The Indomitable DrugS
05-04-2007, 07:22 PM
Through the first six days of the 2007 Churchill Downs meet the jockey scoreboard reads as follows....
Win Mutuals of $20 or greater:
Calvin Borel (5)
All Other Jocks (4)
Win Mutuals of $50 or greater:
Calvin Borel (3)
All Other Jocks (0)
Forget about what's happend this year though,
In what is almost certainly the most statistically mind-boggling thing I've ever seen acomplished from a jockey, Calvin Borel finished with an other-worldly $3.30 ROI, from his 446 mounts at Churchill Downs in 2006.
How, exactly, is it humanly possible for a rider to produce a 65% profit on a betting dollar, from a sample size of that many races? I guess scoring a few key upsets at the '06 Churchill Spring meet played a role in that, including a 91/1 upset in the Grade 1 Stephen Foster on the ultra moderate Seek Gold.
Borel's '06 fall meet at Churchill was even more brilliant, winning one major upset after another. He also took down his first Breeders Cup race, when he gave 15/1 shot Street Sense what was without question the most jaw-dropping ballsy ride seen in any major stake race last year.
Borel's ride on Street Sense that day is as close a thing to "the perfect ride" as I've ever seen. Street Sense, who hung in the stretch in his first two route tries, was wisely taken back to 11th behind a scorching early pace. He rode the live rail path every step of the way. With exhusted horses stopping in front of him, Borel never made any attempt to leave the rail with SS, he daringly thread the needle, at one point appearing to literally scrape paint.
Borel averaged a $20+ win mutual with his first 23 wins at CD's fall meet. At one point, a story broke that an anonymous bettor was betting perhaps up to thousands of dollars on each one of Borel's mounts. In fact, one day, when Borel took off all his mounts, the bettor, apperently unaware of the news, made his bets anyway. Each mount Borel was named on opened up as the heavy favorite, and drifited way up by the time the race started.
The Borel magic struck on opening day at this Churchill meet. Guiding longshot Deputy Sammie to a 34/1 upset victory, with another rail-skimming ride. Later on in the opening day card, he scored another victory with a $17.80 mutual, and guided longshot UD Ghetto to a 2nd place finish in the Derby Trial.
In the first six days of Churchill Downs 2007, Borel has won FIVE races with win mutual of $25.00 or better. THREE of those wins coming with horses who won at odds of 25/1 or better.
Longshot riding Borel once won an Arkansas Derby with 100/1 shot Rockamundo, but didn't do so well on Derby day. This time, he gets to ride the favorite....and certainly many bettors have to wonder how much Street Sense's form was moved up by those two off-the-chart rides Borel gave SS in his two Graded Stake wins.
In a 20 horse field, with all the other riders aware of his dedication to riding the rail, we should now finally get to find out what Street Sense is capable of, when he doesn't get a magical rail-skimming ride from Calvin.
Win Mutuals of $20 or greater:
Calvin Borel (5)
All Other Jocks (4)
Win Mutuals of $50 or greater:
Calvin Borel (3)
All Other Jocks (0)
Forget about what's happend this year though,
In what is almost certainly the most statistically mind-boggling thing I've ever seen acomplished from a jockey, Calvin Borel finished with an other-worldly $3.30 ROI, from his 446 mounts at Churchill Downs in 2006.
How, exactly, is it humanly possible for a rider to produce a 65% profit on a betting dollar, from a sample size of that many races? I guess scoring a few key upsets at the '06 Churchill Spring meet played a role in that, including a 91/1 upset in the Grade 1 Stephen Foster on the ultra moderate Seek Gold.
Borel's '06 fall meet at Churchill was even more brilliant, winning one major upset after another. He also took down his first Breeders Cup race, when he gave 15/1 shot Street Sense what was without question the most jaw-dropping ballsy ride seen in any major stake race last year.
Borel's ride on Street Sense that day is as close a thing to "the perfect ride" as I've ever seen. Street Sense, who hung in the stretch in his first two route tries, was wisely taken back to 11th behind a scorching early pace. He rode the live rail path every step of the way. With exhusted horses stopping in front of him, Borel never made any attempt to leave the rail with SS, he daringly thread the needle, at one point appearing to literally scrape paint.
Borel averaged a $20+ win mutual with his first 23 wins at CD's fall meet. At one point, a story broke that an anonymous bettor was betting perhaps up to thousands of dollars on each one of Borel's mounts. In fact, one day, when Borel took off all his mounts, the bettor, apperently unaware of the news, made his bets anyway. Each mount Borel was named on opened up as the heavy favorite, and drifited way up by the time the race started.
The Borel magic struck on opening day at this Churchill meet. Guiding longshot Deputy Sammie to a 34/1 upset victory, with another rail-skimming ride. Later on in the opening day card, he scored another victory with a $17.80 mutual, and guided longshot UD Ghetto to a 2nd place finish in the Derby Trial.
In the first six days of Churchill Downs 2007, Borel has won FIVE races with win mutual of $25.00 or better. THREE of those wins coming with horses who won at odds of 25/1 or better.
Longshot riding Borel once won an Arkansas Derby with 100/1 shot Rockamundo, but didn't do so well on Derby day. This time, he gets to ride the favorite....and certainly many bettors have to wonder how much Street Sense's form was moved up by those two off-the-chart rides Borel gave SS in his two Graded Stake wins.
In a 20 horse field, with all the other riders aware of his dedication to riding the rail, we should now finally get to find out what Street Sense is capable of, when he doesn't get a magical rail-skimming ride from Calvin.