 ticket myself, I think that forces people to do more handicapping and avoids just tossing horses you know you would never really use. Catch my drift?

I disagree completely with reducing the bankroll. $600 is not a realistic ticket for six races of big fields. You have very little chance of getting these right with 300 combinations. if i did my math right, if you assume 11 horse fields throwing 300 combinations at a pick six is like having a pick four contest and asking people to limit the wagers to $2, only two combinations. I don't care how good of a handicapper you are, you are not going to hit them.

Gander 01-25-2007 06:59 PM

I'm just trying to keep it real. Not many people have close to 2K to throw away on a lottery ticket. Some get into syndicates but there are usually more than 1 person making the decisions. You may as well make the bankroll
5K if its going to be a number that you'll never come close to playing.

$600 is a more realistic amount. Thats what Oracle usually throws in and hes hit like 7 of them.

ArlJim78 01-25-2007 07:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
I'm just trying to keep it real. Not many people have close to 2K to throw away on a lottery ticket. Some get into syndicates but there are usually more than 1 person making the decisions. You may as well make the bankroll
5K if its going to be a number that you'll never come close to playing.

$600 is a more realistic amount. Thats what Oracle usually throws in and hes hit like 7 of them.

Like I said it all depends on how deep the water is that you are wading into. If the races are compromised of 7-8 horse fields and there are a couple of real obvious singles, it is certainly much much easier to hit them with 300 combinations because the number of permutations are very very significantly reduced.

in my opinion, betting a pick six like the one in the contest with $600 is not realistic. It's stupid. That's why the syndicates are necessary because it gives people with only $600 a chance to have a reasonable shot.

Gander 01-25-2007 07:27 PM

I think a guy like me putting any more than $8 into a pick 6 is kind of silly. I'm not the brightest bulb that they ever put in a lamp!

But they sure as heck are fun to handicap.

2MinsToPost 01-25-2007 07:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
I think a guy like me putting any more than $8 into a pick 6 is kind of silly. I'm not the brightest bulb that they ever put in a lamp!

But they sure as heck are fun to handicap.

I love to play the Pick 6 for $2 for shiats and giggles

single/single/single/single/single/single

when I hit I will photocopy my ticket and post it, and then change my name to Nostradamus:p


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