Originally Posted by jmj934

am I reaching when i think Tres Borraches could hit the board. I just dont see anybody coming to get him on the lead except for Big Brown, and maybe someone else.

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Taking a speed to fill out exotics in a race like this is probably a mistake. At some point, Big Brown will take complete control of this race, and that in all likelihood will discourage anyone fighting it out in front, and set the table for one of the slow clunkers ( like Racecar Rhapsody ) to suck into a filler position.

That, and Tres Borraches is particularly weak.

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin

The problem is that could be said for pretty much the entire field, save Big Brown.

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

When I used the word " particularly " I was suggesting even relative to this field.

Originally Posted by jmj934

That was my logic when considering the field. I think Tres Borrachos will get out on the lead, and nobody (other than big brown, and another horse) will catch him and possibly he can hold on for third. i don't know though

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Tres Borrachos isn't fast enough to run with Big Brown, and I actually think Riley Tucker and Giant Moon are faster. His AR Derby figure is inflated too.. I'd be surprised if he did anything.

Originally Posted by philcski

Nobody's talking about Macho Again. Yeah, he hasn't done much around two turns, and the one true route race was abysmal (Lanes End- but note that his two worst career efforts were on the Poly) but he's bred well to go long. Since his maiden win he's 5-3-1-0 with just the mediocre effort in the Lecomte. Do I think he's going to beat Big Brown? No. But could he fill the exacta or trifecta at 30-1? Definitely.

Originally Posted by miraja2

I like Macho Again too for the exact reasons you gave. I see him and Kentucky Bear as the two strongest contenders (other than the 7 obviously).
I just can't figure out exactly how I want to play it.